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Merrill Lynch Suffers After $7.9 Billion Write Down

In a recent article from Market Watch:

"Merrill shares fell almost 8% to a near two-year low of $62.

'It turned out our assessment of the potential risk and mitigation strategies were inadequate,' O'Neal said. 'I am accountable for the mistakes as I am accountable for the performance of the firm overall and my job, our job, the leadership team's job is to address where we went wrong, what changes were necessary to make sure we respond to changes early, correctly and in every asset class at every stage of market's evolution,' O'Neal said.

Ratings agencies Fitch, Moody's and Standard & Poor's all downgraded the firm's credit ratings following the report.
The company reported a loss of $2.24 billion, or $2.82 a share, compared with a year-earlier profit of $3.05 billion, or $3.17 a share.
'These losses are relatively larger than those reported previously by other broker dealers and universal banks that have already reported,' DBRS analysts said in a report Wednesday. 'Merrill appears to have been much more exposed in its securitization businesses.' Merrill holds the leading position in CDO securitization."
Merrill Lynch had previously calculated their write down at approximately $4.5 billion of subprime and collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) on October 5th. Collateralized debt obligations are pools of loans, often times mortgages. Merrill Lynch's write down of $7.9 billion today clearly exceeded expectations. Given that the trading market for derivatives such as CDOs has come to a screeching halt since August of 2007, this quickly downgraded the company's credit ratings.

Since we don't expect to return to the easy financing market of prior years and our credit problems are far from over, it kind of makes you wonder how firms are calculating/estimating their mortgage write downs.
Posted Wednesday Oct 24
(10/25/07 12:16AM) — Burbank Real Estate

 

Ricardo, keep up the good work. I used to love trading stocks, not anymore, after the big crash.  thanks for calling me today.  your friend and Burbank CA Realtor. Lupe Soto

Good blog, I had read that they will be exagerating losses

(10/25/07 02:12AM) — Ricardo Bueno - Mortgage Planner

Lupe: Thanks for the compliment. Fue mucho gusto en conocerte! 

(10/25/07 02:15AM) — Ricardo Bueno - Mortgage Planner

Brett: that is an accurate statement. That's why the question lingers...how are companies calculating/estimating their mortgage write downs.

Sure Merrill Lynch's earnings suffered and driving investors out of stocks and into bonds which meant lower interest rates but shareholders can't be pleased at all. And other companies have gone out of business for exaggerating losses! 

Ricardo - Excellent article.  In reading MMG these words jumped off the page for me as well "Merrill holds the leading position in CDO securitization."  Sounds like Merrill is the biggest player.  It will be interesting to see who follows and how accurately they have been calculating the values of their portfolios.

I say give it a year, and some big lenders and wall street firms will be investigated like Enron.  Their accounting principles are scary.

Hmm... can it be just the tip of the iceberg?

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