More good news for the real estate industry!!
According to the Office of Federal Housing Oversight's Housing Price Index for the 2nd Quarter of 2008 released August 26th, 30 of the 50 States had positive changes in house prices from June 2007 through June 2008, including our very own Washington State!
Only 4 States (Arizona, Florida, Nevada, and California) experienced overall price declines of more than 5 percent.
The 20 ranked cities in the United States with the worst price declines over the last 4 quarters were ALL in Florida, California, and Nevada.
I really do sympathize with the people of these four fine States. Some of the price declines they have experienced are simply horrible! However, there are 50 States and only 4 with truly bad news for the last year. The rest of the country is simply experiencing a market correction from a rapid increase over the last 5 years combined with some sloppy loan practices that hurt the lending industry. The United States overall had a -1.71% change over the last year (skewed down heavily by the 4 troubled States). However, even with the challenges over the last year, the United States STILL has had a 34.84% increase in home prices over the last 5 years! - How is that supposed to be bad???
Over the last 5 years, Arizona STILL gained 62.68%, Florida STILL gained 54.03%, Nevada STILL Gained 50.81%, and California STILL gained 41.81% despite the losses of the last 4 quarters.
It is time for the news media to put away the "Chicken Little - The Sky is Falling" type stories. The truth is that the nation's real estate market is rebounding.
- I've posted the top 30 States in the comments section, CLICK HERE to see them.
Since President Bush signed the Housing Bill on July 30th, I've experienced a huge surge in business! I was curious to see if it was simply me having some good results, or if there has been a shift in the market. I ran a search of homes for sale in Mt. Vernon, Burlington, and Sedro Woolley priced under $300,000. There are currently 422 Active listings in the Northwest Multiple Listing Service (NWMLS). There are an additional 101 homes that have Contingent/Pending transactions on them. That is a very healthy number! It indicates that a Seller's Market is on the way! A healthy market is generally regarded as having 6 months of inventory. Assuming that all of the Contingent/Pending transactions close in the next 30 days, we'll have a shortage of homes under $300,000. There would be just over a 4 month inventory of homes. Market swings generally begin in the lower price ranges. After all, to buy a bigger or better home most people need to sell a smaller or less expensive one.
The July 2008 sales for all of Skagit County Residential Homes showed a 3.92% price increase over last July's sales prices. The number of Closed Sales is still significantly less than we had last year, but the Pending Sales figures for July are much more in balance with last year's numbers. All of the signs are there for a market that is rebounding in a big way! Consumer confidence is going up. Sales are going up. Prices are going up.
The news media will probably catch on to this in the next couple months. The doom and gloom stories are already disappearing and are now being replaced with the "Glimmer of Hope" and "Good News for a Troubled Market" type stories. Next, we'll likely see the "Rebounding Market" stories...
If you've been waiting for the market to "bottom out" before you buy, look around and you'll find that it is happening right now.
I just watched the video below reported by Conway Gittens of the Reuters news agency. The real estate market nationwide had a nice rebound in July, offering hope that the worst is over!
Consumer confidence showed a sharp rebound as well...
Enjoy the video!
I've been experiencing a solid resurgence of business since President Bush signed the Housing Bill at the end of July. The inventory of homes priced under $300,000 in Mount Vernon, Burlington & Sedro Woolley is down to a 4 month supply of homes, suggesting a Seller's Market... Thats right, I said a Seller's Market.
Believe it.... It is coming.
In an article released today, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) announced that existing-home sales rose in July to the highest level in 5 months!!
In the article, NAR's chief economist Lawrence Yun states that home prices in some regions could soon increase!
How does this relate to our little corner of the world in Skagit County??
I looked at the market activity. There are all the signs of a healthy market...
In the towns of Mount Vernon, Burlington, & Sedro Woolley, there are 773 Active residential homes on the market. There are 126 with Pending/Contingent Sales. This number shows a healthy market with a 6.13 month inventory of homes. - A 6 month inventory of homes is generally used as the break point in reporting on the market. More than a 6 month inventory is generally regarded as a Buyer's Market, less than 6 months of inventory is a Seller's Market. As I said, a nice healthy market...
I took a closer look at the Mount Vernon, Burlington, & Sedro Woolley market for homes priced under $300,000. Inventory is way down!! There are currently 430 Active residential homes and 97 with Pending/Contingent Sales. A 4.13 month inventory! A Seller's Market all of a sudden. The Buyer's have come back! Yes, a lot of them are looking to take advantage of Short Sales and Foreclosures, but it is a good start and a clearly healthy market.... One that is ripe for a price increase!
For Buyers waiting for the market to bottom out around here.... Get out there and Buy... The market HAS ALREADY HIT BOTTOM here!!
Hi,
I'm in the Chaffey Model Home in Nookachamp Hills in Mount Vernon. In a few minutes Megan Doyle & Elisa Filoni from Puget Sound Energy's Energy Efficiency Services division will be changing out ALL of the light bulbs in the model home from the traditional incandescent type to the new Energy Star high efficiency light bulbs!
We're all very excited to be promoting the Green movement. Chaffey Homes has always been a responsible builder, now as the newer technology, terminology and environmentally friendly standards are being developed, Chaffey Homes is at the forefront.
Chaffey Homes recently built an environmentally friendly concept house with Dave and Anna Porter. To date, over 10,000 unique visitors have toured their home. You can both see it and read all about it on their web-site. It won The 2008 NAHB Green Custom Home Builder award and a host of other awards.
If you would like to learn more, please call Bill Sauneuf at (360) 708-2929.
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