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Coweta County Market Watch August 2009 Sales by Month & Price

At first glance it appears the unit sale decline has slowed significantly with '09 posting unit sales only slightly behind the same 7 months of last year at 7.6% or 54 homes. However, that is deceiving when you look at the same sales segmented by price. Notice in the 2nd table (sales by price) that a full third of the '09 YTD sales are in the under $100K range. All years previous to '08 had the under $100K unit sales representing slightly over 10% of the total. The reason for the tripling of this segment of the market is investor purchases of lower priced foreclosures for rental and/or flipping. Once you remove the dominant segment of the price spectrum then you see a truer picture of market with unit sales continuing their downward trend.

What's the short term future hold for Coweta home sales? More of the same for the foreseeable future probably continuing to late 2010 and possibly 2011. Much further than that and it is impossible to predict since all of our crystal balls start getting foggy looking past 12 months.

Note also that after the $250K range the months supply (the real litmus test for market conditions) begins doubling and tripling representing a softer mkt the further up the price range ladder you go. Keep in mind that is not a reflection of the times since those stats existed in the red hot years with little change today. High-end in Coweta has always had an extreme softness because the county is basically a blue-collar county with historical average home prices below $200K (and falling).

Sales by Month

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Total

Gain

% Gain

2005

90

97

138

134

154

197

175

169

138

122

128

126

1,668

181

12.2%

2006

83

115

155

152

149

210

170

179

141

134

131

131

1,750

82

4.9%

2007

104

125

152

137

191

167

175

150

119

117

92

82

1,612

- 138

- 7.9%

2008

61

87

97

93

129

106

134

117

91

87

67

95

1,164

- 448

- 27.8%

2009

58

86

88

94

104

120

103

*

653

- 54

- 7.6%

1% Diff
06 v 09

-
30.1%

-
25.2%

-
43.2%

-
38.2%

-
30.2%

-
42.9%

-
39.4%

-
36.8%

1 2009 % decrease compared to 2006, Coweta's all time high

* 121 homes Under Contract scheduled to close in Aug 2009


Coweta Existing Home Sales by Month Sales by Price

6 2009 Data As Of August 1, 2009 6

PRICE
RANGE

Under
100K

100K
124K

125K
149K

150K
174K

175K
199K

200K
249K

250K
299K

300K
349K

350K
399K

400K
449K

450K
499K

500K
599K

600K
799K

800K
999K

1
MIL +


TOTAL


AVGS

Jul 20094

34

9

16

20

7

11

2

0

2

1

0

0

1

0

0

103

$141,742

2nd Qtr 20094

95

36

45

41

27

38

15

8

7

3

2

1

0

0

0

318

$148,787

1st Qtr 20094

85

29

34

28

8

26

9

4

5

0

2

0

2

0

0

232

$139,374

YTD 20094

214

74

95

89

42

75

26

12

14

4

4

1

3

0

0

653

$144,823

% of Total

32.8%

11.3%

14.5%

13.6%

6.4%

11.5%

4.0%

1.8%

2.1%

0.6%

0.6%

0.2%

0.4%

0.0%

0.0%

100%

Days on Mkt5

80

93

97

100

126

118

133

104

144

295

95

132

143

132

2,184

-

100

For Sale6

169

87

186

159

159

191

118

61

62

39

18

30

25

19

21

1,344

$247,213

Mon Supply7

5.6

8.4

14.1

12.0

23.6

18.0

32.9

38.5

35.4

93.6

43.2

90.0

75.0

228.0

252.0

-

14.5

Information reliable but not guaranteed courtesy of Don Bush

Posted Wednesday Aug 12