"So, I've been thinking." Four little words that provoke fear in the heart of the strongest. These little words usually lead to a major project or some sort of life change, like eliminating meat from my family's diet. Found out Tofu is not an option for my husband.
But I really have been thinking. Thinking about how the idea of owning a home has changed in America. My parents paid $19,000 for their home in the 1950's. I wasn't there, but I doubt they ever once thought about what their house would be worth "someday".
I bought my first house in 1983. I know for a fact resale value never entered my mind. I thought about the quality of the schools for my daughters. I thought about lot location. I thought about how I wanted gray carpet with mauve accents (Hey...it was the 80s!)
Everyone claims to be a real estate expert today. The media, your neighbor...your uncle Bert. They're putting fear and doubt into the hearts of buyers and it all revolves around a home's monetary value. But, isn't it more than that?
Ask yourself one question. Why do a I want to buy a home. If the answer is "to make money" then this post isn't for you. But, if you're like most buyers, I'll bet your reason for buying a home is one or more of the following:
So, if you're thinking about buying a home for any of the above reasons (or some I may have missed) NOW IS THE BEST TIME TO BUY! Stop
listening to the "You'll shoot your eye out" doomsday anthem.
There really are great values in the Phoenix area and most Sellers are happy to negotiate. The minute the market stabilizes, you as the buyer are going to loose your advantage and I'll bet uncle Bert's going to deny ever having told you to "wait".
What is it about human nature that we only want what we can't have. Or the weird tendency to place value on something, only if it comes with a hyper-inflated price tag? It's a phenomenon that has no boundaries...from lemons to relationships to houses.
I can place a basket of fruit (fresh off the tree in my backyard), affix a "free" sign to the basket and place it on a table in front of my house and people will walk right by ignoring the opportunity. Citrus is plentiful in the valley this time of year. Everyone knows someone with a basket of fruit they're trying to get rid of. But come summer, people will lay down a dollar for a lemon.
On the relationship front, everyone knows if you play hard to get, you'll get a lot more attention than if you act the least bit interested. It's all about wanting what you can't, or at the very least is difficult, to have.
I think that's the theory we're seeing in the real estate market today. Why IS it called a buyer's market when buyers aren't buying? 3 years ago I could put a cardboard box with a door cut into the side along side one of our busiest roads. If I labeled it a one bedroom home and put a for sale sign in front of it, I would have had 15 offers on it by noon. Why? Supply and demand. We want what we can't have and there really weren't enough houses to go around.
Three years ago, people wanted a home so bad they were willing to pay thousands more than the house was worth. Today, we can get a buyer a home for thousands less than it's worth and they've got to think about it. What's up with that?
Due to some crazy appreciation a few years ago, buyers now believe you should see tremendous gains on a home over a few years so now it becomes a stock market prediction. For that reason, buyers are still waiting for the "bottom". Well, good luck there. If I'm drawing a line on a sheet of paper and ask you to guess when I come to the bottom of my line, you'll never get it right. You say that's the bottom and I keep drawing. I hit bottom and start back up and you've already missed it.
It's time to take advantage of those great home prices and go back to the days when we thought of our home as a comfortable place to live. A place to enjoy our lives and raise our families. A place that may bring us some dollars when we sell...some day, but that's not the reason to buy a home. It's time to stop thinking of our home as a stock option. It's time to take a piece of fruit out of that basket and call it good.
So...the Cardinals are in the Superbowl. Yippee! I'm trying to be excited. I know it's the proper thing to be. In fact, I might even upset some when they find out not everyone's life is going to stop on Sunday for the game.
Understand that I moved here from Wisconsin where being a "Packer Backer" was almost a religion for ALMOST everyone who lived there. If you didn't own at least 2 green and gold sweatshirts you were run out of town. That's why I no longer live there. Yours truly was born without a sports gene.
I know I'm supposed to be all "rah rah". It sure would be fun to be excited about the big game, but what is it about chasing, throwing, and hitting a little ball that is all that? Footballs... baseballs, golf balls and hockyballs (I know...they're pucks) It just doesn't do it for me. And all that yelling! Geez...get some Prozac already.
So what's with those commentators? No one can ever complain that women talk too much after listening to just one sporting event. Blah Blah Blah and more Blah...I think they just like to hear themselves talk. Do people really listen to what they're saying?
