October Market Report

October Residential Highlights

Market Activity continues to be on the decline when compared to 2008. Pending sales fell 39.6% when comparing October 2008 with October 2007. The number of closed sales and new listings also fell, 21.4% and 21.6% respectively. Comparing October to September, we also saw a decline across the board, although not as intense as the comparison above. There were 25.6% (1,268 v. 1,705) fewer accepted offers in October. Additionally, there were 14.2% (3,605 v. 4,200) less new listings added to the inventory. Further, there was a 10.7% (1,465 v. 1,640) drop in closed sales. At the month’s rate of sales, the 16,257 active residential properties would last approximately 11.1 months.

Year-to-Date

Comparing January-October of 2008 to the same time period in 2007 there have been 31.3% fewer closed sales and 30.2% less accepted offers this year. In addition, there was a 7.5% decrease in the number of homes added to the market.

Affordability

Due to a decrease in the median home price in the Portland Metro Area ($267,000 in September) and a drop in the average interest rate (6.04% per Freddie Mac) a family earning the median income ($67,500 in 2008, per HUD) can afford 109% of the monthly mortgage payment on a median priced home according to a formula from the National Association of Realtors®. The formula assumes that the buyer has a 20% down payment and a 30 year fixed rate of 5.97% (per Freddie Mac).

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