I have been accused of being too optimistic about the future of real estate and I consider that to be a compliment. As professionals, we have an obligation to ignore the headlines and provide intelligent, well
researched alternative thinking for our buyers and sellers. I was recently asked, "What do you tell your buyers"? I tell buyers, real estate is not just location, location, location. It's also about Duration, Duration, Duration. Right now there is an abundance of available inventory. Certainly, a great home in a terrific location is less of a problem than ever before. So, couple that with a buyers understanding of how long they plan to be in a community, which they do have some insight and control over and a buyer does intrinsically know whether buying a home is right for them.
In addition, you must think local, local, local. Purchasing in Hayward is still a good idea and on a local basis in Alameda County, buying in Pleasanton is a very different process and decision than Hayward. They are both in the same County, right? Think Local! Throw in some historically low interest rates for good measure and you have a recipe for precisely why you should buy a home today. In the early 1980's, I sold homes with interest rates at 18.5%. Admittedly, it was a bit challenging, but Duration paid off. Many of my customers who bought at 18% in the 1980's walked away with over $1,000,000 in equity. That is why I have always said, "Don't wait to buy real estate, buy real estate and wait."
Rents have tripled every 20 years in the East Bay Area since 1958 and they are right on course for tripling again. It isn't like we live in a vacuum when we don't buy and continue to rent. Right? As professionals we owe it to our customers to understand their lifestyle needs and help them to avoid becoming a life-long renter. 2o years from now, they will probably have their home paid off and draw social security. They just may retire if they have a free and clear home. If not, how in the world will they ever retire?
Putting Bay Area home prices in perspective
Prices for existing single-family homes in the Bay Area are down in all counties except San Francisco the past year. Prices are still up in most counties the past four years and in all nine counties the past eight years. Please teach your buyers to think; location, location, location and duration, duration, duration. Low, low, low interest rates, which means, how much a month? We have always called this The Affordability factor.
Sure this declining market has affected home values, but it has also made homes more affordable in the Bay Area than they have been for several years. Take a look at the facts!
|
County |
Price March 2008 |
1-year change |
4-year change |
8-year change |
|
Alameda |
$501,000 |
-20.7% |
6.6% |
67.0% |
|
Contra Costa |
409,000 |
-33.4 |
-2.6 |
66.9 |
|
Marin |
862,500 |
-10.6 |
15.0 |
56.5 |
|
Napa |
457,250 |
-20.5 |
-4.7 |
77.6 |
|
Santa Clara |
684,500 |
-9.3 |
21.3 |
48.8 |
|
San Francisco |
826,500 |
0.4 |
27.2 |
94.0 |
|
San Mateo |
760,000 |
-5.7 |
16.9 |
52.0 |
|
Solano |
330,000 |
-24.8 |
0.0 |
91.9 |
|
Sonoma |
425,000 |
-22.4 |
-2.0 |
59.8 |
|
Bay Area |
549,000 |
-20.4 |
9.8 |
59.6 |
Source: DataQuick
So, the next time you hear someone say, "This isn't a good time to be buying real estate." Think about people's lives and their current circumstances. We aren't selling slippers; one size fits all, we are selling lifestyle, actualization and security. Buying may not be the best option for some, but it is the very best decision for many!
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Hi Pam, reading "I have been accused of being too optimistic about the future of real estate"... reminds me of investing (I used to daytrade tech sticks on the NASDAQ). People seem to do the total opposite of what makes sense.
In almost any other industry, when the product is on sale, everyone rushes to buy it. When the price is too high they avoid it. For some reason (crowd mentality?), the opposite seems to happen in real estate and in the stock market. Your optimism makes perfect sense to me.
"Buying may not be the best option for some, but it is the very best decision for many!" This is sage advice. Now if we could just get the media to say this on the air and in print it might make a difference. Thanks for sharing your perspective Pam.
This is excellent advice...long term is key to doing well. Not quick flips!
I think you are right, bottom line, if you hold Real eestate long enough, it always goes up. (Historically)
All the best
You know...the secret is believing you are right. The other part of the secret is long term persistence. This is true in real estate as well....hold for the long term...go through the obstacles and down the road you will come out on top.
good post...we need to be positive. it is a great time to buy now-real good deals out there now- lots to choose from.
Don't stop believing. "If you can believe, all things are possible to her/him who believes." The Holy Bible
Pam,
Very true. I go by the saying "their (buyers/sellers) perception is their reality." Media just has so much impact on the TRUTH of Real Estate.
Pam, too many buyers have the short term in mind. The market may dictate short term decisions but you typically build wealth on long term decisions. Great Post. AJ
Great post. Long term buying is the key now and getting the word out to buyers.
I couldn't agree with you more. You plan on being here a while and it is what you believe.
Pam - great stats - As they say in for a penny in for a pound - and duration is or should be a key component in any financial investment especially the one you plan to live in.
Marti....optimism can create positive reality with preparation
Steve.....thanks for weighing in.
Ruthmarie......well said and I agree.
Kevin.... that is so so true.
Kahuna.....being pleasantly persistant!
Michael.....It is a great time to be in the market.
Cedric.....thanks for the quote
Alan....too many buyers came into the market wanting to make a quick buck in a short time....it doesn't work like that.
Karen & Terrie.....thanks for weighing in.
Kathy.....very well stated.