David Edwards King County Real Estate

The Senate unanimously voted 98-0 on Wednesday to extend the first time home buyer tax credit. It passed overwhelmingly in the House on Thursday with a vote of 403-12 and President Obama signed the bill today.

Not only was the first time home buyer tax credit extended, a new $6,500 tax credit for existing homeowners who have lived in their homes for at least five of the last eight years was added to the bill. The purchase must be made after November 30, 2009.

These tax credits will be available through June 30th of 2010; however, buyers who qualify for either of these credits MUST enter into a binding contract before April 30, 2010.

The bill also increases the income cap to $125,000 for a single person and $250,000 for a couple. And the credit is available for all homes purchased for $800,000 or less. This is ideal, as it will break up the middle part of the market that is currently stalled.

I've been predicting that home values will likely bottom in the fourth quarter of 2010. But the tax credit could change that. This is because of the extension to existing homeowners and the doubling of the salary limits for applicants. The new tax credits represent a substantial increase in the pool of eligible buyers, thus translating into more demand for housing.

This increased demand due to the tax credits will soak up some of the foreclosures expected to flood the market in 2010. I still expect foreclosures to increase over the coming months before peaking next year, bringing more cheap inventory into the market.

The spur in demand comes during the real estate market's slow winter season, so it may help overcome the seasonal declines in home sales, which were expected to translate into downward price pressure. The presence of the tax credits, however, which would expire at the end of June (for contracts completed by April) could bring increased demand to the market during this normally slow season.

Best Regards!

David J Edwards
Real Estate Agent & REALTOR
The David J Edwards Team
Keller Williams Realty Southeast Sound
Phone: 425-890-8045
Fax: 425-902-1899
E-Mail: david@davidjedwards.com
Website: http://www.davidjedwards.com
Blogsite: http://www.davidjedwards.com/real-estate-blog.asp
Mobile Site: http://davidjedwards.mofuse.mobi
Community Reports: http://www.topmarketer.net/CSR/CSReport.aspx?CV4GU5KAYOEF
View This Week's Market Conditions Around Your Home: http://www.homeinsight.com/Widget/default.asp?BFBMVVHW4HZT

The David J Edwards Team specializes in Residential Real Estate for buyers and sellers.

KIRKLAND, WA, October 5, 2009. "There's a lot to be optimistic about," according to one director of the Northwest Multiple Listing Service upon reviewing summary statistics for September's housing activity. The report shows a big jump in pending sales compared to a year ago (up almost 27%), continued drops in inventory (down 17.7% versus a year ago) and brisk demand for homes at the lower end of the price spectrum.

Distressed properties in the system continue to be a drag on prices - median prices for last month's sales were down about 7.5% from a year ago - and brokers continue to voice frustration with slow response time by lenders. (Banks are taking 9.5 weeks to respond to short-sale requests, versus 4.5 weeks a year ago, according to research by Campbell Communications of Washington, D.C.) Joe Spencer, president and COO of John L. Scott Real Estate, estimates up to 10% of pending sales do not close because they're caught in the short sale cycle. Still, he comments, "There is a lot to be optimistic about." He cites interest rates that are now in the high four percents as bordering "on being epic" and the federal tax credit as stimulants to the market.

Northwest MLS brokers reported 7,581 pending sales (offers made and accepted but not yet closed) during September, outgaining the same period a year ago by 1,599 transactions for a 26.7% increase. Last month's condominium sales surged, with pending sales up nearly 25% from a year ago after languishing in negative year-over-year figures for the first five months of 2009 and only modest gains over the past three months.

During September, members added 10,054 new listings of single family homes and condominiums to inventory, about 7.6% fewer than a year ago. With the combination of fewer new listings and more sales, inventory at month end dipped to its lowest level since March. At month end, the selection included 40,041 properties for sale (33,332 single family homes and 6,709 condominiums). That's down 17.7% from twelve months ago.

"Our market has certainly come a long way since this time last year," said Ron Sparks, managing vice president of Coldwell Banker Bain, who said demand is at its highest level in two years. "For all the challenges that remain, it would be difficult to not appreciate the reemerging market vitality that continues to build even as the summer buying season closes," he added. Activity at open houses is reported to be brisk in many areas, which MLS directors attribute to a combination of factors, including expanded use of a "Public Open House" program. This program allows buyers to search schedules of all open houses in the NWMLS system from the website of any member broker that uses the feature.

