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Warner Robins, GA

Once in a Century Tsunami? Oh Yeah!

Jacque Applegate Realtor 478-335-4030 Warner Robins, Georgia: Real Estate Agent in Warner Robins, GA

While reading the news online I read an artice by the Associated Press about Alan Greenspan being questioned about the current state of the economy, and he is quoted as saying that our current crisis is a "Once in a Century Tsunami" Really?

http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,443737,00.html Greenspan said that he felt that the banks would have had more concern for the shareholders and investors then they did. Is it not surprising that even the banks were swept by this Tsunami? I actually think verses the word Tsunami we should replace it with greed. Because wasn't it actually greed that caused this?

My main issue I have with this whole topic is that here they are questioning Alan Greenspan the Former Chairman of the Federal Reserve why are we not questioning the Leaders of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae? Why is it they are not being held accountable for what has happened? When we talk greed, they walked with millions but no one is screaming for justice from them. Yet when Enron happened we sent those men to jail. Is it because Freddie and Fannie were government back enterprises?

Greenspan stated that "there was a flaw in the model.... that defines how the world works." A flaw? I think not I think it is greed. We had banks lowering standard to make shareholders and investors happy because the mortgages were a good money makers. So to make more money they lowered minimum credit scores, they became creative in their lending. We were putting home buyers in homes they could ill afford. We were doing that by interest only loans or No money down loans? Is it any wonder that when they got a rate adjustment on those ARMS and interest only loan home owners got a shock?

Living in a military community I have had the unfortunate opportunity on more then one occasion to go to a listing appt and have to tell the home owner "Even in the beat case senairo you wil have to bring money to the table." It is never a good or comfortable listing appointment and this was all caused because someone put these homeowner into a mortgage that they did not either understand or it was not explained to them in true detail.

As REALTORS we have a responsibility to educated our customers and clients to the best of our ability on all the features of different loan programs. The market says consumer beware but when you have knowledge that will benefit another is it not right to share the knowledge to the betterment of the buyer? Even we as REALTORS got greedy in the market, We stopped doing what we knew was right and we did not always have the best interest of our clients in the forefront of our daily actions. I am not saying all of us but I know of many in our town who only did interest only loans, that was the only program they sold. But I deter from my original point sorry.

So my main question here is?

Where were the head of Freddie and Fannie when s*#@ hit the fan? Where are the men who took so much money from the industry? Why are we not questioning them? Why are we not hearing anything from them? Is there no contrition?

A critical pillar to market competition and free markets did break down," Greenspan said. "I still do not fully understand why it happened." Well let me education you Mr Greenspan. A critical pillar did break down but I am not sure the free market broke down. I think greed was the pillar but I believe free market was the doorway through which the pillar tumbled. By living in a society where we have free enterprise we allow the green eyed monster of greed to take over when we allow it to go unchecked.

So I ask you will there be justice? Or are we afraid to ask the question of those who were key figures in the downfall of this free society? Where are they and why are we asking Alan Greenspan the tough questions but not the heads of Freddie and Fannie??? Inquiring minds wanna know.

Warner Robins Georgia HPI Update

John Cobb, Realtor®: Real Estate Agent in Warner Robins, GA

Housing Price Index Update - As of Sep 2008

There are different real estate economy indicators for Middle GA homes for sale, but I prefer to look at The Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight Home Price Index at http://www.ofheo.gov/. Warner Robins GA was unranked in 2007 with 6.52% percent increase in Housing Price Index. In the last 5 years there has been a 21.39% total increase averaging 4.3% per year with the housing market in Warner Robins. The National HPI fell in 2007 .3%. It is important to remember that the National Average is just that - an average compared to what it was 12 months prior. There are many communities above the average and many below the average. Warner Robins real estate market remains strong, but average days on market have increased in 2008 by 1 or 2 months and list to sell prices dropped slightly. National averages on HPI have decreased, but our local market in Warner Robins Georgia continues to appreciate. HPI is based on total change over the past 12 months.