"So John, did you know Kurt Warner uses Colgate and that he lost his first tooth when he was 6?"
"No Terry, I didn't know that. I heard his favorite vegetable is corn. Have you ever had corn roasted on a grill? Boy now that's good. Say, once when I was in Toledo...."
I wouldn't mind having the game on (in the background of course), but can we pleeezzze press the mute button?
When I moved here in 2001, I was told with a snicker that Arizona didn't have a football team. I believed that rumor since I'm not a game watcher. But then I sold a home to one of the Cardinal players and I found out there really WAS a football team in Arizona. Well...color me red.
Don't get me wrong, I'm proud that the Cardinals made it to the Superbowl. I like Kurt Warner. I've never watched him play...but I have watched him pray and I like that.
That and the fact that these guys are somebody's sons and their mother's must be so proud. Like I am of my 9 & 5 year old grandsons who came in 286th and 301st out of 305 runners at their 2.5 mile race at Tumbleweed Park yesterday...but they made it. They crossed the finish line all smiles. Now that was fun!
Maybe that's the key. Maybe I have to be related to someone in the game...either by blood or marriage. Or at least be a close friend. Yea, that's gotta be it. When my grandson is playing for the Cardinals...I'll be there, front and center.
But until then...This Superbowl Sunday I'll be on a plane heading to Houston. Spontaneous daughter visit. Now everyone will know that I'll do just about anything not to have to do a Superbowl party. The Cardinals aren't playing in Houston are they? Does Houston have a football team? Whatever.
Don't let the anyone fool you. Things are looking up for Real Estate in Chandler, Arizona and the surrounding East Valley communities. I know I've definitely seen an increase in buyer activity over the last 3-4 weeks.
Running the stats for homes that sold over the last two weeks between 1/14/2009 and 1/28/2009, I compared those numbers to the number of sales for the same 2 weeks last year, 1/14/2008-1/28/2008. What I found must be top secret information since it contradicts just about all the information we've been hearing on the 10:00 news.
Interesting to note that sales in Maricopa and Queen Creek have had the most significant increase in home sales activity and this coincides with predictions that these are the areas where we'll see the first signs of market recovery.
Bottom line, buyer's who are waiting for the "bottom" may not have much time to get off that fence!
How important is pricing your home in today's Real Estate Market? Well, let me tell you a little story...
Wise Wendy Seller called me to list her pretty little house. Wendy thought her home was the best home in the area. I agreed that her home was probably the nicest I had seen. I searched all the comparable sales of other pretty little homes in her neighborhood which showed Wise Wendy that if she wanted to look like all the other homes for sale, she could price her home at $300,000 and with the upgrades she had, she could probably even price her home slightly higher . BUT, if Wise Wendy wanted to stand out and actually SELL her home, she should price her home slightly below the prices of the other homes. Wise Wendy listened to her wise Realtor (that would be me) and priced her home at $295,000. We sold Wise Wendy's home for $290,000 in less than a week. Wise Wendy was very happy and lived happily ever after.
Sadie Seller also called me to list her pretty little home. Sadie had taken a job
in another part of the country and her home was beautiful... and vacant. Sadie decided to list with a not-so-wise Realtor who would agree to list her home for considerably more than the $300,000 the comparable sales would support. At $350,000, Sadie Seller's home was the most expensive home for sale in her neighborhood. 3 months later, Sadie reduced her price. But, the prices in the neighborhood had fallen and she had lost valuable time. 6 months later, Sadie Seller still hadn't sold her home and the value of her home had fallen to $275,000. Sad Sadie Seller finally sold her home after 9 months on the market for $250,000.
What had Sad Sadie lost? Chances are pretty good that Sadie could have sold her home for somewhere around $290,000 if she had priced it correctly at the get go, which is a $40,000 gain, right?. But what many sellers don't figure in are the carrying costs of a home. Sadie's mortgage, insurance, HOA & utilities ran about $2500 a month. $2500 x 9 months = $22,500. So if she had priced her home aggressively up front, even if it took a couple months to close (saving $2500 x 7 months) she would have been ahead by $57,500 and then Sadie wouldn't have been so sad.
The end.
****The names have been changed to protect the not-so-wise.
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