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Following on some gains in sales numbers in the past few months, the months of November and December appeared to reflect more of a leveling off to numbers fairly comparable to sales data for Jasper, Georgia, during the same period in previous years.
The way the numbers stacked up, November 2009, had 26 sales, versus 22 the previous year, and 24 the year before that, so a slight, if not remarkable improvement. Average Pickens County home sale price also was higher than the prior year, moving from $178,245 to $195,380, but much lower than 2007's average of $285,485. The ratio of list price to selling price continues to be relatively low in the 90-92% range.
Foreclosure and short sales accounted for 23% of November sales.
December 2009, reflected a similar upward bump, with 17 sales / pending sales besting the 14 posted for 2008, while coming in lower than the 19 closed in 2007. With only half of the sales closed as of this writing, the average sale price remains to be seen, but is likely to come in higher than the $191,057 posted in December 2008.
Foreclosures and short sales accounted for 35% of December home sales.
Inventory level remained fairly stable at 504 houses for sale in and around Jasper as of this writing, but, the number of properties identified as bank (lender) owned, corporate owned, foreclosure, short sale, or potential short sale climbed to 12.7% of total inventory, suggesting that more of homes that are coming to market are some form of distress sale.
How much new inventory comes to market in the next 2-3 months is likely to play a significant role in the direction prices take, particularly if there are more foreclosures / short sales in the mix (as appears to be the case, based on foreclosure notices I am seeing). For now there is nothing to suggest a drastic improvement in pricing from a seller standpoint, while buyers should continue to benefit from the high inventory, slow market and growing number of distress sales keeping downward pressure on prices.
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Everyone knows there are a ton of foreclosures and other "distressed" properties that mortgage lenders are coping with lately. I have written about using a short sale, one of the methods employed by many to deal with their crisis. In summary, the lender takes a reduced payoff on the home to avoid the costs of a foreclosure, and the homeowner is allowed to walk away from the obligation without paying the entire mortgage. The lender also reduces the time it takes to market the home, along with the resulting deterioration from sitting idle. The homeowners get their credit dinged a bit, but nowhere close to the damage a foreclosure causes.
The biggest problem in handling short sales has been the amount of time it takes lenders to respond to offers. It is frustrating for all parties, including real estate professionals, when we work so hard to achieve a successful short sale, and the lender takes as long as three months to make a decision. Most buyers don't have that much time to waste, and frequently they back out because they find a more responsive seller.
The Treasury Department recently took steps to pick up the pace. A modification to the Making Home Affordable program will take place on April 5, 2010. Although I personally think MHA has been relatively useless since its inception, it does seem to be picking up steam. The main problem is that only 83 loan servicers are participating in the "voluntary" program. This does include Wells Fargo, Bank of America, and Chase among other noted lenders. The industry anticipates Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will adopt the new rule, which would include a large majority of home loans in the US.
The change simply requires lenders to respond to short sale offers within ten days. There is no reason precluding a short response time other than bureaucratic red tape and overworked negotiators. They can hire some more people and push problem loans out the door more quickly. Frankly, instead of using TARP money to boost profits, pay executive bonuses, and build new branches, they can use it to hire a few more worker bees!
The 10 Day Rule will encourage more buyers, who can't wait months for a decision, to pursue the excellent values available with short sales. Until now, many potential Short Sale buyers would quit considering any Short Sale after their first bad experience in the process (including my own daughter).
Couple the user friendly changes in Short Sales to the still active tax credits available to buyers, and you have a terrific opportunity to strike gold in purchasing a home. However, the window for the tax credit is closing quickly. Mortgages have to be approved by April 30 and funded by June 30 to qualify. That means you need to get with a lender NOW to get pre-qualified for a loan, then put on your track shoes to find a home QUICKLY in order to complete the process.
Interest rates are still very low, mortgage money is available for as little as 3.5% down payment (even 0% down for qualifying USDA loans in Pickens), there are programs available to pay your mortgage if you lose your job, and the inventory of homes available gives buyers a great selection.
There are no excuses for not buying a home in this market if you really want or need one.
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It is sunny and going to be 50 today here in the North Georgia mountains. I mention this for a reason. Yesterday and the day before I posted great ice pictures. A couple of weeks ago I posted some pictures after our winter storm. But today it is great
North Georgia gives you mountain living and 4 seasons. Byt the bitter and lasting cold and snow are not a feature of where we live. In the summer at my elevation , about 2500 feet, we may have used the A/C the total of 1 week. Weather wise North Georgia gives you mountain living with b4 seasons. None of which are too extreme.
Many think of Georgia in terms of the I-95 corridor and do not realize that we have great mountain communities. Come explore and you will be very pleasantly surprised.
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This morning we awoke to sun and warmer temperatures. I took these photos from my porch as I actually could walk out on it without slipping and sliding. I am reminded of the story of Frosty the Snow Man. Everything is really pretty . But all is melting and may be gone around lunch time or later this afternoon.
While it is sad that this beauty will go away it is also good. One of the things about the North Georgia Mountains is that you have 4 seasons. It does get cold and snowy but it is all manageable for the most part. Enjoy
I guess I could have gotten up earlier for the sunrise on this but as it is this is really pretty.
We had the wood burning stove going great and I was out splitting wood yesterday !!!
If you are looking for the mountains the North Georgia Mountains are a great place to live .
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