New Brunswick

WELL FOLKS, SEPTEMBER IS UPON US AND THE CRACKS IN OUR PRODUCTION FOR 2009 ARE STARTING TO SHOW. BOTH IN LISTING PRODUCTION AND SALE PRODUCTION. LISTINGS POSTED A -17% REDUCTION FOR SEPTEMBER WHICH WIPES OUT OUR BEAUTIFUL INCREASE 16% IN AUGUST. BUT AGAIN, WE STILL SHOW A VERY CONSISTANT -4% YEAR OVER YEAR REDUCTION FROM LAST YEAR. LOOK FOR A GOOD OCTOBER LISTING FRENZY AND I BELIEVE A CONSISTANT -9% YEAR OVER YEAR BY DECEMBER END.

OUR SALES ON THE OTHER HAND WILL HAVE A MAJOR NEGATIVE CORRECTION IN THE LAST QUARTER OF THIS YEAR. POSSIBLY IN THE -10% TO -15% YEAR OVER YEAR. THIS SAID, SEPTEMBER SURELY ISN'T TOO BAD YET, POSTING A SMALL UNIT REDUCTION OF -9% FOR SEPTEMBER AND A POSITIVE DOLLAR VOLUME OF 1% YEAR OVER YEAR. ACTUALLY, OCTOBER IS NOT LOOKING THAT BAD EITHER AND IT IS EXPECTED TO YIELD A 1% GAIN OVER LAST OCTOBER.

FOLKS ALTHOUGH YEAR TO DATE WE HAVE EXPERIENCED A FANTASTICALLY CONSISTANT BANNER YEAR WE HAVE TO BE REALISTIC AND SEE THAT SUPPLY HAS ALL BUT PAST DEMAND AND THAT WE WILL BE QUICKLY SUBMERGED IN A BUYERS MARKET THIS FALL. THUS SALES WILL BE SLOWED SUBSTANTIALLY AS BUYERS WILL BE EXPECTING A MAJOR REDUCTION IN PURCHASE PRICE WHICH THE VENDORS WILL NOT BE PREPARED TO ACCEPT. IT HAD TO COME SOMETIME SO BE PREPARED TO WORK YOUR DEALS HARD THIS WINTER IN ORDER TO EXACT A SALE TO FRUITION.

AGENTS PREPARE YOURSELF AS THIS BUYERS MARKET THIS FALL WILL HAVE A NEGATIVE IMPACT ON YOU INDIVIDUALLY AND YOU WILL SEE MANY OF YOUR FELLOW REAL ESTATE ASSOCIATES LEAVING THE BUSINESS OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS. SORRY, BUT THIS ALWAYS HAPPENS WHEN ONE HAS TO WORK A LOT HARDER THAN YOU WOULD EVER IMAGINE TO EXACT THAT SALE. FOR-WARNED IS FOR-ARMED. I THINK YOU WILL SEE EXACTLY WHAT I AM TALKING ABOUT BY YEAR END. OOHHH BUT I TOO HOPE I AM WRONG!!! DO CHECK MY BLOG AT YEAR END TO SEE AND PLAN TO PLAN, IN WRITING YOUR PRODUCTION GOALS FOR 2010. THIS IS THE ONLY WAY TO BE ASSURED OF YOUR TARGET OBJECTIVES. PREPARE YOURSELF. GOOD LUCK.

SURPRISE, SURPRISE! LISTINGS FOR AUGUST HAVE REDUCED A -16% DEFICIT IN JULY TO 0% IN AUGUST. THIS IS AN INDICATION THAT SALES FOR THIS FALL SHOULD BE QUITE STRONG. HOWEVER, MY GUESS IS THAT A STRONG LISTING MONTH OF AUGUST SHOULD BE SHOWING A STRONG CORRECTION IN SEPTEMBER. WE WILL SEE. NEVER THE LESS, OUR YEAR OVER YEAR STATS SHOW A CONSISTANT -4%. NEXT MONTH IT SHOULD BE ABOUT THE SAME. OUR CURRENT LISTING PORTFOLIO IS STILL 2464 ACTIVE LISTINGS. THIS IS VERY CONSISTANT WITH PREVIOUS YEARS.

OUR SALES UNITS FOR AUGUST DID IN FACT HAVE THE EXPECTED FALL OF -9% FOR AUGUST TO MAKE UP FOR OUR FANTASTIC MONTH OF JULY. THAT'S OKAY AS SALE UNITS YEAR OVER YEAR ARE CONSISTANTLY AT -4%. AGAIN, THE MONTH OF AUGUST IS DOWN -9% IN DOLLAR VOLUME AS EXPECTED. HOWEVER, THE YEAR OVER YEAR VOLUME IS UP 2% OVER LAST YEAR. WHICH IS FANTASTIC.

WHEN YOU LOOK AT THE VERY STRONG FREDERICTON MARKET WITH EMPLOYEMENT AT AN ALL TIME HIGH AND PLENTY OF INFRA-STRUCTURE PROJECTS HAPPENING ALL OVER THE PLACE WE CAN FEEL VERY CONFIDENT THAT 2009 IS DOING JUST GREAT.

INTEREST RATES ARE AT AN ALL TIME LOW, SO BUYERS TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE WONDERFUL OPPORTUNITY TO INVEST IN HOME OWNERSHIP. YOU DESERVE IT!!!

Canada's national resale housing activity climbed to the highest level of any third quarter on record. MLS systems of Canadian real estate boards totalled 135,182 units in the third quarter of 2009, according to statistics released by The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA). This is the highest level of activity on record for the period from July to September. The number of transactions was up 18 per cent from the third quarter of last year, representing the biggest year-over-year increase since early 2002. Climbing to $327,736, the national MLS® residential average price rose 11 per cent from the same quarter last year.

This information can be found on the CREA Stats website, dated today, October 15th, 2009.

http://creastats.crea.ca/natl/

Do you believe the trend will continue up?

As I write this post on the last weekend of summer, the signs of of my favourite New Brunswick season are abundant. The leaves on the maples have started to turn, the Canada geese are starting to gather in larger flocks, the last crop of hay will soon be cut followed by the harvesting of the cow corn. Fresh catches from the sea (crab, lobster, mackerel, scallops) are widely available, and the farmer's markets are loaded with local products.

Autumn in New Brunsick is a delight to one's sense of nature in a changing season. In Autumn you will experience some warm, sunny days and some frosty nights. Even some white precipitation in late Autumn.

This is the Season You'll Fall for New Brunswick! Gotta love it.

In New Brunswick, Canada you can live the rural lifestyle and still be less than a half hour drive from an urban area. I help buyers find rural properties that fit their needs. And I maintain a website devoted exclusively to rural properties for sale in New Brunswick, Canada - www.rural4sale.com

Buyers will find properties for sale in all price ranges like this secluded bungalow overlooking a brook and comes with 63 acres of wooded land. Find more pictures and video on www.rural4sale.com