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Erion Shehaj - Houston Real Estate Broker

Houston Heights Real Estate Market Report - Feb 2009 (VIDEO)


Houston Heights District - Real Estate Market Report from Erion Shehaj on Vimeo.

Active on the Market

There are currently 135 total properties for sale asking an average of $200.27/SF (virtually unchanged) priced as low as $149.9k all the way up to $1.35M. Over half of the current inventory for sale (51.85%) are new construction homes. On average , active listings have been on the market for 124 days which is an improvement over January’s 139 days. Only 1.5% of the current inventory are foreclosures.

Pending Sales

A total of 12 properties went under contract in February, at different stages of the transaction (i.e. pending inspection, pending but taking backups, pending closing) - That’s significantly lower than the January figure. The average asking price of the homes that went under contract is $154.01/SF priced as low as $199k all the way up to $964k. A third of the homes that went under contract were new construction. On average, pending sale listings have been on the market for 83 days. Two of the twelve pending sales were bank foreclosures.

Sold

A total of 13 properties were sold during February (62% jump from a month ago) at an average of $163.33/SF with sales prices ranging from $192k all the way up to $866k. About a quarter of the sold properties in The Heights during January were new developments. On average , sold listings have been on the market for 146 days. Just over seven percent of the solds were bank owned properties.

heights-real-estate-stats-february

The current absorption rate for Houston Heights remained unchanged at a healthy 6.78 months - that is, it would take about 7 months to sell all the current inventory at the rate homes have been selling in the neighborhood over the past year. There is a definite disconnect between the price Sellers are asking for their properties and the price homes are actually selling in the area. Currently the difference is about 11.5% which is considerable. Every home is different - that’s true. But if you are in the market trying to sell, you will be facing an uphill battle if your asking price is higher than what it takes to sell by double digit percentages. Without sugarcoating it, the choice is simple:

  1. If you need and want to sell, lower the price to match the market
  2. If you can afford to wait, bring the property back on the market once it has turned the corner.

The numbers never lie - if you know how to read them.

Talking Houston Foreclosures with Channel 39

Yesterday, we were contacted by one of our local stations, Channel 39, to contribute to a story on taking advantage of the current market and getting some great deals buying Houston Foreclosures.

Kudos to Andrea Nguyen for a superb job on the story.

 

Stimulate your home purchase in 2009

As stimulus package was signed into law this past Wednesday, speculation about the housing provisions in it ceased. During the course of congressional negotiations we went from a $15,000 tax credit to nothing, and everywhere in between.

The simple facts

Under the $787B recovery package, first time homebuyers (that make less than $75,000/year) are eligible to get an $8,000 tax credit that does not require repayment, if they purchase a primary residence from January 1st, 2009 through December 31st, 2009. The credit is refundable - If the annual tax liability is less than the credit, the taxpayer will receive the difference in a check. The tax credit does not apply for investment properties or second homes.

stimulate-your-houston-home-purchase

Here’s an idea

The median home price in Houston Real Estate as of January 2009 is about $130,000. In the current environment, buyers are getting an average discount of about 7% off asking price. Bank and government foreclosures are often priced 15%+ less than their true market value. With FHA financing, homebuyers can purchase a Houston home with a 3.5% down payment. Finally, the stimulus package tax credit amounts to about 6% of an average priced starter home.

To put it all together: You would be purchasing a home at a sweet 31.5% Off!! As in 68.5 cents on the dollar.

Need I say more to support my conviction that this is THE best time to buy a home in the last 50 years? To spin off a Warren Buffett nugget of wisdom: Be agressive when others are fearful and fearful when others are agressive. The time is now…

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Houston Real Estate Market in ‘08 - Slower but Resolute

Just over a month ago, 2008 came to an end as one of the choppiest years for the real estate market in at least two decades. Across the country, markets were hit with slow sales and falling prices with some areas in the West dropping as much as 30%. News media outlets latched on to the national data and milked it for all it was worth, arguably making it much worse by further frightening buyers that were already feeling uncertain. There was no effort whatsoever, to parse the data and point out markets that were actually doing well - relatively speaking. Instead, we had two equally stubborn extremes: Skewed catastrophic reports from newsmedia and stubborn boneheaded cliches from Associations of Realtors.

Now the numbers for the Houston Real Estate market are out and I’d like to give you the straight story without any coating - sugar or otherwise.

The Bad News

number-of-sales-year-on-year-07-08During 2008, Realtors sold a total of 69,220 single family homes which represents a drop of 17.3% drop over 2007. That is, 14,516 fewer homes were sold in 2008 when compared with the year before. The reasons that justify this drop are several and well known: Tightening credit markets and lending guidelines, loss of employment and overall uncertainty about the economy kept buyers from pursuing and purchasing homes. Further, Hurricane Ike put the brakes on the entire real estate establishment in the Greater Houston Area for at least four weeks. It also caused a large number of sales to fall through due to hurricane damage. When it comes to total number of transactions, virtually every market in the country suffered a drop over 2007.



The Good News

houston_real_estate_average_sales_prices_2007_vs_2008The average sales price during 2008 actually rose by about 1% (to $208,266) over 2007 while the median sales price remained unchanged at $152,000. You won’t find this story in the Chronicle because this is very positive news and they’re not in THAT business. In a nutshell, this means that while it would be normal for prices to come under pressure during periods of slower sales, not only did home prices in the Houston area NOT drop - they actually rose. This makes a lot of sense, if you think about it. We did not experience the rampant post Y2K appreciation that states like California, Arizona and Florida went through. In other words, if prices didn’t rise aggressively, they will not fall aggresively either.



Inventory

At the end of December 2008, the months of inventory was at 5.7 months - in other words, it would take 5.7 months to deplete the current inventory based on past 12 months sales (by comparison, certain markets in Florida are looking at 20+ months of inventory). This number is also down from December 2007 - a positive sign that shows the Houston Real Estate market is trending toward being more balanced after spending most of 2008 in Buyer’s Market territory.

Looking forward

In my opinion, the Houston Real Estate market (and other similar markets) will begin to rebound during the last quarter of 2009. Stronger sales will be fueled by home buyer incentives in the stimulus bill, looser Fannie Mae credit restrictions for investors and more fluid credit markets overall. With a stronger push in the sales territory, prices should remain stable if not experience mild appreciation.

As a consumer, you have the right to truthful information, not agenda driven spin. I hope to have provided some insight into the realistic conditions within the Houston Real Estate market.

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Houston First in the country for 2008 job growth

houston-number-one-job-growth-2008

In the midst of an atmosphere of job losses, layoffs and unemployment, Houston just closed the year as the top in the country for job growth adding 57,300 jobs in 2008. From the Houston Business Journal story:

Houston had the best year of any market, picking up an additional 57,300 jobs, according to a new bizjournals analysis…Seventy-two of the markets suffered declines in employment in 2008. The New York City area took the worst hit in absolute terms, losing 120,300 positions…Texas dominated the small list of markets that added jobs last year, nailing down the top three positions, and four of the top five.

The increase is down significantly from 2007 when the area added 218,000 jobs. But the fact that we have job growth while 88% of markets lost jobs in the same time period is a testament to how well the area is weathering the storm. Since the local employment market is the foundation that supports (and fuels) our housing market, this is very positive news for Houston real estate.