Always the Best! April, 2008
The optimism that Spring always brings has brightened my mood too about the local Real Estate Market. I have seen some of the early flowers blooming. Likewise my associates and I see signs of a small but unmistakable up tick in the number of buyers.
The potential cold wind of winter will likely come from continued weakness in the economy or more shocks in the financial system.
For now the anecdotal evidence clearly outpaces the statistics. The statistics are showing a continued leveling at the bottom. Some other indicators seem to bear out my belief that we need to look at 2004 as the benchmark year. As prices and activity return to that year, much of the froth in the market washes away.
Unfortunately for this equilibrium, the number of listings continues to trend far above the statistical norms. In February the number of single family listing was 2 ¼ times as many as 2004. But the number has remained more or less flat for 10 months.
The hangover from the excesses in the market still shows up in the number of sales. And here is a trailing indicator that shows the bad news barrage is taking a toll that, frankly, must be taken. In February more agents dropped their local Realtor membership than in the entire 2006. New agent members have dropped dramatically. In January-February 2006, 35 agents joined. This year 11 joined in the same period. The total number has returned to 2004 levels.
Here are some February statistics that I use to search out how well we are returning to some normalcy in the Pinellas market...and how far we still have to go.
The median price of single family homes is actually below 2004 compared to February 2008 [$190,000 to $179,000]. The median has dropped 10% in the last year. The number of sales, however, limps along at 390 in February compared to 1004 in 2004.
Condo listings are nearly 5 ½ times as great this year as they were in 2004. Condo sales in February were 289 compared to 481 in 2004. The median sales price in 2004 was $131,000; this year it was $155, 000 reflecting the addition of upscale units on the water. Still the February median was nearly 30% below the peak of the market in October, 2005.
What I take from this is that prices should be tempting to buyers and that sellers are becoming more attuned to the market realities. Prices are likely to be favorable to buyers for months to come until the bloated inventory returns to trend.
My optimism would be far greater if the national economic statistics and "mood" indicators turn positive. Until people feel more certain about their incomes, their tax situation and their confidence level, we are likely to bump along the bottom of the market.
Here is a list of waterfront properties from Tierra Verde to Clearwater Beach listed under $255/ square foot that are a value.
List Price | List Price/ Sq. Ft. | Community | Address |
$259,900 | $198 | Windrush Cove | 1Windrush Blvd #99 |
$265,000 | $239 | Continental Towers 1 | 675 Gulfview Blvd #1107 |
$279,000 | $219 | Windward Pointe Condo | 326 Windrush Blvd #7B |
$299,900 | $251 | Marker Condo with boat slip | 18201 Gulf Blvd #207 |
$599,000 | $230 | Bahia Mar with boat slip | 10133 Gulf Blvd E-1 |
$649,000 | $216 | Dolphin Landing with boat slip | 366 LarboardWay |
$899,000 | $220 | Catalina Grand | 11455 Gulf Blvd #200 |
Waterfront Properties that are a short sale or foreclosure.
List Price | List Price/ Sq. Ft. | Square Feet | Bedrooms/ Baths | Address |
$299,900 | $164.78 | 1,820 | 3/2 | 500 64th Ave St. Pete Beach |
$425,000 | $224.87 | 1,890 | 3/2 | 15908 Redington Dr. |
$525,000 | $202.55 | 2,592 | 4/3 | 16045 Redington Dr |
$700,000 | $224.79 | 3,114 | 4/3 | 670 American Legion Dr |
$749,000 | $203.92 | 3,673 | 5/3.5 | 161186th St E |
$775,000 | $264.14 | 2,934 | 3/ 4 | 2227 Donato Dr |
$890,000 | $185.65 | 4,794 | 5/ 6 | 11120 5th St |
Diane
Prudential Tropical Realty - 609 S Ft. Harrison Ave Clearwater FL 33756
Office: 727-446-1700 Cell: 727-459-0920 Email: diane@dianebestrealestate.com
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