Gabriel Libutti

Home sales contracts in 7-month rally Realtors' index rises 6.4% in August for 7th straight gain as tax credit deadline boosts activity. NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Homebuyers signed more sales contracts in August than in any month this year, boosted by the looming expiration of a homebuyers' tax credit, according to an industry report released Thursday. The August Pending Home Sales Index from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) surged 6.4%, the seventh straight month-over-month improvement in the indicator. The increase far exceeded economists' expectations -- a panel of analysts surveyed by Briefing.com had forecast a 1% rise. Pending home sales rose 3.2% in July. Pending sales are considered a forward indicator of housing market health since contract signings precede actual closings, which typically occur two to three months later. August contract signings show up in October and November NAR statistics as existing home sales. Housing markets have gained some ground recently as a tax credit for first-time homebuyers -- which is scheduled to expire Nov. 30 -- stimulated sales of starter, and other, homes. "No doubt many first-time buyers are rushing to beat the deadline for the $8,000 tax credit, which expires at the end of next month," said Lawrence Yun, NAR's chief economist. One problem in extrapolating future closings from contract signings, however, is that there are continuing problems obtaining mortgages that may scuttle many deals, according to Yun. "The rise in pending home sales shows buyers are returning to the market and signing contracts, but deals are not necessarily closing because of long delays related to short sales, and issues regarding complex new appraisal rules," he said. Those issues also could also lead to some double counting of previous pending sales as buyers whose earlier deals fell through may return to the market and sign new contracts. Still, the oversized gain in pending sales will surely translate into some increase in closings, and the report added to several other positive recent indicators that housing markets are at least stabilizing, if not in full-blown recovery. Not all economic and housing indicators have been pointing up. Initial jobless claims climbed this week, according to a Labor Department report, after three weeks of declines. Foreclosure filings are still well above normal and they threaten to go far higher as the terms of many toxic mortgages, such as interest-only loans and option ARMS, reset over the next six to 12 months and send the monthly mortgage payments of homeowners soaring. Another housing market question mark is the status of the tax credit for first-time homebuyers, with the industry fearing that home sales could drop sharply if it's allowed to expire. There are, however, several efforts in Congress to extend the credit and even to expand it to all homebuyers, not just first-timers. That could turbo-charge home sales if it goes through

Foreclosure blight: The cleanup crawls along Washington put up billions to save blighted areas by buying abandoned homes. But states and cities are having trouble getting properties away from banks. The city of Orlando is one of many localities struggling to rehab homes. Lured back to prime neighborhoods Thanks to sinking home prices, these 5 homebuyers were able to score deals in areas they couldn't previously afford. View photos Quick Vote When will you know that an economic recovery is underway? When the Dow tops 10,000When GDP turns positiveWhen job growth resumesIt's already started or View results NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- A controversial $3.9 billion federal program aimed at saving neighborhoods blighted by foreclosure is hitting hurdles that could threaten its effectiveness. The Neighborhood Stabilization Program, passed by Congress last year, gives states and localities money to acquire and rehabilitate abandoned properties. The big problem: officials are having trouble getting their hands on those houses, which are being scooped up instead by private investors and homebuyers at rock-bottom prices. "Getting hold of the houses, especially the right houses, can be a lot harder than they thought," said housing expert Alan Mallach, a non-resident senior fellow at the Brookings Institution. "They are finding there's a lot more competition for these properties, and they are losing out to investors." Some locales now fear that they won't be able to commit their allotment to specific projects by next fall's use-it-or-lose-it deadline, forcing them to expand or change the scope of their efforts. But altering the plans may lessen their success, experts said. "The challenge has been to get this money into the field and working," said Michael Tierney, chief operating officer of Local Initiatives Support Corp., a community development organization. "It's moving more slowly than we anticipated. I don't think it will have as much impact as we originally hoped." CNNMoney.com spoke to federal and local government officials, community development groups and housing experts to determine how the program is progressing a year after its enactment. During that period, the foreclosure crisis has only gotten worse and is expected to continue declining. There are 2.5 million homes in the foreclosure process, with about 750,000 in the hands of banks, according to Mark Zandi, chief economist with Moody's Economy.com. As many as 4 million foreclosed homes will be sold by the end of 2011, he estimates. The debate over the neighborhood stabilization initiative has been contentious from the start. Supporters said it would help eliminate blight and stop home values from plunging. Opponents argued that the paltry sum wouldn't do much considering the vast supply of vacant homes on the market. Recognizing the severity of the problem, the federal government allotted another $1.9 billion to neighborhood