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Don't Let Cold Feet Cost You $8,000 on Your Prairieville Home

Sandy Ogburn  Sandlin - Fine Baton Rouge area homes: Real Estate Agent in Prairieville, LA

buyerSummer, 2009 is passing, and as fall approaches, one of best the deals first time homebuyers have had it a long time is winding down. As currently written, the $8,000 first time homebuyer credit is set to expire November 30, 2009. That does not mean you have signed a sales contract that day; it means that by that date, you must have closed on the property. The moving truck is on the way; you'll be having Christmas in your new house.

Given that it takes a little longer to get a loan and have all the paperwork completed these days, your best bet is to have your contract signed by October 1, with October 15 being your "drop dead date." Of course, if you come to the closing with a wheel barrow full of cash, your schedule might be a bit different!

So why haven't you called me or a reputable agent in your area to get the ball rolling? Mind you, I'm not trying to make you buy a home before you're ready, but a lot of times, I find that people are stuck in the inactive mode. Here's what might be on your mind:

What if the credit is renewed and made even larger?

It's true that there are a few attempts underway to expand the credit to more buyers and extend its length. If a larger credit is approved, it is likely that you would be able to claim the higher one, based on how the government handled the transition from the $7,500 credit to the $8,000 one.

If the credit is expanded to include all homebuyers, there will be more competition for existing homes. As it is now, the homes that are moving briskly on the market are the homes closer to a first time buyer's price range. With even more competition, the housing stock you might want to look at might be seriously depleted.

What if my job isn't stable? I don't want to make a commitment and then be unable to pay the mortgage?

Of course, if you are fearful of losing your job, you should be cautious. You might ask yourself how much your current rent is. Is your household a one income household or a two income one? Are you in a field where you could easily get another job in the worse scenario? Assuming that your boss is not walking down the hall toward your office with a pink slip and you don't have a concrete reason to believe that will happen, you might take the plunge if your house payment won't be much more than what you pay now.

My credit is not perfect, so I'd better wait.

In these times, lenders are stricter and may require a higher credit score than in the past. You should look at your credit report and see how you stand. Many times, when you pull your report, you will see some things that can be fixed quickly by notifying the credit bureau. By updating payments falsely reported as late, checking that your balance and credit limits are reported correctly, and getting old outdated or inaccurate information removed, you might get your score good enough to qualify for the loan. If your score isn't good enough to qualify for the best terms, you still might be able to get a loan that you can refinance later when your credit report looks better and you have built some equity in your current home.

What if prices keep dropping and I pay a few more thousand that I would need to?

No question about it, no one wants to see an item go on sale right after they've bought it! Right now, all indications are that housing process are near the bottom of their free fall. If your homes falls even a few thousand dollars, your mortgage would be pretty close to what it is now. It is better to get a home you can afford now than wait for the market to completely adjust.

My dog has fleas, my car is in the shop, or, as the Bible says, there's a lion in the street. Now is not a good time to buy!

Well, in some Southern states, there are cases where alligators turn up in residential neighborhoods. But most of these "reasons" amount to procrastination. Maybe you are hesitant to take such a big step if you have never bought a home before or if you took a break from home ownership. If your finances are right and you would like to be a homeowner, this is a great time to do so.

If the $8,000 incentive is not enough to your fears about buying a home now, it's time to talk to your agent about whether your concerns are legitimate or whether you need some encouragement to pursue your part of the American dream.

Sandy Ogburn-Sandlin and her team of agents are ready to discuss your concerns and then show you the prettiest homes in Prairieville and other parts of East Baton Rouge, Ascension, and Livingston Parish.

Prairieville Louisiana 70769 Real Estate News, Housing Trends, Home Prices, Appraiser Market Studies...

William D. Cobb FHA Home Appraiser: Appraiser in Baton Rouge, LA

http://www.ascensionrealestateappraisers.com/ - Prairieville Louisiana 70769 Real Estate News, Housing Trends, Home Prices, Appraiser Market Studies...

