Plymouth, MN

With crude oil at its highest levels since October 2008, retail gas is up 8 cents per gallon this week.

It's bad news for home buyers and mortgage rate shoppers.  The same force that's driving oil higher is linked to rising mortgage rates.

We're talking about the weakening U.S. Dollar which is now at its worst levels versus the Euro in 15 months.

Crude oil is priced in U.S. dollars, by the barrel.  When the dollar loses value, more of them are needed to buy the same barrel of oil.  As a result, predictably, the price of crude oil goes up.

Now, there are other reasons why crude oil is rising, but the fading U.S. dollar is one of the major ones and it's why we're addressing it.

The dollar has a similar impact on mortgage rates.

Mortgage rates are based on the price of mortgage bonds that -- like crude oil -- are also denominated in dollars. As the dollar loses value, so do mortgage bonds.  This causes demand for bonds to drop and prices on bonds to fall.

Because bond prices and bond rates move in opposite directions, mortgage rates rise and this is precisely what's happening on Wall Street today.

Since touching a 5-month low in early-October, mortgage rates have tacked on as much as 1/2 percent, depending on the product.  Moreover, with the dollar showing no signs of a rebound, the upward pressure on rates should continue.

If you're trying to time the market bottom, you may have already missed it. Consider locking your mortgage rate before rates increase even more.

And your everyday signal that rates are rising? Just check your price at the pump. If gas prices are up, it's likely that mortgage rates are, too.

website: http://www.homeloansmidwest.com/

youtube channel: http://www.youtube.com/midwesthomeloans

blog: http://www.homeloansmidwestblog.com/

Housing Starts on single-family homes gained last month, marking the 8th time that's happened this year.

A "Housing Start" is a home for which the foundation has been excavated and, considered alongside other key market metrics, September data suggests that the housing market stabilization is complete.

Momentum in housing is overwhelmingly positive:

• Homes under contract. 
• National home supplies.
• Home values are up in a lot of markets
are way down, are soaring.

Despite the positive news, the press is calling September's Housing Starts data a "bummer". Citing a drop in monthly building permits, the media purports that housing will slow in the months ahead. 

The conclusion may be right, but the rationale may be wrong. 

The probable cause for fewer permits isn't that the housing market is overdone.  It's that home builders are choosing to exercise caution given the pending expiration of the First-Time Home Buyer Tax Credit and a still-growing number of foreclosed homes. 

It's unclear what housing demand will be beginning in December and the last present a builder wants for the holidays is an excess of inventory.

It makes sense that building permits are down, in other words.

Looking back at February of this year, there's a host of signs that housing is on the path to recovery. Now, that path won't be a straight line and there's bound to be setbacks, but September's Housing Starts is not one of them.

Housing Starts are up 40 percent on the year.

website: http://www.homeloansmidwest.com/

youtube channel: http://www.youtube.com/midwesthomeloans

blog: http://www.homeloansmidwestblog.com/

The new Good Faith Estimate makes its debut January 1, 2010.

Expanded from 1page to 3, the legislators responsible for the new Good Faith Estimate want it to be simpler for homeowners and home buyers to understand than the former version.

By most accounts, Congress will meet this goal. 

The new Good Faith Estimate includes plain-English explanations of every fee, charge, and interest payment involved in a purchase or refinance. It also includes a section called "The Shopping Cart" in which applicants can compare lenders.

The new Good Faith Estimate is concise, too. Using a series of "Yes/No" checkboxes on Page 1, mortgage lenders specifically note:

• The interest rate on the mortgage.
• Whether the interest rate can change over time.
• Whether the loan carries a prepayment penalty.
• The length of the rate lock.

Currently, this information is spread across 3 separate forms. 

Furthermore, the new Good Faith Estimate simplifies rate-and-fee comparisons, showing applicants how a lower rate can be available for a higher set of fees, and vice versa.

For all of its clarity, though, the new Good Faith Estimate still fails to address the issue of "suitability".  As in, is this the right loan for the right borrower? That's something only a loan officer can do.

For suitable advice, talk with a loan officer who both listens to your needs and helps you plan for them. Great terms on an unsuitable loan are often worse than "good" terms on the right one.

website: http://www.homeloansmidwest.com/

youtube channel: http://www.youtube.com/midwesthomeloans

blog: http://www.homeloansmidwestblog.com/

Mortgage markets worsened last week on better than expected economic data, causing mortgage rates to rise.

Last week was the third consecutive week that mortgage rates moved higher and, since touching a multi-month low in early-October, conforming mortgage rates are up by about a half-percent. 

It's likely rates will continue to rise, too. That's because the same force that held rates down for so long is now the force pulling them up -- expectations for the U.S. economy.

Over the last 6 months, it wasn't clear in what direction the country was headed. The housing sector has been gaining in strength, but the rest of the economy has been a question mark.

Last week put an end to some of those questions:

• Retail Sales posted stronger-than-expected results.
• Consumer Sentiment matched September 2008 levels.
• Jobless and continuing claims fell below consensus estimates.