Brokers also credit improved affordability, incentives and the looming deadline for the $8,000 tax credit for first-time home buyers as boosting activity. As the Nov. 30 deadline for the federal $8,000 tax credit program approaches, Spencer advises buyers to "be under contract by the third week of October, to close by Thanksgiving, and to stay away from short sales." "Because there are so many short sales and bank owned property sales, it was inevitable that prices would fall slightly," explained NWMLS director Dick Beeson, the broker/owner of Windermere Commencement Associates in Tacoma.

Year-over-year prices are down nearly 7.5 percent across the 19 counties served by NWMLS, but the median sales price of $273,000 for last month's sales of single family homes and condominiums (combined) equaled the figure for January. Beeson described the price drops as "a necessary adjustment given the number of short sales and bank owned property sales in the mix. (A survey by the National Association of REALTORS indicates distressed homes accounted for 31 percent of transactions in August and July.)

A comparison of year-over-year prices of closed sales by county shows wide variation for September, from a decline of almost 17 percent in Cowlitz County to an increase of nine percent in San Juan County. For the four-county Puget Sound region (King, Snohomish, Pierce and Kitsap counties), prices were down about 7.6 percent from twelve months ago. On a brighter note, Beeson said activity is brisk for lower priced homes in many areas. "Multiple offers are occurring on a regular basis and many buyers have to make two or three offers on different properties just to secure one," he reports.

Sparks echoed that report, saying, "Describing much of the current market as 'lively' is probably a bit of an understatement," adding, "I've heard agents describe open houses as 'mayhem' and 'chaos." Modestly priced homes in good condition and in popular neighborhoods can certainly draw more than one offer, according to Sparks, who also noted, "This is not to say that all neighborhoods and price points are rebounding at the same pace, but there is an awful lot of economic momentum in our region, including our housing market, that can't be ignored."

Emphasizing recovery comes in stages, Beeson acknowledged some "hard adjustments" are being made in higher priced homes where inventories remain high, but expects that segment to recover. He said the main focus of many agents is meeting the needs of the first-time buyers and those who have needs because of lifestyle changes due to advancing age, change in marital status, the birth of children or death of a family member. "These people always need help solving their real estate problems," he observed.

Northwest Multiple Listing Service, owned by its member brokers, is the largest full-service MLS in the Northwest. Its membership includes more than 24,000 brokers and agents. The organization, based in Kirkland, currently serves 19 counties in western and central Washington.

Best Regards!

David J Edwards
Real Estate Agent & REALTOR
The David J Edwards Team
Keller Williams Realty Southeast Sound
Phone: 425-890-8045
Fax: 425-902-1899
E-Mail: david@davidjedwards.com
Website: http://www.davidjedwards.com
Blogsite: http://www.davidjedwards.com/real-estate-blog.asp
Mobile Site: http://davidjedwards.mofuse.mobi
Community Reports: http://www.topmarketer.net/CSR/CSReport.aspx?CV4GU5KAYOEF
View This Week's Market Conditions Around Your Home: http://www.homeinsight.com/Widget/default.asp?BFBMVVHW4HZT

The David J Edwards Team specializes in Residential Real Estate for buyers and sellers.

A client just forwarded a note about post traumatic stress disorder and selling real estate. She said it made her laugh. I'm glad she was able to find some humor in the article because we have her house on the market right now.

"Today's market has created unprecedented levels of seller stress that mirror symptoms of post-traumatic stress disorder," says Dr. Peter Lambrou, chair of psychology at Scripps Memorial Hospital in La Jolla, Calif.

It's definitely more challenging to sell homes in today's market then it has been in prior years but listing with the correct list price, professional photography and an effective marketing campaign can overcome most of the obstacles presented by today's market conditions.

Realtors should keep an open line of communication with their clients. If sellers are feeling a bit overwhelmed by the stress factors associated with selling their home, they should try to focus on feedback from buyers and agents who previewed their home but didn't make an offer. They should address the issues with their home that they can control as the feedback comes in so that they are in a position to put their best foot forward for the next showing. If a seller is not getting any showings at all, it's probably an issue with the price, the quality of the photography or the effectiveness of the marketing campaign.

