Arizona Market Update

As of today there are 55,632 listings, of those there are 45,556 single family homes for sale in Arizona. Listings are down from last months report where there were 57,797 home for sale, of those there were 47,461 single family homes. As you can see the numbers are looking better. Contrary to what I have been reading in the paper and online, the numbers are getting better here in Phoenix.

For example, Robert Shiller who helped create the Standard & Poor's/Case-Shiller home price index predicts home prices to fall lower than they did in the Great Depression. I know I am not a Yale University graduate like Mr. Shiller but I believe this man has gone over the deep end. This man may be very smart, however he is not in the trenches everyday like we are on a daily basis. We can tell what the market is doing before anyone else. We find out way before people who run these indexes get last month's numbers and make their predictions.

It is us REALTORS, Mortgage Bankers/Brokers, Inspectors, Appraisers, etc..., who know what the market is doing day to day. Anyone can sit in a fancy office and be a Monday morning armchair quarterback. But it is us who are out in the cold and heat busting our humps who know what is really happening in our markets. The first word of real estate is LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATION. And markets are like rain clouds, it may be raining under one part of the rain cloud or, there may be sun shining through part of it where there is no rain. Unless you are out there in the thick of things there is no real way to know.

For example, my broker mentioned that last month (March) was the best month our company has had since 2006. And I have heard the same from other agents with different brokers. I believe that our market is still bumping along the bottom and we are very near stabilization.

Furthermore, from February 1, 2008 through February 29, 2008 there were 3,434 properties sold in Arizona. From March 1, 2008 through March 31, 2008 there were 4,298 properties sold in Arizona which is almost 1,000 more than February. This is usually the buying and selling season of real estate, and I am predicting that more buyers are going to jump off the fence and find that now is a great time to buy a home.

Posted Tuesday Apr 22

(04/22/08 11:50PM) — Brian Kelly

My March and April have also been up as a Home Inspector, perhaps we are near the bottom.

(04/22/08 11:51PM) — Ray Nellum, Fort Smith Real Estate

Ulises, an improvement in the market is being seen all over.  There's a shift that is occuring and buyers need to be aware of the changes.

What can you tell me about the Scottsdale market??  Good time to buy or wait until later in the  year? I've got some investor clients (not flippers) who want to secure vacation condos to rent out and also use themselves for part of the year.  How much has that market declined? Any feedback? Gina

(04/22/08 11:55PM) — Ulises Romo

Brian: Thanks for sharing your opinion. It is good to see someone else on the same page.

Ray: Thanks for the insight in your market Ray. Buyers should stop listening to the media, and listen to the real experts ALL OF US.

Thanks for your time and comments.

(04/23/08 12:06AM) — Ulises Romo

Gina:  It all depends on where you plan to buy in Scottsdale. If you are planning to buy in North Scottsdale their is a good chance that the home prices have not declined too much. As for South Scottsdale where there are less luxury homes, home prices have gone down more than in North Scottsdale.

If your clients are from the Bay Area, I assume (I know I should not) that they may be able to buy a luxury home. And compared to California prices and San Francisco prices in particular, homes in North Scottsdale, Paradise Valley, and Fountain Hills could be a great buy. If they only plan to live there for a couple of years and expect a big return on their investment, I would not recommend buying in this market. On the other hand, if your clients plan to buy a vacation home for more than five years, I believe they will come out on top.

I have personally seen condos in Downtown Scottsdale for sale under $200,000.

Pictures from a Scottsdale Condo in North Scottsdale for sale at $185,000. 


FABULOUS HEATED POOL AND SPA...REC ROOM WITH WORKOUT ROOM

Thompson peak North of Frank loyd Wright..1st building on the left...walk to AJ'S...Horizon Park...McDowell Aquatic Center

KITCHEN CAN BE RENTED...FLAT SCREEN TV'S...ELECTRIC GRILL

CHERRY STAINED CABINETS...REFRIGERATOR, FULL SIZED WASHER & DRYER INCLUDED

DINING IN GREAT ROOM, 2ND BEDROOM CAN BE TERRIFIC HOME OFFICE...FIREPLACE IN MASTER BEDROOM

FULL BATH...DOUBLE SINKS

(04/23/08 12:17AM) — Ulises Romo

Gina: Great, thats the way to buy. I have seen some condos for sale in that area.

Great update.  I agree and really see things picking up lately!

(04/23/08 12:28AM) — Ulises Romo

Dawn: That's great to hear. I am certain things can only get better from hear.

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