When reviewing the information about new construction whether permits, starts, or sales, if as many talking heads profess, that housing is “recovering” why are all categories 52 to 59% off the fifty year averages and down 72 to 76% from the peaks. And construction employment has dropped from 8,045,000 million people employed to 5,436,000 million people employed. The question i have to ask myself, if you go from no pulse in intensive care to a pulse are “recovering” or just not dead.
|
actual total for year |
permit issued |
start of construction |
||||||
|
multi |
single |
multi |
single |
single sales |
||||
|
2010: |
Year to Date |
604.6 |
447.3 |
586.9 |
471.2 |
323 |
||
|
2011: |
Year to Date |
611.9 |
413.7 |
606.9 |
428.6 |
302 |
||
|
year over year + or - |
1.21% |
-7.51% |
3.41% |
-9.04% |
-6.50% |
|||
|
seasonally adjusted |
||||||||
|
permits issued |
permits issued total |
|||||||
|
one unit structure |
includes multi family |
|||||||
|
permits issued |
413.7 |
611.9 |
||||||
|
peak year |
1682 |
2219 |
||||||
|
permits % drop from peak |
75% |
72% |
||||||
|
50 year average |
911 |
1383 |
||||||
|
permits % drop from 50 year |
55% |
56% |
||||||
|
movement up from Bottom |
353 |
17% |
522 |
17% |
||||
|
housing started |
starts total |
|||||||
|
one unit structure |
includes multi family |
|||||||
|
starts |
428.6 |
606.9 |
||||||
|
peak year |
1611 |
2357 |
||||||
|
starts % drop from peak |
73% |
74% |
||||||
|
50 year average |
1056 |
1481 |
||||||
|
starts % drop from 50 year |
59% |
59% |
||||||
|
movement up from Bottom |
360 |
19% |
520 |
17% |
||||
|
housing sales |
||||||||
|
one unit structure |
||||||||
|
new single family sales |
302 |
|||||||
|
peak year July 2005 |
1283 |
|||||||
|
sales % drop from peak |
76% |
|||||||
|
48 year average from 1963 |
628 |
|||||||
|
sales % drop from 48 year average |
52% |
|||||||
|
Bottom August 2010 |
||||||||
|
movement up from Bottom |
278 |
9% |
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