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Is the Media Dictating Your Life?

 Are you waiting for the news media to tell you it's fine to move on with your life? Do you realize that this is the only time in real estate history that inventory is exceptionally high, prices have dropped up to 15% off peak and mortgage rates are also at historic lows? Frankly the stars have aligned and the time to buy is right - if you're buying for the right reasons..

There's an indication that home prices that have not been set at a reasonable level may drop through 2008 for another 3-5%. Or, they can just sit, unsold. If the situation on a home that you truly love is that it is indeed overpriced, any savvy REALTOR can structure an offer that will reflect that difference, based on recent comparable homes that have sold at current market value. That means finding a REALTOR who's familiar with the local market, has actually seen the homes that have sold, and isn't afraid to negotiate.

My personal belief is that the days of "flipping" a home are gone for now. This is an exceptionally risky time to purchase to "flip" a property. First of all, buyers are the most savvy than they've been ever. They will discover the original purchase price and dissect to death the amount of money that was put into the property, only to discern that your list price is too high...sometimes whether that is the case or not. Only if you've ever been pecked at for hours on end by a gaggle of geese, can you know the feeling.

So, buying a home is not the answer to a "get rich quick" scheme. Real estate is also not a purchase to consider if you haven't built up a hefty down payment or a strong credit score. The essence of owning a home is "security"... and you can't be secure if you haven't laid the groundwork yourself in terms of credit rating and finances. Real estate is a long term investment. If you're planning on purchasing a home, do it wisely. Purchase for the long run...and I mean for at least 7 - 10 years.

The media continues to regale us with stories of foreclosures. However, are you aware that RealtyTrac, the "nations number one source for foreclosures" (dubbed so themselves) counts single homes as a "foreclosure" several times over? They count a home as a foreclosure when it's lis pendens, a Notice of Default and various other overlapping stages of distress. In reality, New Jersey saw just over 400 foreclosures in 2007. With 21 counties, that averages out to about 19 foreclosures per county. Not really record breaking news, right?

Realize this. By the time the media tells you "it's ok to buy a home," the opportunity will have diminished. Interest rates will have risen beyond current historic low points, the most desirable homes will have been sold for very reasonable prices, and more buyers will have entered the market. This is not a "fear of loss" tactic. This is reality, which has been documented by The Otteau Group, New Jersey's foremost most respected real estate appraisal group. For free market reports, sign up at The Otteau Group.

Copyright laws forbid me to share graphs, charts and precise data on the internet. But it's there and available. Speak to a REALTOR who keeps informed of the trends. Get truly informed, not incensed by sensationalism. There's a difference. Remember, basic facts don't sell news, "tragedy" does.

© 2008, All Rights Reserved. "Antoinette" Scognamiglio, REALTOR® Associate, Prudential New Jersey Properties.

"Antoinette" Scognamiglio specializes in the northern New Jersey markets of Northern Bergen County, Morris and Sussex Counties, in addition to several townships in Passaic County. Certified by Prudential New Jersey Properties as a relocation specialist, I take exceptional care in assisting my clients in finding their new home and community.

Please visit http://www.antoinetteshomes.com/ to learn more about my philosophy in conducting real estate business, and also to access the resources I offer to the public at large. My credo is..."The title of REALTOR® should be held with great care or not held at all." Put your real estate transaction in careful hands. Contact me directly on my cell at 201-240-8699 or my Denville office at 973-625-1250, ext. 105.

Posted Friday Jan 25

This has nothing to do with your post other than to say that - You truly have a wonderful writing style. I am enthralled with your posts and have a crush on your sentence structure! I will read you often...How's that for an ego boost! Keep up the great posts.

( 01/27/08 10:19PM ) — Michelle Taylor - Levo Title Agency

Antoinette,

It's amazing the number of people out there who actually practice what the media tell them!  "Oh, the media said interest rates went down!  I should refi NOW!"  [They don't quite realize that their credit is in no condition to refi or purchase] "Oh, the media said interest rates went up!"  What the general public needs is education, not the hype of the media.  Good post!

Hi Chris.  Thanks for the amazing compliment (WOW!). What more motivation to blog on can one possibly need?  I really appreciate your comment!  THANK YOU!  Have a fabulous week, Chris!

Michelle, the media's also giving birth to a slew of REAL ESTATE EXPERTS now. The comments I hear from some people!  "The market is due to CRASH this year!"  "Prices will go down ANOTHER 25%!"  "IT'S GOING TO GET EVEN WORSE!"  OMG, Chicken Little, take a valium already!  Have an awesome week and thank you so much for commenting.

 

Antonette, Ditto to what Chris said:) 

I agree with your remark about being too late if you wait for the media to tell you now is the time to buy, It will already have passed. Perfect example is how the market started changing here in RI a couple of years ago, but only now is making the news.

 

Karen, thanks for your support and the amazing compliment.  People will do what they want anyway.  I'm busy with customers making wise decisions; some are sitting on the sidelines; some are asking me to write lowball offers (unaccepted, and weeks later I'll see the property in attorney review). Others are buying and getting great deals.  They're not making news, but they're moving on with their lives in homes they can afford with mortgage products that will not throw them under a bus.  THANKS AGAIN!!! 

( 01/30/08 06:27PM ) — Vincent Coccia

The media controls too many people and their thinking.  Rather than using their own brain that individuals were given they rather let some stranger dictate to them.  Thanks fo the post. 

Vincent, thank you for stopping by.  Information is power!  Twisted perceptions are not helping the consumer either.  That goes for NAR's broad stroke claims that NOW IS A GOOD TIME TO BUY...FOR EVERYONE AND ANYONE.  Not true!  You have to be in the right position to buy as I mentioned in my entry.  Also, the line that REAL ESTATE OVERALL APPRECIATES TO TWICE IT'S VALUE EVERY 10 YEARS is irresponsible.  What's wrong with reporting just plain ole wonderful down to earth REALITY?

( 01/31/08 11:12AM ) — John March, Realtor / Broker

Antoinette,

this was a thoughtful, well-written and informative post. Thanks.

John, thanks for your comment. I'm glad you found value in the entry. 

To the anonymous comment:  The talking heads spew doom however, it's not really the end of the world.  The market is not "crashing."  It went through a necessary adjustment; a downward one.  Which is fine.  The mortgage crisis is pretty much over.  The resets will all be done in a few months.  Have documentation on this but not digging it out of my briefcase right now!  No longer can you obtain a no doc loan....not many can finance for 100% of the value of the home.  Which is fine.  Some people shouldn't be buying homes.  So, this brings us back to reality.  Amazing mortgage rates, lots of inventory, homeowners willing to negotiate (or sit on the market).  Bring in the savvy negotiators.  Bring on the great deals.  Sounds pretty damn good to me.

Andrew.  Yes, SMART PEOPLE ARE BUYING REAL ESTATE NOW!  SMART PEOPLE ARE PRICING TO SELL REAL ESTATE NOW!  Thanks for coming by!

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