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It's Not a Bail Out. Really, It's Not!

Let's get one thing straight, you don't need to cry about the bailout because there isn't one. Let me re-phrase that, people aren't being bailed out. Look closely and you will see that the program implemented is solely to protect the lender from borrowers walking away from an upside down position. The plan will "help" the credit challenged homeowner who owes more on their house than it's worth. It will hopefully prevent them from walking away from a no equity deal. I like the concept of releasing the plan as a government bailout...pretty savvy. It provides the program needed credibility and motivates borrowers to actively inquire about their situation.

Here's the dummy version of the "bail-out" plan:

FICO of less than 660

3 year ARM's (or less) originated between 1/05 and 7/31/07

Prove you can't afford adjustment

97% LTV or worse

Owner occupied

Current on the mortgage

That's the meat of the plan. So where's the bailout? Who is being bailed out? It's still the lenders discretion whether they freeze the rate. In most of these cases the borrower already has a higher rate, they have no equity in their home, yet they continue to pay their mortgage. Freeze that rate! The rate is already above prime- limit the risk and freeze that rate! Buy time. Let the market firm...Pllllleeeease firm.

What's the alternative? Let the rate adjust and foreclose? Hope that they can pay the higher payment? The risk far outweighs the reward so it's only logical to keep the stream of payments coming in, wait for a better day. What is gained by foreclosure? Is the mortgage really a secured debt if the home is worth less than the mortgage? What are you securing it against, negative equity? Hope Now Alliance is a cooperative effort between consolers, investors, and lenders hoping the borrowers don't walk away from their homes now. If they do, we'll pay more than you can imagine.

Posted Tuesday Dec 11
(12/11/07 02:40PM) — Paige Rausch

What do you think of the rate cut today? Who did that help?

Ever get the feeling it's all being orchestrated?

PR 

(12/11/07 02:41PM) — Zen Ziejewski

David, This a great breakdown of the plan for those who don't understand or are seething because of the so called "Bailout". No really a bailout, like you mentioned, but more of a way to protect all mortgagees.

(12/11/07 02:44PM) — David Conaway

Zen- what do people want?  Sure it's not fair that someone isn't getting what they signed up for but who really cares at this point.  Just pay your bills and keep the house off the market. Do we really need any more distressed sales?  It's the first of many steps...baby steps.

(12/11/07 03:04PM) — David Conaway

Paige- I think the rate cut is one of many.  We won't see a quick shock of .5% cuts one by one but rather a slow walk down. Clearly there are many factors that I'm not comfortable addressing since I'm not an economist, but I do think rates are headed down.  It's important to remember that the cuts only address short term rates and long term rates are driven off of mortgage backed securities.  Not really a good answer but it really is a tightrope we're walking right now....without a net.

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