I disagree with the pessimistic reporting that plagues the media. If things were as bad as the great depression, we would be sitting in homeless shelters and eating at soup kitchens. Not waiting in lines at the malls, packing the zoos, the malls and the movies. Did you see the people fighting over $50 WII games and the lines at Coach? It is crazy. Did anyone notice that everywhere you went this Christmas it was packed and you were waiting in line and could not find a parking place? Remember, I live in Jacksonville, Florida and we have been hit hard by the over inflated real estate market. But I saw firsthand people were not sitting at home eating big pots of rice for meals. They were eating $7 sushi and waiting in line to eat at very nice restaurants like Bonefish Grill that I would have thought as luxurious 10 years ago.
A funny thing happened to me, my mother passed away in November and I was going through some of her things and there were some newspapers from September 1992 from the Detroit Free Press. If you recall this was when George Bush Senior was at the end of his lame duck term as president and we were getting ready to elect a new president. We were in the Gulf War and we had just experienced Hurricane Andrew, the economy was terrible. There was even an editorial about getting cars to have 40mpg gas mileage.
Remember all of the job losses of the 1990's, I had just graduated from Florida State University and was working at Walt Disney for $5.35 an hour, where I had done my internship the previous summer. I went back to Disney because the job market was so horrible. There was hardly any companies hiring at this time, they did not even show up for the career show. Then my hours were cut and my 2nd job started bouncing checks to me. I could not afford my $225 apartment so my dad told me to come live at home and find a different job.
I was so determined to get experience I begged to work for free and wait tables at night so I could just learn the business world. You know what happened next, I found a paid job that I was willing to work for free because I was so determined to get experience. They actually paid me $18,000 a year at the Prime Osborne Convention Center, in Jacksonville, that was a dream job for a kid right out of school. I guess they figured if I was willing to work for free, I would be willing to do the things the big bosses were not willing to do, like work nights and weekends. I got to plan parties, events and do what the other long time city employees did not want to do. My friends would ask how did you land that job? I did not make the best grades or have the best resume. What they did not understand is that determination, working hard, losing your ego and doing what nobody else is willing to do, is what makes you successful.
Does anyone remember what happened after the recession of the early 90's, people forgot very quickly? They started spending all of the money they had saved during the recession very quickly once the confidence was restored. Maybe this recession is worse than the 90's but I am not seeing it. I have still sold houses and I still grossed about 3.5 million in sales. Not nearly what we did in the boom years, but I cut back on spending, went bare bones, got back to basics and spent quality time with my mother who died of cancer in November. I practically took the year off and worked very little.
I wish the media would ask the Realtors what they are seeing on the front lines of this mess. We are seeing showings way up. I have had 10 showings on my properties since New Year's Eve, (more in one week since the beginning of October). Contracts are starting to come in and people are feeling like it is the time to buy because the prices and interest rates are so darn cheap.
Yes maybe the American people have decided not to supplement the CEOs elaborate salaries, maybe they were tired of seeing their bosses jetting off in their private planes and yachts while they were busting their butts to make their huge mortgage payments. Maybe Americans were tired of trying to keep up with the Jones's and wanted to get back to basics. Money does not buy happiness if you have a fulfilled life.
My personal opinion is that this market would turn around if people made the hard choice of not being greedy and making the hard decision of selling their property for what they can get for it, not what they thought they could get for it 2 years ago. I am so tired of the moaning. Get off you butts America, get the prices where they are affordable, don't overbuy, and let's get this economy moving. Let's get real estate back to what it was meant to do, provide your family with a safe and secure home to live and raise your family in.
I wish you "the Media" would stop the bitching and moaning and start reporting from the real Middle America! You may have just bitched and moaned yourself out of a job. People are tired of the negativity; they don't want to read it anymore!
Happy New Year from one really determined agent to get her customers some great deals in real estate and make her customers RICH!
Believe it or not, things are picking up in the real estate world. They may not be gangbusters and overinflated like the years we saw before, but houses are selling. If you are thinking about moving, you may want to take advantage of the peak summer selling season.
Here are some positive things that will help our market:
• The Navy is MOVING a base from Brunswick, Maine. These are typically S3 pilots who love Jacksonville. They have lived in high cost areas like San Diego, and they would love to make Jacksonville their last tour of duty. From what I understand from my military clients, they will be moving these squadrons down in phases over the next 18 months or so. You may have seen the huge hangers at NAS JAX. Granted, some of these servicemen will rent, but once they suck up that inventory, they will buy, especially if they plan to be here for a long period of time. They love Clay County and what it has to offer for their families.
• The next thing that is going to help the real estate market is that the builders are not building spec homes. In the prime of the market, they would build homes and hope people would come and buy. This summer, this is not the case. The builder inventory is shrinking and they would rather build from the ground up to reduce their risk.
• Next is that interest rates are well below historical levels, as they are hovering on average about 6%, and the FHA loan limits have been raised to $387,000. This means that a buyer can put down 3% on a mortgage and not have to take a higher interest rate.
• Prices are back to 2004-2005 prices. If you did not buy during those times, you could just pretend the boom years did not happen and take advantage of the great deals that people are offering. Of course, if you are happy in your home, it would not be a great time to move, but if personal circumstances or life changes have made you start to think this would be a good time to move, you may want to think about it. You may actually be making more money than you thought by selling because you will be upgrading your lifestyle.
• The Tax portability law was passed in November. What does this mean to you? It means that you can move and take your current assessed value and roll it over to your new house. I can not tell you how much you will save exactly, as it is complicated, but it will make the new taxes less expensive for current Florida residents. You can call the Clay County Property Appraisers office to get what your new tax rate will be.
The hard things about this market are real
• You have to be priced right. The banks are scared and not willing to lend money for homes that are over valued. Even if you get a buyer that loves your house and is willing to pay a price above the current comparables, the banks will shoot the deal down. If you are not willing to play in the market then it is a good time for you to sell.
• You have to make your home stand out. The difference between a home that has been de-cluttered, freshened up and perfectly show ready and one that is filled with knick knacks, family treasures and clutter matters greatly. Is this going to get you more money? I can not promise you that, but it will make your home move to the top of the list of the thousands of homes on the market.
• In Clay County, there are 2,240 homes on the market. 259 are pending and 631 have sold since January 1 2008. What people don't realize is that 323 of the houses on the market are in what we call a short sale, foreclosure or bank-owned status. This means that the bank may or may not have agreed to sell the house for less than the seller owes. There are many sellers that are just testing the waters. They don't really care if their house sells or not, but if someone brings an offer, they might sell. The other real homes on the market are the relocation folks, people that have to move and investors that are getting out of the market. These tend to be priced to sell, and they have a goal to get out now.
So if you are thinking about selling or taking advantage of this current real estate market, now may or may not be the right time for you. But how many times in the boom times did you say...... I should have bought 5 years ago.
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