Champaign, IL

Five years ago after many years of being in real estate, I wanted to find a way to give back to the community that helped make me so successful. This year marks our 5th Annual Coat the Community Fundraiser. With the help of many sponsors including the Salvation Army, County Market grocery store, WCIA news and 92.5 The Chief radio station each year we gather to collect as many gently used coats as possible to donate back to our city of Champaign. The Salvation army is always there with their hot coffee and donuts helping us sort through the many coats and then with the distribution afterwords. In October 2008 we collected close to 1000 coats and we hope to surpass that amount this year.

Information for the 5th Annual Coat the Community:

Sponsored by Scott Bechtel & The Bechtel Group

Saturday, October 17th, 2009 * 9:00 a.m. until 12:00 noon

Location: County Market at Kirby Ave and Duncan Rd, Champaign

There are many people in this community that will appreciate your donation! Please save your extra coats and help keep a family warm this winter.

For anyone donating coats this October you also have a chance to win gift certificates from Buffalo Wild Wings, Monica's Pizza, and County Market grocery store.

According to analysts, home prices may fall in the near-term and rise only in 2012. "We expect prices to drop for another year and then stabilize before starting to rise with incomes," says Standard & Poor's Chief Economist David Wyss. The S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index, which tracks the movement of home prices, will fall about 16% this year before stabilizing. Fiserv, a research firm, has forecasted the 2012 home prices in 50 largest metro areas across different states.
In some states such as Wisconsin, Ohio, Indiana, and Michigan, home prices will see a rise by 2012. However, in states such as Florida, California, New Jersey, and New York, prices will fall until end 2012.

Elliot Eisenberg, a senior economist with the National Association of Home Builders says there's still pain to come in states where there's oversupply. "Prices will have to come down further and it will take a while to burn off the excess inventory that's floating around there," said Eisenberg. So what should home buyers do now? Is it a good time to buy? "To generalize, yeah, it is a good time to buy a house. I don't think there's any urgency because I think it'll still be a great time to buy a house a year from now," says economist Richard DeKaser of Woodley Park Research.

According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), home sales rose 2.9% in April from March. While sales in the low-end properties segment have risen, the market for high-end properties is still sluggish. Sherry Chris, chief executive of Better Homes and Gardens Real Estate, says, "We're looking at a dual market right now." Mortgage for expensive properties is getting difficult to obtain on account of lenders tightening their lending standards. The government controlled mortgage companies such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac cannot purchase loans above $730,000, which are commonly referred to as "jumbo" loans. Jumbo loans which accounted for 17% of the mortgage market two years ago, now account for just 5%. In most places, there is no significant interest for properties over $1 million. Ben Coleman, owner of Century 21 Hartford Properties, says, "That's where we're really feeling the pinch." Lawrence Yun, chief economist at NAR, has urged the Federal Reserve to buy up jumbo loans in order to restore liquidity in the high-end mortgage market.

The S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index, measuring housing prices in 20 representative cities across America, fell for the 30th straight month in January, bringing house prices down to 2003 levels. And this time it actually set a record, falling 19% from January 2008. "There are very few bright spots that one can see in the data," said David Blitzer, chairman of the index committee at Standard and Poor's. "Most of the nation appears to remain on a downward path, with...nine of the MSAs (metropolitan statistical areas) falling more than 20% in the last year." According to Mike Larson, a real estate analyst with Weiss Research, home prices won't start advancing until the overall economy picks up.

Home bargains galore

In total, prices have plunged 29.1% nationally since they peaked during the second quarter of 2006, but that of course doesn't figure in individual cities, where prices are more varied. Dallas is the least affected at 4.9%, and Phoenix lost the most, at 48.5% from its peak. All 20 index cities were in negative territory, but the biggest losers are Las Vegas, Miami, Phoenix, San Francisco, and San Diego -- each losing more than 40%. The bad, and good, news is that the rate of decline has picked up recently. As Mike Larson, a real estate analyst with Weiss Research says, ""Arguably, that's just what we need to drive up sales activity and reduce inventory."

Big boys ready to pounce

Morgan Stanley is one of several early bird institutional investors getting ready to snap up real estate bargains -- it's close to raising $6 billion for a new global property fund: the Morgan Stanley Real Estate Fund VII Global. "I think these new real estate funds will look for distressed opportunities and they think they can bargain with developers who mismanage the balance sheets or have liquidity issues," said Laure Wang, managing director of Asia Alternatives, a private equity fund of funds. According to Paul Vosper, chief operating officer for real estate at Morgan Stanley's Alternative Investment Partners unit, the downturn in global property markets will create a period of strong returns.