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Before the Super Bowl XLIV gets started we thought we’d take a look at what happened in Belmont in January 2010.
We’re including two spreadsheets—one for this last January and to help put in perspective, the one from last January.
Most statistics across the country point to January of 2009 as the low point for the real estate market. But what are they saying? The lowest point for sales, median price or what?
Many pundits are saying that home values hit bottom in January of 2009 and in fact in many of the hardest hit areas like Phoenix that may well hold to be true. But for areas that initially fared better, indications are that the price erosion is continuing.
January 2010
January 2009
(Clicking on either chart will deliver a larger picture.)
Looking at these two data samples, it’s easy to see that sales in Belmont are indeed up—way up. January of 2009 was simply dismal with only four sales and reflected that overall uncertainty of the future as buyers chose to sit on the sidelines and wait to see how much more prices will tumble.
SALES
This January’s sales reflect more buyers entering the market and buying homes. In January of 2009 there were 31% more listings available yet sales increased this year by 175%!
What accounted for the huge increase in homes sales? Part of it appears to be the resignation by sellers that they must take less for their homes than they had hoped for a year earlier. Note that all but five homes which sold this January not only had a price reduction but on average all received only 94% of their already reduced price.
MEDIAN PRICE
Most sellers had to lower their initial asking price by $50,000 and then accepted offers another $50,000 less than that. On a median home price of $850,000 that represents a huge disparity between what sellers (or their agents) think their home is worth, and what buyers are willing to pay.
Sales were up indeed but at deeply discounted prices. The Median home price in Belmont was $850, 000 which is about 4.7% less than January of last year. But not only can you get a home for 4.7% less than last January the home you get will be 6% larger. Another way to look at it of course is that prices have really dropped closer to 11% year-over-year.
DOM
Have the price reductions and lower asking prices helped sell homes faster? Just the opposite turns out to be true. The days it takes a seller to seller their home has almost tripled from 42 to 125.
Enjoy the game!
Data provided from the Mulitple LIsting Service.
The information contained in this blog is educational and intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute legal, real estate or tax advice, nor does it substitute for profesional advice.
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We thought we'd update this graph depicting the median price in several peninsula cities. Note that while in Q4 of 2007 the median price in Menlo Park was still rising, it had started to fall off dramatically in Daly City. Prices appear to have hit bottom--for now. The real estate landscape has changed so dramatically in the last few years that everything we knew about home values (and recoveries) needs to be reexamined. Could we be in for another double dip? Knowbody knows for for sure--one way of the other. It's safe to say that at some point a recovery will happen and next time it might pay to watch what is going on in other cities. Daly City seems to ge a good barometer as to where the market may he headed...
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We’re posting the sales for Belmont from back in July at the insistence of one of our readers (thanks for being so patient). We skipped that month since we were so busy ourselves. Quite a few buyers came out of the woodwork in July and we noticed it on one of our listings in San Carlos that had multiple offers. In our estimation, the Peninsula real estate market has not recovered significantly enough to warrant such activity but the low interest rates probably spurred people into action—all at once.
At 24, July had the most sales and of any month this year. The median price was also the highest it has been all year at $926,500. But just look at how many homes sold over a million dollars! There were some very large homes selling which definitely propped up the median price temporarily. We’ll go out on a limb and say that will probably hold for the remainder of the year—and well into the next; mostly because of the seasonal nature of real estate.
The prices that the sellers accepted were far under what their homes were listed for, indicating some tough negotiations by buyers and capitulating by sellers. Fifteen of the 24 homes sold under asking for on average of $ 43,000 less.
Sales in July were still less than half of what they were just a few years ago when homes were flying off the shelves. Still, it’s nice to see a momentary blip—unless you are a buyer. Speaking of that, if you are a buyer, the best time to buy a home is coming up soon. Don’t start your winter hibernation too soon and miss out on what we expect will be some great deals in December and January.
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There are eleven open houses scheduled in Belmont for Sunday January 10, 2010. Here is a list of these open houses for you:
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"Rarely have I been held in thrall for such a sustained period of dance." Keith Kreitman, San Mateo Journal
Please come join us for an Encore presentation of New Ground Dance Theatre's Premiere Production, "Earthdance."
Two performances only!
Ticketing Information: (650) 508-3456 or boxoffice@ndnu.edu
Performances are: Friday, January 8th at 7:30pm and Saturday, January 9th at 7:30 pm
This production of Earthdance is presented by Notre Dame de Namur University's Department of Theatre and Dance, and the NDNU Dorothy Stang Center for Social Justice and Community Engagement. All proceeds will benefit the NDNU Department of Theatre and Dance and the Dorothy Stang Center.
Please forward this invite liberally even if you won't be joining us - perhaps a friend would like to support the work of the Dorothy Stang Center or NDNU Theatre and Dance?
In order to do so simply, click the "Invite Guests" link, then add your facebook friends (or a list of email addresses), and a personal message (if you like), and choose the "Send Invitations" button...that's it! You have our Thanks!
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