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Federal Reserve Watch

Federal Reserve Watch

Forecasting Federal Reserve policy changes in coming months... On January 25, the Fed pledged to keep the Funds Rate extra low through late 2014. Economists expect no change near term. Note: In the lower chart, a 1% probability of change is a 99% certainty the rate will stay the same.

Current Fed Funds Rate: 0%–0.25%

After FOMC meeting on: Consensus
Mar 13 0%–0.25%
Apr 25 0%–0.25%
Jun 20 0%–0.25%


Probability of change from current policy:

After FOMC meeting on: Consensus
Mar 13 <1%
Apr 25 <1%
Jun 20
Posted Monday Feb 13