Manchac Commons Appraiser Housing Market Study

Prairieville Louisiana 70769 FHA Home Real Estate Appraisers

Solds from 01/01/2008 to 12/31/2008 revealed:
Average Sales Price: $232,247
Average Sold Price Per Sq. Ft.: $112.70
Median Sold Price: $239,900
Average # of Days On Market: 56
# of Sales: 16
Average Sq. Ft.: 2,073sf

Solds from 01/01/2009 to 07/31/2009 reveals:
Average Sales Price: $227,538
Average Sold Price Per Sq. Ft.: $110.70
Median Sold Price: $227,000
Average # of Days On Market: 238
# of Sales: 7
Average Sq. Ft.: 2,083sf

Therefore, based on the median sale price barometer (the barometer used by the NAR National Association of Realtors) within Subdivision, the market direction appears to be declining since 2008. Average Sales Price has declined -$4,709 or -2.03%. Median Sales Price has declined -$12,900 or -5.38%. Average Sold Price Per Sq. Ft. has declined -$2.00/sf or -1.77%.

A further S.M.A.R.T. Analysis of the Manchac Commons data since 8/1/2008 to 7/31/2009 reveals a -13.45% Decline

manchac commons sales price change

smart trends analysis for manchac commons

Pelican Point Real Estate Market Analysis - 2009 Mid-year Report

Don Stern ~ Greater Baton Rouge Real Estate: Real Estate Agent in Baton Rouge, LA

Pelican Point Real Estate Market Report

2009 Mid-year Report

This mid-year report is the result of my analysis of data retrieved from the Greater Baton Rouge Association of Realtors MLS database. Only data relating to detached single family (DSF) homes were included. None of the townhome sales were included in this analysis as they represent a different product. As I have done in the past, I made a distinction between new construction and previously owned (re-sale) homes.

While the projected overall unit sales in Pelican Point are down from 2008, we can see improvement in new construction units sold. Sales of previously owned homes are down from last year but, at current absorption rates, will be ahead of sales in the pre-Katrina year of 2004. The following chart illustrates this point.

Ascension Real Estate

Overall, previously owned homes in the subdivision have held their value. The average price per square foot of living area has held at $121.56/sq.ft. This is about even with 2008 sales but down from the selling prices in the years immediately following hurricane Katrina. At $121.56, however, homes are selling well ahead of pre-Katrina prices. Homes in Pelican Point are diverse but, in general, similar homes are on a given street. For that reason, I've analyzed the re-sale data by looking at sales by street. The following chart shows selling $/sq.ft. and unit sales by street.

Ascension Real Estate

The next chart again shows that re-sale prices have held steady between 2008 and 2009. New construction prices, however, have declined a bit from the high seen in 2008 but have remained higher than the average $/sq.ft. for the years 2004-2007.

Ascension Real Estate

Fewer than 2 homes per month are being sold in the re-sale market segment. With 29 homes currently listed, it is clearly a buyer's market. At current absorption rates there is a 15.8 month supply as the next chart illustrates.

Ascension Real Estate

The new construction segment has a 9.6 month supply at the current absorption rate of 0.8 homes per month. Drilling down through price range, one can see that so far this year no homes over $400K have been sold yet there are four available. I would encourage builders to refrain from building homes in this price range until the market for them rebounds.

Ascension Real Estate

Comments and suggestions are encouraged. Readers wishing to have a more in-depth discussion welcome to contact me directly.



©2009 by Don Stern - All Rights Reserved

(225)413-3634 phone (225)313-3698 fax

don@thehomevendor.com - email

www.TheHomeVendor.com www.DonAndAlishaStern.com www.LiveAscension.com www.PelicanPointHomes.com www.WaterfrontPropertyLA.com

Ascension Parish, LA Real Estate - 2009 Mid-year Market Report

Don Stern ~ Greater Baton Rouge Real Estate: Real Estate Agent in Baton Rouge, LA

Ascension Parish Real Estate Market Report

2009 Mid-year Report

This mid-year report is the result of my analysis of data retrieved from the Greater Baton Rouge Association of Realtors MLS database. Only data relating to detached single family (DSF) homes were included. As I have done in the past, a distinction was made between new construction and previously owned (re-sale) homes.

Unit sales have continued to improved as indicated by the next chart. Sales of new construction are projected in 2009 to exceed sales of new construction in 2008. While recent improvements have been observed, home sales in the re-sale market segment are lagging behind those in 2008 but have rebounded to pre-Katrina levels.

Ascension Real Estate

The following chart tracks unit sales of new construction by month and year. One can see that new construction sales in 2009 have exceeded those in 2008 for every month so far this year.

Ascension Real Estate

While off to a slow start, previously owned home sales during June of this year exceeded those of June in 2008 and for every month except May exceeded the corresponding month in 2004.

Ascension Real Estate

Through June, we can see in the following chart that the average price of previously owned homes sold in the parish have not declined. The average price of a new home sold, however, has seen a substantial drop.