stabilization as part of February's stimulus package. That money has yet to be distributed. Ramp up is the toughest The program's initial stage -- during which officials must contract with banks and developers -- is the most difficult, said Mercedes Marquez, assistant secretary at the Department of Housing and Urban Development. Before they see a dime, state and local governments must tell HUD how and where they plan to use the funds. Many have never been involved in this type of work, making the ramp up even more challenging. Often, officials hire nonprofit groups to do most of the acquisition, rehab and financing. "It's a lot of work to implement," said Marquez, who feels the program is on track overall. So far, some 13.8% of the funds have been obligated for a variety of uses, including buying and rehabbing foreclosed homes, demolishing decrepit ones and helping homebuyers purchase and renovate foreclosed properties. To be sure, some locales are further along than others. Certain big cities, such as Chicago and New York, have the necessary staff and experience. Some have already turned vacant properties into livable homes. Others, however, have yet to buy a single house. Among the stumbling blocks has been acquiring foreclosed homes from the banks at the required 1% discount to the appraised value. To really be effective, states and local officials must target abandoned homes in specific neighborhoods or even on particular streets. But that could involve complex negotiations with multiple banks. And, with housing markets starting to revive in many locales, financial institutions are often more eager to sell to private buyers. Take what's happening in the city of Orlando, which is using its $6.7 million allotment to turn foreclosed properties into affordable housing and to provide downpayment assistance. Buyers are flooding the Florida market as home prices plunge. The median price for a single-family home in the Orlando metro area is down 29% in August compared to a year earlier, and sales are up 48%. That makes it all the more difficult for Orlando officials to secure properties. "We thought the banks would be so happy to see us coming with our money," said Lelia Allen, director of the City of Orlando Housing and Community Development Department. "That has not necessarily been the case." So far, the city and its nonprofit partners have purchased five properties, spending about $322,000. They have 17 offers out on homes worth a total of $1.2 million. Knowing that her department has to commit all its money by next fall, Allen is making changes to the original plan. She has expanded the size of the targeted neighborhood in order to have more foreclosed properties to choose from. And she's planning to ask HUD whether some of the money can go to grants for people who buy foreclosed homes on their own, but need help financing the renovations. Even places that are confident they can meet the deadline are finding the process challenging. It's particularly tough to put together rehabilitation proposals that make financial sense, mainly because the federal program requires that one-quarter of the funds help very low-income people. Officials say they can only reach this group by turning foreclosed homes into inexpensive rentals. In Rhode Island, which has a $19.6 million allocation, officials have found it relatively easy to spend $3 million on downpayment assistance for nearly 80 families and $4 million to purchase very rundown foreclosed properties that will be renovated at a later date. 0:00 /3:03Saving America's neighborhoods But they have been slower to spend the $9 million targeted for acquisition and rehab, said Noreen Shawcross, chief of the state's Office of Housing and Community Development. To complete the renovations, nonprofits need to find financing beyond the stabilization funds. That's been difficult to do, particularly for housing aimed at the lowest income strata. "It's harder to make development work when you are getting lower rents," said Shawcross. Not everyone sees the increased competition for foreclosed properties as a problem. This activity will also bring stability to neighborhoods, said Joseph Pigg, senior counsel at the American Bankers Association. "If the private market is coming back and buying houses and crowding the government out, that's not a bad thing," he said. Help is on the way Acknowledging the program's implementation is causing "a lot of anxiety," HUD's Marquez said the department has allocated $50 million to provide support for struggling localities. It contracted with community development experts to help state and local governments. "If there is a barrier, how can we help break it or bridge it," Marquez said. These support teams should hit the ground in October. Marquez said she would not be surprised if more state and local officials then amend their plans to meet the market realities in their neighborhoods. State and local governments will also be able to seek help from a new community organization aimed at facilitating the transfer of foreclosed properties from banks, said Ali Solis, senior vice president at Enterprise Community Partners. Created by Enterprise and other nonprofit groups, the National Community Stabilization Trust is working with several large financial institutions to give governments access to foreclosed homes before they hit the market. The trust has also lined up a $50 million low-interest credit line that officials and nonprofits can use to acquire homes. Ultimately, the question remains whether the program will meet its goal: to stabilize and revitalize communities plagued by foreclosure. Experts are mixed in their views, with some hopeful that the effort will still do some good in targeted areas and others wondering how much of an impact it will have. "It's very unclear when the dust settles how much real change in neighborhood stability and quality of life we'll see," said Brookings' Mallach.