David J Edwards
Real Estate Agent & REALTOR
The David J Edwards Team
Keller Williams Realty Southeast Sound
Phone: 425-890-8045
Fax: 425-902-1899
E-Mail: david@davidjedwards.com
Website: http://www.davidjedwards.com
Blogsite: http://www.davidjedwards.com/real-estate-blog.asp
Mobile Site: http://davidjedwards.mofuse.mobi
Community Reports: http://www.topmarketer.net/CSR/CSReport.aspx?CV4GU5KAYOEF
View This Week's Market Conditions Around Your Home: http://www.homeinsight.com/Widget/default.asp?BFBMVVHW4HZT

The David J Edwards Team specializes in Residential Real Estate for buyers and sellers.

KIRKLAND, WA, September 4, 2009 -Pending sales around Western Washington during August jumped nearly 21 percent from a year ago and inventory dropped more than 18 percent, according to new figures from Northwest Multiple Listing Service. MLS member-brokers say those indicators, along with signs of stabilizing prices, set the stage for brisk activity in the next few months as first-time buyers try to take advantage of the Nov. 30 deadline for tax credits.

"The typical August cool down in the market did not happen this year," observed NWMLS director Kathy Estey, managing broker at John L. Scott's office in downtown Bellevue. She said agents are busy with both first-time and move-up buyers and they're reporting multiple offers on homes priced up to $700,000.

Brokers reported 7,539 pending sales (offers made and accepted but not yet closed) for August, up 20.7 percent from a year ago. That volume outgained July's total by 260 transactions.

In the four-county Puget Sound region, pending sales of single family homes and condominiums (combined) surged 25.7 percent from a year ago.

Within King County, pending sales activity improved 25.1 percent from a year ago, and was especially robust in the North King County area (up 38.7 percent) and on the Eastside (up nearly 36 percent). Excluding condos, two sub-areas of King County notched gains of more than 40 percent for pending sales of single family homes - Southeast King County (up 40.4 percent) and the Eastside (up 42.5 percent).

On the downside, Estey said many transactions are missing their closing date "for seemingly irrational reasons." Last minute demands from lenders are common and final underwriting reviews are causing delays, she noted, adding, "Inexperienced appraisers are gumming up the works as well." She urges first-time buyers who want to capture the $8,000 tax credit to plan ahead and allow for delays.

Another MLS director, Dick Beeson, the broker/owner of Windermere Commencement Associates in Tacoma, said stabilizing prices "bode well for the near term."

For the 19 counties in the Northwest MLS service area, the median price for single family homes and condominiums that sold and closed last month was $$275,945, down about 8.8 percent from the year ago sales price of $302,500. Since January, however, prices area-wide have edged up about 1.1 percent, with seven of the 19 counties notching increases.

Prices for single family homes (excluding condos) that sold throughout the NWMLS area are up about 3.3 percent since January, although down about 9.2 percent from twelve months ago. In the four-county Puget Sound region, the median sales price for single family homes that closed last month was $310,000, down about 11.4 percent from twelve months ago, but back up to match January's figure of $310,000.

Condo prices remain depressed. For last month's completed transactions, the median sales price was $235,000 off 5 percent from the year ago figure of $247,500. Compared to January's sales, condo prices have dropped about 6 percent

J. Lennox Scott, chairman and CEO of John L. Scott Real Estate, expects strong activity in the coming months. "It's exciting to see that home sales continue to be brisk in the more affordable and mid price ranges," he remarked. "I anticipate that September will see a surge of sales activity because of the tax credit's impending deadline which, when combined with historically low interest rates and increased affordability, provides a rare opportunity for first time homebuyers," Scott stated.

Current house-hunters have fewer listings to consider than a year ago: 41,528 active listings at the end of August compared to 50,772 for same month a year ago, a decline of 18.2 percent. Prices on current offerings, which include single family homes and condominiums, range from $13,000 to $32 million.

Northwest MLS members added 10,132 new listings to inventory during August, nearly 1,300 fewer than twelve months ago. Inventory shrunk in 16 of the 19 NWMLS counties, with twelve counties reporting double-digit drops.

Lower listing inventory is one of the building blocks of a housing recovery, according to Ron Sparks, managing vice president of Coldwell Banker Bain. "With fewer homes for sale, better affordability and buyer incentives like the $8,000 first-time buyer tax credit, we are seeing supply and demand become much more balanced in many areas, and this will help support more stable prices," he explained.

Sparks also commented on the momentum reflected in last month's activity. "It's very good to see that the number of pending sales is still rising in most areas, especially when we might typically expect a seasonal slowdown in demand." He called the nearly 21 percent overall improvement in last month's pending sales "particularly impressive."

