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Owner-occupants in the minority

 In today's Las Vegas real estate market, a common lament is that we have so much inventory because investors are trying to sell homes that were purchased during the frenzy of 2004. After a couple of years of rental income, and now in the middle of a market correction, investors are trying to lock in impressive gains (or limit their losses) and move on to their next opportunity. This has resulted in a high number of vacant homes on the market.

While checking the vacancy rate this afternoon, I was surprised to find that the total number of vacant and tenant-occupied properties outnumber those that are owner-occupied. Out of 21,639 single-family listings in the Las Vegas valley (Las Vegas, Henderson, and North Las Vegas), only 9,759 (45.1%) are the personal residence of the owner. Here's how the numbers break down:

Single-FamilyCondoTownhouseTotals
Total Listings21,6394,0811,64427,364
Vacant9,667
(44.7%)
2,327
(57.0%)
788
(47.9%)
12,782
(46.7%)
Tenant-Occupied2,223
(10.3%)
744
(18.2%)
193
(11.7%)
3,160
(11.5%)
Owner-Occupied9,749
(45.1%)
1,010
(24.7%)
663
(40.3%)
11,422
(41.7%)

How many of the vacant listings belong to out-of-state investors? I looked at a sample of 553 listings in Henderson, and 194 of them (35.1%) belonged to owners whose address was outside of Nevada. If that percentage holds true, then 4,486 of the vacant listings are owned by non-Nevadans.

This glut of vacant and investor-owned homes will continue to put downward pressure on market prices of Las Vegas real estate. Many buyer's agents take the path of least resistance and show vacant homes before scheduling appointments with owner-occupants. Investors, looking at the sale from a financial rather than emotional perspective, are more likely to price their homes realistically. Until inventory returns to normal levels (12-14,000 homes), sellers of owner-occupied homes must have an aggressive pricing and marketing plan to succeed in today's competitive Las Vegas real estate market.

Posted Friday Sep 28
(09/28/07 11:12PM) — Barry Shapiro

Those are some serious numbers to ponder.  Looksl ike renting is the way to go for awhile if you live in Vegas.

John: You've compiled some interesting data. Similar numbers are being seen in the Riverside County area in Southern California. 

Gosh...in a residential area that presents some problems. But in a condo, if 50% of the homes aren't owner-occupied, that multiplies the problem because they'll have a hard time finding a loan.  Good research, John.

I ran the numbers of foreclosures and out of about 10,500 listings there are 1800 bank owned or almost bank owned properties making 18% of the listings in Grand Rapids foreclosures.  I have heard we aren't even close to how bad Detroit is.

Barry - The rental market is seeing a lot of activity. Thanks for your comment!

Roberta - Thank you! Hopefully we'll start to reverse this trend soon.

Joey - Good point about condo financing, that makes it even tougher on sellers as the buyer pool shrinks. Thanks for stopping by!

Ethan - Thank you for commenting! We're at about 5.9% in foreclosure and 11.8% in short sale status. That's certainly contributing to the pullback in values that we're seeing.

Good post. I wonder what the statistics are in our area. I am sure it will change for the better .

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