Ascension Real Estate

The explanation for this drop in the average price of a new home sold is made clear in the following chart which shows new construction sales by subdivision. Only the top 12 subdivision are shown but these twelve account for nearly 60% of home sales. It is evident that most new home sales were in subdivisions where homes with a limited number of floor plans and a generally lower standard of amenities than we have seen in years past are built.

Ascension Real Estate

We have been selling through the inventory of new construction in the parish. The following chart shows that, overall, there is only a 3.8 month supply of new homes... a seller's market overall. Looking at absorption data by price range we can see that a seller's market condition (less than 5.5 month supply) exists for all price ranges up to $400K. The absorption rate and inventory levels of homes selling for $400K and up, on the other hand, result in a serious buyer's market with more than a 20-month supply.

Ascension Real Estate

In the re-sale market segment there is, overall, a 6.4 month supply... a neutral market. Drilling down through the data, we can see that a seller's market condition exists for homes selling up to $200K. Over $200K, a buyer's market condition exists and for previously owned homes selling for more than $400K there are more than 3 years worth of inventory at current the current absorption rate.

div align="center">Ascension Real Estate

Comments and suggestions are encouraged. Readers wishing to have a more in-depth discussion welcome to contact me directly.



©2009 by Don Stern - All Rights Reserved

(225)413-3634 phone (225)313-3698 fax

don@thehomevendor.com - email

www.TheHomeVendor.com www.DonAndAlishaStern.com www.LiveAscension.com www.PelicanPointHomes.com www.WaterfrontPropertyLA.com

Gonzales Louisiana 70737 Villa Gardens Housing Report Midyear 2009 by Ascension Parish FHA Appraisers

William D. Cobb FHA Home Appraiser: Appraiser in Baton Rouge, LA

http://www.ascensionrealestateappraisers.com/ - Gonzales Louisiana 70737 Villa Gardens Housing Report Midyear 2009 by Ascension Parish FHA Appraisers

Village Gardens Subdivision Gonzales LA 70737

Solds In Villa Gardens Subdivision from 07/01/07 to 07/01/08 revealed:
Average Sales Price: $161,250
Average Sold Price Per Sq. Ft.: $115.13
Median Sold Price: $161,000
Low Sales Price: $160,000
High Sales Price: $163,000
Average # of Days On Market: 36
# of Sales: 4

Solds In Villa Gardens Subdivision from 07/01/2008 to 07/09/2009 reveals:
Average Sales Price: $170,975
Average Listing Price: $174,200
Average Sold Price Per Sq. Ft.: $114.40
Median Sold Price: $181,000
Low Sales Price: $155,000
High Sales Price: $182,000
Average # of Days On Market: 79
# of Sales: 4
Listing Price To Sales Price Ratio Has Been: 98%

Village Gardens Subdivision Gonzales LA 70737 Aerial Map

Therefore, based on the median sale price barometer (the barometer used by the NAR National Association of Realtors) within Subdivision, the market direction appears to be increasing.

The Average Sales Price has increased by +$9,725

Median Sales Price has increased by +$20,000.

Average Sold Price Per Sq. Ft. has decreased by -$0.73/sf.

See 1004MC "Sub-market" Charting Below. Overall Stable Market To Slightly Increasing Market (+2.81% Since 7/2008). 6 Months Supply of Housing On Market. 17 Competing Listings Does Indicate a Slight Over-Supply. 98% List-To-Sales Price Ratio.

Smart Appraiser MLS Trends Analysis For Gonzales Louisiana 70737

Market data used with the permission of Greater Baton Rouge Board of Realtors.

Author's Bio:

Bill Cobb, CREA, is Greater Baton Rouge's favorite and most reputable home appraiser frequently called upon by banks, homeowners, and savvy real estate investors to assess property values. A home appraiser with 17 years experience, Bill Cobb brings a wealth of knowledge to the table as a home appraiser.

Bill's company, Accurate Valuations Home Appraisal Group, serves Greater Baton Rouge (East Baton Rouge Parish, West Baton Rouge Parish, Western Livingston Parish and Northern Ascension Parish).

Contact Bill Cobb and Accurate Valuations Home Appraisal Group for your next home appraisal:

Office: 225-293-1500, Cell: 225-953-0638

Fax: 1-866-663-6065

fastvalue2@cox.net

http://www.ascensionrealestateappraisers.com/

Bill Cobb Appraiser Gonzales Louisiana 70737