Open house traffic has been steady with high interest among first-time buyers being the driver, reports NWMLS director Beeson. Despite high interest, he said many potential buyers are still confused about how the tax credit program works.

On a cautionary note, Beeson expects a new round of bank owned properties to come on the market later this year and into next year. "This inventory will have to be absorbed over time and no one knows for sure just how this will influence prices," he acknowledged, adding, "The best guess is it will be negative, although we have experienced many foreclosures already on the market. . .with no appreciable drop in prices since the beginning of the year."

Summing up last month's activity, Sparks of CBB, said, "A healthy, balanced market is in everyone's best interest, and the August report tells us we're definitely getting closer."

Northwest Multiple Listing Service, owned by its member brokers, is the largest full-service MLS in the Northwest. Its membership includes more than 24,000 brokers and agents. The organization, based in Kirkland, currently serves 19 counties in western and central Washington.

Best Regards!

David J Edwards
Real Estate Agent & REALTOR
The David J Edwards Team
Keller Williams Realty Southeast Sound
Phone: 425-890-8045
Fax: 425-902-1899
E-Mail: david@davidjedwards.com
Website: http://www.davidjedwards.com
Blogsite: http://www.davidjedwards.com/real-estate-blog.asp
Mobile Site: http://davidjedwards.mofuse.mobi
Community Reports: http://www.topmarketer.net/CSR/CSReport.aspx?CV4GU5KAYOEF
View This Week's Market Conditions Around Your Home: http://www.homeinsight.com/Widget/default.asp?BFBMVVHW4HZT

The David J Edwards Team specializes in Residential Real Estate for buyers and sellers.

KIRKLAND, WA, August 6, 2009 - Most numbers are "moving in the right direction," close-in Seattle neighborhoods are definitely coming to life and move-up buyers are re-entering the market were among observations by brokers when asked to comment on the latest activity report from Northwest Multiple Listing Service.

The report shows July's pending sales increased from a year ago, as did closed sales, and inventory continues to shrink. Prices on sales that closed during July still lagged figures of a year-ago (down about 10 percent area-wide) and NWMLS members said last month's record-setting temperatures "absolutely impacted showings and sales."

July's unseasonably hot weather curtailed activity for several showings and open houses, as brokers and agents said buyers and sellers postponed tours, saying it was just too hot.

"The hot July weather aside, the variable results we saw in July reflect what we'd typically expect from a recovering housing market - a few steps forward for some areas, a step back in others," said Ron G. Sparks, managing vice president of Coldwell Banker Bain. Whereas comparisons to a year ago reflect some substantial gains, on a month to month basis we're probably going to experience some "spongy" results for a while, he explained.

For example, brokers reported 7,279 pending sales (mutual acceptance of a purchase and sale agreement) last month, up from the year-ago total of 6,350 sales for a 14.6 percent gain. Compared with June, the volume slipped about 5.9 percent, dropping from 7,733 to 7,279 transactions.

In the four-county Puget Sound region (King, Kitsap, Pierce, and Snohomish), July's pending sales of single family homes and condominiums jumped 21.2 percent from twelve months ago, but dipped 6.9 percent from the previous month. Nonetheless, last month's 5,551 pending sales for the region marked the second-highest monthly total since August 2007.

Pending sales of condos (excluding single family homes) rose nearly 12.5 percent last month from a year ago. That continued June's modest gain of 1.3 percent, when 22 months of negative year-over-year comparisons ended. Last month's increase was the first double-digit gain since February 2007.

"I'm excited to see the continued increase of pending sales because these figures are the lead predictor of buyer behavior," said J. Lennox Scott, chairman and CEO of John L. Scott Real Estate. "The rise of pending sales over the past few months is the best indication we have of what's to come and I am encouraged by what we're seeing," he added.

Brokers say first-time buyers who are motivated by a looming deadline for the tax credit are propelling activity. "There seems to finally be a feeling of urgency to take advantage of this program before it goes away," remarked NWMLS director Meribeth Hutchings, broker/owner of Windermere Real Estate/ Lake Stevens.

In an effort to keep agents and their clients focused on the time remaining for the $8,000 tax credit opportunity, Sparks said his company has a clock prominently displayed on its internal website that ticks down the days, minutes and seconds until the midnight deadline on Nov. 30. He also commented on the secondary benefits of the credit. "My daughter just closed on her first home, and she intends on using the tax credit for household items she'll need as a new homeowner. She's excited to buy her first lawn mower...good for her, good for housing, and good for the economy," he stated.

