“World's Most Complete Neighborpedia”
Explore:   What's happening in your neck of the woods?

Eleanor Thorne 919-649-5057 Cary Mortgage Loans

NC in Review 1/12/09

We Are Hitting Some GOOD ONES!Did you know that we've had 11 featured posts (that I can find anyway) in North Carolina since the beginning of the year?

In these featured posts, the NC group told folks about Twitter Problems, How to set up your New Blog site, How to do a Slideshow in your Post and How to Maximize Hubspot!Other Great Posts! We're on top of it!

But there were some other great posts too... and those are the ones I'd like to highlight now:

Cynthia Tilghman wrote about Active Duty VA benefits, and I thought it was great because these guys need jobs when they get out! Getting further Education NOW will give them that "leg up!"

Suzie Blackmon continues to be one of my favorite photographers and bloggers... I especially liked, Stop Feeling Sorry For Yourself!

Craig Rutman (you should subscribe to him!) wrote about "Control Top, No Fly, Mild Support, Microfiber ThermoFabric with Enforced Toes" that had TEARS streaming from my eyes it is so funny! Apparently, he's also famous, and this was pretty cute too!

Dave Park the Mavrick Builder is writing inspiring notes for your business, Jay Williams wrote about 203K loans... and Marybeth Barrett wrote about 2009 Color Trends! I thought this was one of the best posts I read (and I read 29 pages of posts!) Eleanor Thorne wrote about the fact that rates are going up, if your score is less than 620! 8-(

Brian Belcher wrote about ACC Basketball... and DAVIDSON (they are Smokin' right now!) and Sandy Aichner wrote about zMAX Dragway! FUN!

I also want to send a shout out to Matt Huband in the Outbanks. He has been blogging on AR since July of 2006 - and did a really great Hello! to 2009! The Good News is that Business is Picking up!

If I have not added you as an Associate in NC - please let me know!

What Obama Needs To Do To Fix The Economy - OPINIONS

There's a New Sheriff Coming to TownObama recently said he wanted to hear the ideas "out there" for a better stimulus package. Paul Krugman, who recently won a Noble Prize for his Economic Genius, has some ideas... and he recently shared those with Rolling Stones!

In his post, Krugman notes... "One more thing: even with the Obama plan, the Romer-Bernstein report predicts an average unemployment rate of 7.3 percent over the next three years. That's a scary number, big enough to pose a real risk that the U.S. economy will get stuck in a Japan-type deflationary trap."

This doesn't sound good...Need More

According to Krugman.. "There's nothing to suggest that the plunge in the job loss will end anytime soon." He specifically thinks that we need a program on the scale of the "New Deal." He suggests that cutting taxes will help... but with unemployment headed to a number above 8%,

we need J-O-B-S!

Bernanke also spoke today from London about what the Fed can do to further slow down the drop in property values and bolster the global economy... although Krugman notes that there's really not much more the Fed can do...

The Fed leaked in late November that they intended to push mortgage interest rates lower. IMHO... this is what is truly needed. Any program that will ACTUALLY get us below (or to) the publics' "magical" 4.5% - THAT'S what Obama needs to do, and do it QUICK! I say this BECAUSE I believe that there are people out there who can purchase, and they are waiting for the "bottom." The lowest mortgage rates since World War II would be a great sign!

-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-

On a separate note (in response to Lenn and Aaron) here are my opinions:

