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Red Lodge, MT

City of Red Lodge Market Statistics for Vacant Land at Year End 2008

Gerry Khatchikian, ASA, TRC-Realtor- Buy & Sell Houses in Carbon County, Montana: Real Estate Agent in Red Lodge, MT

A beautiful day in Red Lodge (rainbow in the sky)

City: Red Lodge

Type: Vacant Land

Date: December 31, 2008

Total inventory: 222

Period (Data Observed)

Number of Units Sold

Equivalent Yearly Sales Projection

Absorption Rate *

Last 12 months

41

41

5 years 5 months

Last 6 months

12

24

9 years 3 months

Last 3 months

6

24

9 years 3 months

Last month

2

24

9 years 3 months

* Explanation:

The key statistic that I calculated is the absorption rate, the time it would take to sell the current total inventory at the present rate of sales. For my calculations, I determined the present rate of sales based on data retrieved for 4 different periods (latest 12 months, 6 months, 3 months and one month sales). Most would only look at the last month's sales to get the present rate of sales, but by looking at the 4 chosen different periods, we get a better sense of the trend in recent sales and the trend in the absorption rate.

If you want to learn more about the absorption rate and its importance, please read Amber Noble-Garland's post entitled: Market Absorption 101 - A basic lesson in Real Estate .

Based on the total inventory as of December 31, 2008 and a rate of sales similar to the number of units sold in period indicated (last year, 6 months, quarter or month), it would take the indicated time (in years and months indicated under Absorption Rate column) to sell the total inventory. For example, based on the inventory as of December 31, 2008, and a rate of sales similar to the number of units sold in the last year (last 12 months), it would take 5 years and 5 months to deplete the total inventory. However, based on the rate of sales similar to the number of units sold in the last month, it would take 9 years and 3 months to deplete the total inventory. The absorption rate is higher if we look at the more recent data (latest 1 month compared to latest year) as a result of a slow down in sales.

I will provide these statistics (for Residential and for Vacant Land) on a monthly basis to help clients and future prospects get a better undertanding of the market in Red Lodge.

I also have the absorption rate statistics broken down by price range for Residential and by acreage for Vacant Land. Feel free to contact me if you are interested to get an estimate (based on the inventory and the latest trends) of how long it would take before all the current inventory of properties in a specific price range in Red Lodge is sold.

Gerry Khatchikian, ASA, TRC
Realtor Associate

Prudential Red Lodge Real Estate
PO Box 947, 103 South Broadway
Red Lodge, MT 59068

406-446-2123
800-752-2499

Gerry@RedLodgeLand.com
www.PrudentialRedLodgeRealEstate.com

City of Red Lodge Market Statistics for Residential at Year End 2008

Gerry Khatchikian, ASA, TRC-Realtor- Buy & Sell Houses in Carbon County, Montana: Real Estate Agent in Red Lodge, MT

I decided to take Mirela Monte's advice from her post entitled: How Posting Easy Market Statistics For Your Area Can Garner You Valuable Leads .

The key statistic that I calculated is the absorption rate, the time it would take to sell the current total inventory at the present rate of sales. For my calculations, I determined the present rate of sales based on data retrieved for 4 different periods (latest 12 months, 6 months, 3 months and one month sales). Most would only look at the last month's sales to get the present rate of sales, but by looking at the 4 chosen different periods, we get a better sense of the trend in recent sales and the trend in the absorption rate.

If you want to learn more about the absorption rate and its importance, please read Amber Noble-Garland's post entitled: Market Absorption 101 - A basic lesson in Real Estate .

I ran queries on the Red Lodge MLS, tabulated the numbers in a spreadsheet and came up with my first statistics to post on AR. The following summarizes my results:

Spongebob Squarepants with a cowboy hat and a lassoRed Lodge Rodeo of Champions

City: Red Lodge

Type: Residential

Date: December 31, 2008

Total inventory: 90

Period (Data Observed)

Number of Units Sold

Equivalent Yearly Sales Projection

Absorption Rate *

Last 12 months

55

55

1 year 8 months

Last 6 months

29

58

1 year 7 months

Last 3 months

8

32

2 years 10 months

Last month

2

24

3 years 9 months

* Explanation: Based on the total inventory as of December 31, 2008 and a rate of sales similar to the number of units sold in period indicated (last year, 6 months, quarter or month), it would take the indicated time (in years and months indicated under Absorption Rate column) to sell the total inventory. For example, based on the inventory as of December 31, 2008, and a rate of sales similar to the number of units sold in the last year, it would take 1 year and 8 months to deplete the total inventory.

I will provide these statistics (for residential and for vacant land) on a monthly basis to help clients and future prospects get a better understanding of the market in Red Lodge.

I also have the absorption rate statistics broken down by price range for Residential and by acreage for Vacant Land. Feel free to contact me if you are interested to get an estimate (based on the inventory and the latest trends) of how long it would take before all the current inventory of properties in a specific price range in Red Lodge is sold.

Gerry Khatchikian, ASA, TRC
Realtor Associate

Prudential Red Lodge Real Estate
PO Box 947, 103 South Broadway
Red Lodge, MT 59068

406-446-2123
800-752-2499

Gerry@RedLodgeLand.com
www.PrudentialRedLodgeRealEstate.com