Commenting on the tax credit, NWMLS director Dick Beeson said first time homebuyers are "getting it. All they talk about is the $8,000 tax credit and how good interest rates are."

Beeson, the broker/owner of Windermere Commencement Associates in Tacoma, said with the exception of prices, the numbers are all moving in the right direction. "Inventory is adjusting down, even though it is summer, pending sales are moving up, and even more importantly, closed sales are above last year." Those numbers are a sign of a "modest, modest recovery," according to the 30-year veteran of the real estate profession.

NWMLS members added 11,481 new listings to inventory during July, 1,612 fewer than during the same month a year ago. At month end, there were 42,310 active listings of single family homes and condominiums in the MLS database, down 18 percent from a year ago. Twelve of the 19 counties in the MLS reported double-digit shrinkage in inventory.

MLS brokers reported a system-wide total of 5,527 closed sales for the month of July, an increase of 256 transactions from a year ago for a 4.9 percent gain. The median selling price for those closings was $279,000, down 10 percent from the year-ago price of $310,000. Among the 19 counties served by NWMLS, the price changes from a year ago ranged from a 25.1 percent increase in Okanogan County to a 17.8 percent decline in Cowlitz County.

For the four-county Puget Sound region, the median selling price for last month's completed sales of single family homes (excluding condos) was $314,000, about 13.5 percent less than the year-ago price of $363,000.

"After almost two years of relative calm, the close-in Seattle neighborhoods have definitely come to life in a major way," remarked Mike Skahen, owner/broker at Lake & Co. Real Estate, Inc., in Seattle and a member of the NWMLS board of directors. He described open house traffic as "very strong" with a typical home drawing 20 to 50 buyers.

Multiple offers are once again becoming common on well-priced quality listings, according to Skahen. Although noticeable during the past few months for homes priced under $450,000, he said there are now instances of competition at higher price ranges. A recent listing of a Wallingford bungalow priced at $550,000 drew eight offers, which Skahen said is a "good indication the trade up buyers have finally decided that prices have bottomed out, so after waiting too long they are now competing for fewer listings."

Skahen also said the tax credit has created such strong demand for starter homes that those sellers now realize they actually gain more by trading up in this market because they save more on their trade-up home and there is good demand for the home they're selling.

Skahen also said the tax credit has created such strong demand for starter homes that those sellers now realize they actually gain more by trading up in this market because they save more on their trade-up home and there is good demand for the home they're selling.

On a cautionary note, Skahen said there is very likely to be a shortage of homes and townhouses in some Seattle neighborhoods by next year. "New construction has almost ground to a halt because builders can't get prices that even cover construction costs," he reported.

Hutchings, whose office is in Snohomish County, said they're also seeing move up buyers re-entering the market. "They understand even if their current home has lost value, their new home will also offer them a greater savings. That, along with low interest rates, make it a great time to buy up," she emphasized.

Beeson said the transition from a buyers' market to a sellers' market is occurring in, "of all places," the foreclosure market. "Banks are pricing many homes slightly under market value and watching multiple offers come in, bidding up the price. What a change that is," he exclaimed, while noting he hopes the next wave of foreclosure homes coming on the market later this year will finally flush out the remaining inventory and "we'll get back to a more normal market."

Northwest Multiple Listing Service, owned by its member brokers, is the largest full-service MLS in the Northwest. Its membership includes approximately 27,000 brokers and agents. The organization, based in Kirkland, currently serves 19 counties in western and central Washington.

Best Regards!

David J Edwards
Real Estate Agent & REALTOR
The David J Edwards Team
Keller Williams Realty Southeast Sound
Phone: 425-890-8045
Fax: 425-902-1899
E-Mail: david@davidjedwards.com
Website: http://www.davidjedwards.com
Blogsite: http://www.davidjedwards.com/real-estate-blog.asp
Mobile Site: http://davidjedwards.mofuse.mobi
Community Reports: http://www.topmarketer.net/CSR/CSReport.aspx?CV4GU5KAYOEF
View This Week's Market Conditions Around Your Home: http://www.homeinsight.com/Widget/default.asp?BFBMVVHW4HZT

The David J Edwards Team specializes in Residential Real Estate for buyers and sellers.