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August 2009 Edmonton Real Estate Market stats

09-02-09
Jason Thomas
Jason Thomas: Real Estate Sales Person in Edmonton, AB
  • view my blog
  • Office: (780) 431-1900

Well it looks like we are back to a balanced market. No record breaking sales this month. The number of sales for August are back to a more normal range (1673). Prices actually have flattened and dipped a little. The inventory is continuing to fall which is good news. We are now at 6445 homes for sale (down from 6592 in July). One thing that is interesting is the over $400,000 price segment has went up in the last month (from 19% to 22%) but the under $300,00 is also increasing (up from 47% to 48%). So, therefore the middle $300,000-$400,000 range is actually shrinking a bit. I will post these charts in the next post.

What this all means (in my opinion) is that the market is balancing out. The predictions that we were going to shoot through the roof with prices earlier in the year have not been realized. The prices have stopped their freefall and climbed a little, but it looks like we are now moving into a stable balanced market. Average sale price sfd Edmonton August 2009

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Follow this one rule...

08-31-09
Todd & Danielle Millar
Todd & Danielle Millar: Real Estate - Other in Edmonton, AB
  • view my blog
  • Office: (888) 780-5940 x251

Over my summer holiday I once again came to the realization that constant management, improvement and measurement are critical to ongoing success. Even when we reach a point in our lives and businesses that allows us to delegate certain jobs we must continue to look for ways to improve upon them.

It may sound counter-intuitive to delegate a job and then invest time in managing it, but it's not and here's why. When we have delegated our jobs it gives us a chance to step back from them and see how the system, person and team perform without you in the active (say physical) role of doing it. You can test this by measuring their performance against your earlier benchmark.

You'll be listening for their input on how to do the job better, faster and of a higher quality as well as looking at their productivity from the eyes of an employer. If you monitor these 'jobs' every 90 days with an eye to improvement, this helps give you the edge and brings your business game to a new level.

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What's going on with the economy?

08-09-09
Todd & Danielle Millar
Todd & Danielle Millar: Real Estate - Other in Edmonton, AB
  • view my blog
  • Office: (888) 780-5940 x251

A snapshot look at Canada's economy major economists taken from The London Free Press

"The downward trend among private sector employees persisted in July, with large losses for this group partially offset by continued gains in self-employment."

Statistics Canada July employment report.

"These are difficult times. It's going to be a difficult year. I've been saying that, to sort of calm the euphoria about, you know, 'We're out of a recession.' We are stabilized, and there are some good signs. But it's still the recession and we still have to work our way out of it."

Finance Minister Jim Flaherty told CTV News.

"No one said it was going to be a smooth recovery, and especially not for employment. If there is any positive spin here for the broader economy, it's that the job losses were almost entirely concentrated among summer students (though try telling your teenager that's good news)."

BMO Capital Markets economist Doug Porter

"Even though the Canadian economy is likely to resume positive growth sometime in the third quarter, we are likely to continue to see the unemployment rate climb for up to six months after the recession has come to a close."

TD Bank economist Diana Petramala

"Sadly, today was not a happy day for the Canadian job market. It's critical when we see these disappearing jobs that we have an effective fiscal stimulus to create or to save jobs. And that means getting the money out the door because, no matter how many billions in commitments, you won't save one job if you don't get the money out the door.''

Liberal MP John McCallum, the party's finance critic

"Some people say that the recession is over, but try telling that to the unemployed and their families. Unemployment is going to get worse in the months ahead and the Harper government is leaving people to fend for themselves."

Ken Georgetti, president of the Canadian Labour Congress.

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Average Sale Price Edmonton SFD July 2009

08-09-09
Jason Thomas
Jason Thomas: Real Estate Sales Person in Edmonton, AB
  • view my blog
  • Office: (780) 431-1900

I've put together a graph showing the average price for Single Family Detached homes. Our prices have moved back up to mid 2008 numbers. Way off from the 2007 peak, but we are moving in the right direction.

Average sfd price Edmonton July 2009

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Edmonton Real Estate Market Update July 2009

08-06-09
Jason Thomas
Jason Thomas: Real Estate Sales Person in Edmonton, AB
  • view my blog
  • Office: (780) 431-1900

July has been similar to June, very strong and recordbreaking. 2277 sales in the month of July, beating July of 2006 (1953 solds) by a wide margin. On the listing supply side we are now sitting at 6592 properties for sale which is down from June's 6785. What have prices done during this strong market? Not too much. We have seen an increase for Single Family dwellings to $369,859 which is just under 1% increase from June 2009. The overall average price (including condos and duplexes) actually dropped one percent to $324,847.

What does this all mean? Well the market is definitely trying to find itself. The demand is very strong, but the listing inventory has been keeping up with the demand. The resulting situation is becoming more of a balanced market in my opinion. I don't thing the sales will be recordbreaking as we go into the fall (I have been wrong before), so I actually forsee a situation where our inventory climbs a little. Not a dramatic increase, but enough to stall any further price increases. We did have the one month of 5% price increase this year, but the rest of the months are up 1% or down 1%. Overall we will probably see an average price increase of 7% total for the whole year of 2009.

This is good, not great. It reminds me of the 1996 market in Edmonton. In 1996, we had a tremendous influx of Armed Forces personnel moving into Edmonton from other Bases. This increase in demand did not effect prices dramatically (prices went up 4% for the year), but what it did do was "sop up" the excess listing inventory we had from the 1993-1995 recession/cutbacks that were going on in the City when Premier Klein came to power. Basically, the increase in buyers helped cure the supply problem, stopped the freefall in prices, and we went on our merry way of price increases in the 5-10% range in the following years. I see a similar situation here. We don't have military moving in, but we do have first time buyers, renters and relocations coming into the market. These people were frozen out of the market for the last few years because of the higher interest rates and the higher prices.

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