  • Lenn Harley Wants My Opinion?Lenn has suggested on multiple occasions that a plan floated by my Congressman, Rep Miller, to allow Bankruptcy Judges change the Principal Balance on the mortgage loan is a good one. I disagree. One of the reasons Mortgage Interest Rates are NOT where they should be (in the low 4's) is because NO ONE is purchasing mortgages. IMHO, allowing a judge to set the "value" and forcing a cramdown is not the best alternative. Do I think Banks SHOULD accept Cramdowns, and re-negotiate Principal Balances, absolutely - but I think it's more fair, and would stabilize overall markets better if there was a MECHANISM (other than Bankruptcy) that would force Bank's to do what they are suppose to be doing. We FURTHER jeopardize the flow of Mortgage Backed Securites with Rep. Miller's plan.
  • Aaron has a featured post about "Talkin' about Walkin'"... the comments follow along the theme that banks are going to let loose of the stringent foreclosure and bankruptcy guidelines in 2 to 3 years. Again, just my humble opinion, but I don't think there's any way on God's Green Earth that would happen! Subprime loans are not coming back, loans to people with no equity are not coming back, the market for Mortgage Backed Securities is RUINED. The NEXT foot to drop (IMHO it will be this year) is Pension Funds, which are quietly going broke. When the Commercial Paper hits, (later this year like Subprime) - we are going to finally find out how many State Pension Funds, how many Teacher Pension Funds are heavily invested in what has traditionally been considered a stable investment. Because these funds have (and will continue) to avoid mortgages (we're junk bonds at this point)... there's no way the guidelines are going to be loosened for those who file NOW. Banks are going to have an elephant's memory about this! 7 to 9 years would mean that the next "boom," by your definition, would be in 2015 through 2017!!

If you have questions about which way mortgage rates are headed, call us, we'll certainly share our opinion!

NAHB Wants to Keep Their In House Lender? WOW!

National Association of HomeBuilders is suing to retain the ability to control mortgage lending! WOW! Keep Your Fingers Crossed! Who's surprised by that??

According to Inman News: "Federal housing regulators have agreed to delay for 90 days implementation of a rule change that would bar home builders from offering consumers incentives when they agree to use builders' affiliated mortgage and title insurance companies."

We've seen first hand how well the affiliated mortgage companies work! We were told last month by a CTX onsite agent that it was AGAINST THE LAW for the buyer to use someone other than THEIR mortgage Company!

We have builders here who are charging you $12,000 more on your home - just so you can take advantage of the financing package!

Builder Controlled Mortgage Groups have the wrong perspective! Let's keep our fingers crossed that they do not remain the "norm."

If you have questions about alternatives to the Builder's Mortgage Group - Call us!

If Your Score is Less than 620 - Interest Rates Are Going UP!

I need a DRINK!Just received an update from a MAJOR investor that credit scores less than 620 are going to be priced SIGNIFICANTLY higher beginning Monday, January 12, 2009.

This is significant for folks who are purchasing, and using USDA or FHA/VA financing tools. The "hits" for scores between 600 and 620 today are .25. Meaning that it costs us almost a quarter of a discount point more to do a loan with those scores. In most cases, this means we can still get a rate of 5% for these folks.

According to the news bulletin, the new cost for doing a government loan with a credit score between 600 and 620 will be 1.25%. Now that could mean that someone with a 617 score (I have a borrower right now with a middle of 617 and no lates in the last 5 years) would suffer... because their BEST RATE (with new pricing) is 5.5%!

Because of the rate spread loan rules in NC, this means that many people with credit between 580 and 600 (that cost goes to 2.0%) - might not be able to get financing! If you are considering a new mortgage, or you would like to refinance, let us look at your credit first, and see what might need to be done to improve your score! Steve and Eleanor Thorne

Wake County Public School System not on the list?

In December of 2007 I wrote about the Wake County Public School Board's decision to move kids around (click here), and force year round schools.  Many people felt that the Board's decision to move kids to keep an economic balance was the "best" of all opportunities...

The US News and World Report just released the "Best High Schools" in the Country - and Raleigh Charter is listed as number 25!  Whow Who!  It's a Charter School, not one of those with kids that have been moved all over the county.  Look at the stats in this report... does it support being the BIGGEST school system as being the BEST school system?

There are more Board of Education sessions coming for parents to speak out.  Go ahead, speak out... but what's really going to make a difference is finding new members to run.  We need a change.  Bigger is not better.

If you have the experience, and the desire, and the GUTS to buck the system... we want YOU to run for Wake County School Board Member! ... anybody wondering how I REALLY feel???