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Every month I review statistics for the Detroit and surrounding areas. The trend over the last years has been positive. Inventory levels have remained even or have dropped. What does this mean to the consumer?
If you look at the Real Estate Market's indicators, inventory levels are a leading indicator. They're the first things to point out a market trend or direction. Everyone focuses on prices but prices almost always lag behind inventory.
Here's an Excel sheet I've used to measure market inventory. Rule of thumb is that 4-6 months of inventory is a normal market. If there is more inventory prices drop due to too many choices for a buyer. If there is less inventory, the buyer must make a quicker choice and will much more likely be in a competitive bidding process.
| Active | Pending | Sold | A/Inventory | P/Inventory | |||
| Detroit | 3052 | 1067 | 2615 | 7.00 | 2.45 | ||
| Livonia | 428 | 128 | 527 | 4.87 | 1.46 | ||
| Canton | 270 | 88 | 389 | 4.16 | 1.36 | ||
| Novi | 212 | 52 | 197 | 6.46 | 1.58 | ||
| Troy | 356 | 93 | 353 | 6.05 | 1.58 | ||
| Northville | 184 | 53 | 153 | 7.22 | 2.08 | ||
| Plymouth | 152 | 28 | 195 | 4.68 | 0.86 |
The above table shows that the city of Detroit has a 7 month supply of inventory. This is up almost 1/2 month from Decembers numbers. This could signal another price drop if the trend continues. Plymouth, on the other hand, is down about 1/2 months of inventory form December.
Now, you can't take one month and predict a trend but if you look at 6 months you can get an idea of where the market is going. Some of the factors that could affect the market are unemployment not expecting to get much better soon as well as other general economic trend. Still, it bears keeping the stats in mind if you are an investor looking to purchase.
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Here are 15 inexpensive Livonia condominiums under $50,000. There is one that is 1100 square feet listed at $39,000. That's less that $50 a square foot. If you notice there are some that have association fees as cheap as $125 a month.
| LIST PRICE | STREET NAME | SQUARE FOOTAGE | BEDROOMS | BATHS.LAVS | ASSOC FEE | DOM |
| $27,500 | FARGO | 704 | 1 | 1 | 192 | 68 |
| $29,900 | MIDDLEBELT | 728 | 1 | 1 | 180 | 106 |
| $29,900 | MIDDLEBELT | 728 | 1 | 1 | 180 | 60 |
| $32,000 | FARGO | 704 | 1 | 1 | 189 | 104 |
| $34,900 | FAIRFIELD | 700 | 1 | 1 | 220 | 7 |
| $37,500 | BOBRICH | 717 | 1 | 1 | 181 | 90 |
| $39,900 | MIDDLEBELT | 874 | 2 | 1 | 203 | 80 |
| $39,900 | BOBRICH | 717 | 1 | 1 | 172 | 26 |
| $41,900 | BOBRICH | 1100 | 2 | 2 | 255 | 205 |
| $42,000 | HUBBARD | 620 | 1 | 1 | 250 | 96 |
| $44,900 | PONDVIEW | 800 | 1 | 1 | 125 | 116 |
| $44,900 | PONDVIEW | 820 | 1 | 1 | 125 | 116 |
| $49,900 | ANN ARBOR | 782 | 1 | 1 | 178 | 16 |
| $49,900 | MIDDLEBELT | 900 | 2 | 1 | 165 | 47 |
| $49,900 | ANN ARBOR | 782 | 1 | 1 | 203 | 45 |
And only one of these Livonia condominiums are a short sale. So you have a good choice of inexpensive Livonia condos under $50,000 that can be bought quickly.
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O.K. I had something happen to me yesterday that I never thought possible here in Michigan. My seller was in the process of putting in a new furnace and low and behold guess what they found in the old furnace????? Yep you guessed it if you saw the title---An Alligator in a furnace here in Livonia Michigan. I took a couple of pictures, take a look.
Sorry I don't know how to put images on here better than this but thought this was a pretty interesting story. We figure the old owner must have had a pet alligator and it got loose. Then must have found its way into the duct work and fell into the furnace at some point. Can you imagine going to sleep at night with an alligator loose in your 1000 sq. ft. home if you didn't know where it was??
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I got a call a week ago from a Southeastern Michigan real estate buyer. He was all upset with a foreclosure agent.. He thinks the foreclosure agent never put the offer in.
I honestly don't know whether he did or not, but I always submit the offer no matter how crazy it isor how little it is. It's not my job to decide whether the seller will accept your offer. I have told clients that their offer would never fly, but still put it in. Sometimes the seller refused to negotiate other times they did.
As a real estate agent it is in our code of ethics that we must present ALL OFFERS.. I take that seriously. I many times drop what I am doing to get the offer in. It's not unusual for me to run to the office in the evening to complete the paperwork for my home buyers. Then I fax and email it to the sellers agent. ( I like to do both to make sure the listing agent doesn't try to say they never got it.)
But this got me to thinking..... did any of my clients ever think that? It's possible because sometimes the house sell for less than what we have put in.
1.) In fact I looked up a piece of Livonia real estate that we bid on in the fall. Our bid was $121,000 FHA bid. The house sold for $107,000 on a conventional loan. It was a highest and best offer situation on a Livonia foreclosure. The bank accepted a $14,000 lower bid. It was conventional loan with more money down. The house did need some minor repairs. The bank and the agent may have decided that they did not want to deal with FHA's required repairs.
2.) Another Livonia foreclosed homewas listed at $65,000. The house needed a roof. There was no way that it would ever pass an appraisal inspection. My clients thought was to put a roof on before the appraiser came by. We put an FHA offer of $81,000 in. We still LOST IT! This house sold for $55,000 cash. This was really a no brainer for the bank. They didn't want to put the time or money into putting a roof on. So they sold to a cash buyer instead a FHA buyer.
3.) Another home we put an offer in one had a renter in it. We put an offer in. It was never accepted. I has never shown up on the MLS as sold. The bank pulled the house back. Right now the banks are giving some consideration to people that are renting the homes. In this case they are probably working out some deal to get the renter to buy the home. My friend Larson did it. He was living in a home that was in foreclosure. He contacted the bank and they let him rent for a year. And then did a FHA mortgage for him after a year. The bank helped somebody that needed a hand.
So the bottom line is that yes banks make some strange decisions and accept lower offers. But I think most agents put your offer in, even though it may not make sense why it wasn't accepted.
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I was just in a meeting go over what is happening with available Livonia Michigan Homes for sale. It really turned out to be very interesting as to what is happening and how things are going with our current homes for sale. As of today 01/15/2010 it looks like there are about 370 homes for sale in Livonia Michigan, this number is definitely much lower than it has been over the past few years. We also noted there were approx 73 Condos for sale in Livonia also seems a lot lower than in the past 2-3 years.
If you are looking for a home or condo in the Livonia Michigan area you are really noticing how challenging it is to find one that you like right now. If you or someone you know is considering purchasing a home in the near future now might be a great time to start looking at the local inventory online. Here are a few sites I recommend that have great homes searches on them www.BobandTeena.com or www.RealEstateBusyBees.com .
If you have any questions please feel free to email us anytime and if you are looking for a Livonia Real Estate Agent we would love the opportunity to help you. Info@BobandTeena.com
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