Home prices gain for 3rd straight month Case-Shiller index shows 1.6% gain in July, a sign that recovery may be in motion. Climbing in July Price trends improved for all 20 cities in the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price index. City Year-over-year change Change from June Minneapolis -17.3% 4.6% San Francisco -17.9% 3.3% Chicago -14.2% 2.7% San Diego -12.3% 2.5% Atlanta -11.8% 2.3% Washington, D.C. -9.8% 1.8% Los Angeles -14.9% 1.8% Phoenix -28.5% 1.8% Cleveland -1.3% 1.5% Denver -2.9% 1.5% Tampa -18.4% 1.4% Miami -21.2% 1.3% Dallas -1.2% 1.2% Boston -4.9% 1.2% Portland -13.9% 1.1% Detroit -24.6% 1.1% New York -10.3% 0.8% Charlotte -9.0% 0.6% Seattle -15.3% -0.1% Las Vegas -31.4% -1.1% 20-City composite -13.3% 1.6% 10-City composite -12.8% 1.7% NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- There was another tick-up in home prices in July, a further indication that housing markets may be stabilizing, according to a report issued Tuesday. Prices for the S&P Case-Shiller Home Price index of 20 cities rose 1.6% from a month earlier, the third consecutive month of gains. They went up 1.4% in June. Prices were still down 13.3% compared with July 2008, but even that performance was better than expected. A panel of industry experts surveyed by Briefing.com had forecast a 14.2% loss. "The rate of annual decline in home price values continues to decelerate and we now seem to be witnessing some sustained monthly increases across many of the markets" said David Blitzer, chairman of the Index Committee at Standard & Poor's. Craig Thomas, a senior economist with PNC Financial Services Group, called the report very encouraging. "The rule of thumb is that three observations is a trend," he said. "There have been three straight good reports, so, this is a trend." The home-price gains also confirmed other positive recent housing reports such as lower inventories and more traffic being reported by home builders, according to Thomas. Trends in other economic indicators, such as job losses and retail sales have also improved lately. A pattern is developing, according to Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors (NAR), one in which stabilizing prices could contribute to a self-sustaining recovery. "When prices are falling, consumers ask themselves, 'Why buy now when I can buy later for less,'" he said, adding that rising prices are a strong incentive to act more quickly. Minneapolis' gain: Among the 20 cities, Minneapolis recorded the biggest gain during July; with prices up 4.6%. San Francisco, up 3.3%, and Chicago, 2.7% higher, also recorded sizable gains. The only price declines occurred in Las Vegas, where they fell 1.1%, and Seattle, down 0.1%. Las Vegas has become the city hardest hit by foreclosures, which remain one of the big issues facing housing markets. Yun points out that there will be another foreclosure spike over the next six to 12 months as the terms of option ARMs and interest-only mortgages reset, raising monthly payments for many borrowers and pushing some into delinquency. Foreclosed homes will continue to come back onto the market, padding supplies and dampening prices. The other major uncertainty is over the first time homebuyers' tax credit that currently gives back up to $8,000 to taxpayers who buy before Dec. 1 and who have not owned a home within the past three years. Yun credits the tax credit with being a major market stimulus. NAR estimated that an extra 350,000 homes will be sold because of it. There are bills in Congress that would extend the program and even expand it to every home buyer. If none of these are enacted, the market could suffer a reversal. There will be a clear-cut market recovery because of buyer interest tied to that stimulus, according to Yun, and if the tax credit is allowed to lapse, we could be looking at another bottom coming our way. The Case-Shiller index compares the sale price of a home to its price the last time it was sold, then factors in changes in prices over time. That, ideally, yields a more accurate picture of home price fluctuations than simply calculating the median or average prices of all homes sold during the month. Those averages can be skewed by changes in the mix of homes sold during any one period.