1st Qtr 08: (Jan-Mar)

National HPI fell 1.7%

Warner Robins 1.03 increase

2nd Qtr 08: (Apr-Jun)

National HPI fell 1.4%

Warner Robins .65 increase

Housing Price Index in Warner Robins GA

John Cobb, Realtor®: Real Estate Agent in Warner Robins, GA
There has been a lot of negative news media about the Real Estate market over the past several months. I have been telling my customers that some states are having problems such as California and Florida, but Georgia's Real Estate market remains strong. Homes for Sale in Warner Robins GA have been averaging steady 3% to 4% appreciation per year with no housing bubbles, which has created a healthy housing market. I was in our weekly sales meeting Wednesday and our office manager was talking about the Housing Price Index (HPI) in Georgia and Warner Robins. I pulled up the same information online and thought I'd share the same information here in my blog. The Housing Price Index (HPI) is a broad measure of the movement of single-family house prices. The HPI for each geographic area is estimated using repeated observations of housing values for individual single-family residential properties on which at least two mortgages were originated and subsequently purchased by ether Freddie Mac or Fannie Mae since January 1975. The HPI is a measure designed to capture changes in the value of single-family homes in the U.S. by state and metropolitan areas. Percent Change in House Prices by Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight (OFHEO) Georgia was ranked #24 in 2007 with 2.55 percent increase. In the last 5 years 24.74% increase. East South Central was ranked #2 in 2007 with 4.14 percent increase. In the last 5 years 29.77% increase. Warner Robins GA was unranked in 2007 with 6.52% percent increase. In the last 5 years 23.44% increase. This is big news for the naysayer’s and people waiting for the market to improve before buying a home in Warner Robins GA. It also means I have been underestimating my estimate of 3% to 4% yearly appreciation. A better estimate of appreciation I should be telling my customers is 4% to 4.5%. Interest rates are low and now is truly a great time to buy a home in Warner Robins GA.

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John W. Cobb

REALTOR® jcobb@coldwellbankerssk.com

Coldwell Banker, SSK Realtors

Cell – (478) 396-2440

Work – (478) 953-8595 ext 272

http://www.johncobbmiddlega.com

Warner Robins GA Pricing of Homes for Sale

John Cobb, Realtor®: Real Estate Agent in Warner Robins, GA

Warner Robins Real Estate has been extremely busy this year. Many people are looking for houses this year. Unfortunately some people have the misconception that all the prices have dropped significantly and there is a deal on every corner. There are many homes for sale in Warner Robins GA right now, but the prices of homes in general has not decreased. Appreciation of homes in Warner Robins GA is still averaging 3 to 4 percent appreciation per year. Pricing of homes is very competitive though - the correctly priced homes sell much faster than the over priced homes. So there are many good homes, in good repair, priced correctly, and are ready to sell! There are also many buyers looking right now - many buyers and many sellers is making for a very healthy real estate market in Warner Robins GA in 2008.

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John W. Cobb

REALTOR® jcobb@coldwellbankerssk.com

Coldwell Banker, SSK Realtors

Cell – (478) 396-2440

Work – (478) 953-8595 ext 272

http://www.johncobbmiddlega.com

Warner Robins GA area is currently a Buyer's Market

John Cobb, Realtor®: Real Estate Agent in Warner Robins, GA

What does this mean?

An over abundance of inventory in New Construction homes in the Warner Robin's area has given buyer's a greater number of homes to choose from throughout Houston County with various price ranges. Buyers are also taking a little longer to narrow down their selection before purchasing. Negative news media regarding Real Estate trends is also making homebuyer's more cautious about buying. Some states such as California and Florida have had major Real Estate problems, while Georgia's housing market remains strong. Between the large inventory of homes for sale in Warner Robins GA, buyer's being more selective, and negative news media; there is now for the first time in 12 years a buyer's market in Warner Robins Georgia. Interest rates have also recently dropped the lowest they have been in over 5 years, making this a great time to buy a home.

Conclusions

1. Seller's that price their homes correctly and in-line with their competition are selling quickly, and getting close to their asking price, while overpriced homes rarely receive any offers.

2. New Construction - Builders are more flexible on extras and helping with closing costs

3. Resale Homes - Sellers should have a market analysis of their home to determine the best price, have their home looking great, and in good repair before putting the home on the market. They should also be prepared to help with buyer's closing costs.

4. It is even more important to use a qualified Real Estate Professional now, more than ever. Buyer's can use a Realtor to help narrow down their search, and avoid buying an overpriced home, and Seller's will need Realtor marketing skills and resources to help sell their home.

For more information on Warner Robins Real Estate, please visit my Warner Robins Real Estate website.

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John W. Cobb

REALTOR® jcobb@coldwellbankerssk.com

Coldwell Banker, SSK Realtors

Cell – (478) 396-2440

Work – (478) 953-8595 ext 272

http://www.johncobbmiddlega.com