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Thurston County Real Estate Market Trends

As we approach the new year, I won't dispute the fact that these are trying times. We are all hoping that with the inaugaration of the new president, that sentiment about the welfare of the country and the economy will improve. I believe that it will, and that although we face a difficult climb out of this hole that we're in....it could be worse. As the numbers in the market trends report show, things are improving some in the real estate market. Based on the time of year the numbers are really quite good. It took a global economic meltdown for our local market to experiance a price correction, and that correction has been 3-8%, depending on what segment of the market you look at. This really bodes well for both property owners as well as buyers in our area. While other markets have declined by as much as 50%, ours has remained strong, a clear sign that it will be strong in any recovery.

The sense that I get from almost all of my clients is that there is a lot of pent up demand (buyers waiting for the bottom), and barring any unforseen catastrophies, I think that we are very near that bottom. I have seen a big increase in people searching the MLS for listings, and correspondance from my internet audience indicates that quite a few are looking aggressively, and hoping to take advantage of good deals and low interest rates in the new year.

As you review the numbers in the report, note that inventory has come down significantly from last summer, and although home sales in Thurston county are off by 20% from a year ago...the market certainly isn't dead. As sentiment improves, past real estate cycles have shown that we typically start with a bang. All of the "really good deals" get snapped up very quickly. Although timing is not a method that I recommend, "be prepared to take action" should be part of your plan. Have a prosperous and happy new year, Phil Sharp

First Time Home Buyer Incentive; $7500 from the Fed: http://www.federalhousingtaxcredit.com/glance.php .

THURSTON COUNTY

For The Period of November 1-30 2008

Nov 1 - Oct New New
Active Nov 30 2008 Const Resale Const %
Thurston County 1853 1936 529 1324 .29%
Lacey 240 247 75 165 .31%
Hawks Prairie 359 347 138 221 .38%
Olympia 354 370 71 283 .20%
Tumwater 185 208 94 91 .51%
Yelm 332 344 88 244 .27%

Pending Nov 1 - Oct YTD YTD
Sales Nov 30 2008 2008 2007 % Change
Thurston County 199 253 3430 4215 -.19%
Lacey 42 42 568 755 -.25%
Hawks Prairie 27 29 621 767 -.19%
Olympia 54 57 686 978 -.30%
Tumwater 21 26 306 335 -.09%
Yelm 36 53 646 684 -.06%

Nov 1 - Oct YTD YTD
Sold Nov 30 2008 2008 2007 % Change
Thurston County 171 297 2850 3708 -.23%
Lacey 26 44 474 701 -.32%
Hawks Prairie 29 53 576 654 -.12%
Olympia 35 64 597 878 -.32%
Tumwater 19 21 260 257 1.0%
Yelm 27 56 467 601 -.22%

Average Time On Average Time On
Area Market YTD 08 Market YTD 07
Thurston County 95 81
Lacey 93 77
Hawks Prairie 83 80
Olympia 89.6 79.8
Tumwater 95 81
Yelm 81 83

·Data prepared by Phil Sharp, provided by NWMLS

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Posted Thursday Dec 11