Is Colorado and the U.S. in another
depression?
The old anecdote of
'when your
neighbor loses a job, it's a recession but when you lose your job, it's a
depression' may still apply somewhat. Nationwide even the Fed
says there is
little hope
for a quick recovery and that the nation may lose 8 million jobs this
year alone! Colorado seems to be doing a little better, the housing market
here (at least under $350k) is decent, and the commercial cheap and small office
and retail space market is doing ok. There are some bigger deals getting
done, but definately not at the same pace as last year.
It seems like
everywhere you look people are
downsizing their houses or
talking about downsizing if they are underwater on their loan. Perhaps the
Obama plan will help, but it will probably do very little if anything to help
the overall economy which is where the fear is coming
from.
Banks are still tightening their lending
standards despite receiving hundreds of billions of dollars of Federal
Aid money. People are fearful of losing their jobs and have adjusted their
spending habits accordingly. Although it's great to see the nation's
saving rate increase from a long term point of view, I think that it is
definately canceled by the likelihood of higher taxes and interest rates in our
future.
The
Colorado real
estate market is doing better than most of the country, so
those who choose to sell their homes in many cases actually can because
pricing has held steady in their areas, but time will tell, as this
recession-depression wears on whether or not the economy will improve enough for
most homeowners to keep their jobs and keep paying their
mortgages.