According to these excerpts from press releases by FAR and NAR. Now, we're not talking about great numbers here but I do think it's a clear indication of the bottom. I've heard the expression that the market is "bouncing along the bottom" and I think it applies. I don't believe it means each successive month will have an increase but it could. More likely, though, it means we will continue along the current pace for awhile with small changes up and down. I think that this particularly applies to the national numbers. With regard to Florida, however, since we are entering "the season" "down here", we could well see 3, 4, or 5 consecutive months of increased volume. This will be like stabilize prices (i.e. the free fall has ended, except for properties still not adjusted to the current market).
ORLANDO, Fla. - Aug. 25, 2008 - Single-family existing home sales rose in Florida for the first time in more than two years: While only six more homes sold in July 2008 than in July 2007, it could indicate stabilization in Florida's housing sector, according to the latest housing statistics released by the Florida Association of Realtors® (FAR).
WASHINGTON - Aug. 25, 2008 - Existing-home sales rose in July to the highest level in five months, although sales have hovered in a relatively narrow range over the past 11 months, according to the National Association of Realtors® (NAR).
I have various current market data reports available on my website - www.BobPisa.com
Paseo is another Stock development community in Fort Myers just off Daniels Parkway. This location is a short drive to the airport, beaches, shopping, shopping (did I mention shopping), boating, and golf!
While this photo is of Ole in Lely in Naples, the product, environment, and amenities are just the same in Paseo. From this link you can read more and view the resales available in Paseo. In addition to the resale condomium properties picture above, Paseo offers tradition single-family residences from about 1,600 square feet to more than 3,000 square in several different signature level homes.
As a relatively new community Paseo New Construcion (single-family home and The Villages condominiums) may be just what you are looking for.
NABOR, the Naples Area Board of Realtors, has just released the year-over-year YOY data for 16 of the key zip codes in Naples. NABOR consistently reports the same zip codes.
OVERALL MARKET STATISTICS
What's selling - April-April YOY change from same period last year:
Pending Sales:
Overall UP 24.7%, but in the price range:
<= $300K: UP 89.7%,
$300K - $500K: UP 18.2%, all other price groups are down YOY but only slightly
Closed Sales:
Overall UP 6%%, but in the price range:
<= $300K: UP 61.9%, all other price groups are down YOY but only slightly also
Areas with growth in Pending and Closed sales:
Naples Beach, North Naples
The complete report is available on my Naples FL Page on my web site.
edited 5/24/2008 to clarilfy and report April-April YOY results not 12-month ending.
As reported in a press release from NABOR - Naples Area Board of Realtors - Naples, Florida - "...greatest market activity in the past 31 months..."
This indeed is very good news and it's based on the complete market report issued at the same time. The report is available by following the link and looking at the bottom of the page.
What is notable in the data?
Pending Home Sales - The exuberance is derived from pending home sales data. The increase in the Pending Home sales numbers is a result of buyers writing contract offers for real estate. The Pending sales data will translate into increase closed sales numbers in the next 30 - 60 days. Buyers are buying. The good deals are here now, without question.
$0-$300,000 Range - The increase in Pending sales is in this range only. But, it is extremly important especially for the second home buyer. What it means is that properties that were almost $600k just a year or so ago can now be purchased for $300,000 or less. In pending sales this category is up almost 27% over the same period last year.
Closed Sales Data - It's not just the pending data that matters. Closed sales for the same period year-over-year is up more than 33%!
Prices are going down - Well there's just no question, that is what's driving the sales and sales activity thereby further reinforcing the right time to buy. Looking at the average or the median doesn't really tell the story because it is sensitive to the range in value for the units sold. What needs to be looked at are the properties of interest and compare them to the recent and past markets for like properties. This is where the Realtor comes in.
Prices will stay down - Even though the activity has increased, the available inventory is relatively flat with new properties coming on the market. This will hold prices down.
All-in-all this is great news for home buyers. WOrk with a Realtorwho understands the local market, the market in general and local dynamics.
NABOR, the Naples Area Board of Realtors, has recently published the market statistics for Collier County. The news is generally good! The market is improving in that unit sales - single-family homes and condominiums - will have a big increase in March 2008.
The overall February sales numbers (closings) are down year-over-year and that is reflective of the sluggish activity over the previous one to two months. However, the all important pending home sales number is up year-over-year. In fact, its' up more than 10.5%. We would expect to see, therefore, closed sales in March to be near the 480 mark and that would also be a 10% increase year-over-year.
This will be a large step-function increase from February 2008 closed sales. It is not unexpected due to the seasonality of the market in southwest Florida. Further, it continues a steady upward trend in unit sales that begun in November of 2007.
You may download the complete report from the Naples Community Page on my Web Site. Scroll to the bottom of the page for the report link.
Bob Pisa, Realtor
www.BobPisa.com
239.898.6865
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