Home prices gain for 3rd straight month Case-Shiller index shows 1.6% gain in July, a sign that recovery may be in motion. Climbing in July Price trends improved for all 20 cities in the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price index. City Year-over-year change Change from June Minneapolis -17.3% 4.6% San Francisco -17.9% 3.3% Chicago -14.2% 2.7% San Diego -12.3% 2.5% Atlanta -11.8% 2.3% Washington, D.C. -9.8% 1.8% Los Angeles -14.9% 1.8% Phoenix -28.5% 1.8% Cleveland -1.3% 1.5% Denver -2.9% 1.5% Tampa -18.4% 1.4% Miami -21.2% 1.3% Dallas -1.2% 1.2% Boston -4.9% 1.2% Portland -13.9% 1.1% Detroit -24.6% 1.1% New York -10.3% 0.8% Charlotte -9.0% 0.6% Seattle -15.3% -0.1% Las Vegas -31.4% -1.1% 20-City composite -13.3% 1.6% 10-City composite -12.8% 1.7% NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- There was another tick-up in home prices in July, a further indication that housing markets may be stabilizing, according to a report issued Tuesday. Prices for the S&P Case-Shiller Home Price index of 20 cities rose 1.6% from a month earlier, the third consecutive month of gains. They went up 1.4% in June. Prices were still down 13.3% compared with July 2008, but even that performance was better than expected. A panel of industry experts surveyed by Briefing.com had forecast a 14.2% loss. "The rate of annual decline in home price values continues to decelerate and we now seem to be witnessing some sustained monthly increases across many of the markets" said David Blitzer, chairman of the Index Committee at Standard & Poor's. Craig Thomas, a senior economist with PNC Financial Services Group, called the report very encouraging. "The rule of thumb is that three observations is a trend," he said. "There have been three straight good reports, so, this is a trend." The home-price gains also confirmed other positive recent housing reports such as lower inventories and more traffic being reported by home builders, according to Thomas. Trends in other economic indicators, such as job losses and retail sales have also improved lately. A pattern is developing, according to Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors (NAR), one in which stabilizing prices could contribute to a self-sustaining recovery. "When prices are falling, consumers ask themselves, 'Why buy now when I can buy later for less,'" he said, adding that rising prices are a strong incentive to act more quickly. Minneapolis' gain: Among the 20 cities, Minneapolis recorded the biggest gain during July; with prices up 4.6%. San Francisco, up 3.3%, and Chicago, 2.7% higher, also recorded sizable gains. The only price declines occurred in Las Vegas, where they fell 1.1%, and Seattle, down 0.1%. Las Vegas has become the city hardest hit by foreclosures, which remain one of the big issues facing housing markets. Yun points out that there will be another foreclosure spike over the next six to 12 months as the terms of option ARMs and interest-only mortgages reset, raising monthly payments for many borrowers and pushing some into delinquency. Foreclosed homes will continue to come back onto the market, padding supplies and dampening prices. The other major uncertainty is over the first time homebuyers' tax credit that currently gives back up to $8,000 to taxpayers who buy before Dec. 1 and who have not owned a home within the past three years. Yun credits the tax credit with being a major market stimulus. NAR estimated that an extra 350,000 homes will be sold because of it. There are bills in Congress that would extend the program and even expand it to every home buyer. If none of these are enacted, the market could suffer a reversal. There will be a clear-cut market recovery because of buyer interest tied to that stimulus, according to Yun, and if the tax credit is allowed to lapse, we could be looking at another bottom coming our way. The Case-Shiller index compares the sale price of a home to its price the last time it was sold, then factors in changes in prices over time. That, ideally, yields a more accurate picture of home price fluctuations than simply calculating the median or average prices of all homes sold during the month. Those averages can be skewed by changes in the mix of homes sold during any one period.

Home prices gain for 3rd straight month Case-Shiller index shows 1.6% gain in July, a sign that recovery may be in motion. Climbing in July Price trends improved for all 20 cities in the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price index. City Year-over-year change Change from June Minneapolis -17.3% 4.6% San Francisco -17.9% 3.3% Chicago -14.2% 2.7% San Diego -12.3% 2.5% Atlanta -11.8% 2.3% Washington, D.C. -9.8% 1.8% Los Angeles -14.9% 1.8% Phoenix -28.5% 1.8% Cleveland -1.3% 1.5% Denver -2.9% 1.5% Tampa -18.4% 1.4% Miami -21.2% 1.3% Dallas -1.2% 1.2% Boston -4.9% 1.2% Portland -13.9% 1.1% Detroit -24.6% 1.1% New York -10.3% 0.8% Charlotte -9.0% 0.6% Seattle -15.3% -0.1% Las Vegas -31.4% -1.1% 20-City composite -13.3% 1.6% 10-City composite -12.8% 1.7% NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- There was another tick-up in home prices in July, a further indication that housing markets may be stabilizing, according to a report issued Tuesday. Prices for the S&P Case-Shiller Home Price index of 20 cities rose 1.6% from a month earlier, the third consecutive month of gains. They went up 1.4% in June. Prices were still down 13.3% compared with July 2008, but even that performance was better than expected. A panel of industry experts surveyed by Briefing.com had forecast a 14.2% loss. "The rate of annual decline in home price values continues to decelerate and we now seem to be witnessing some sustained monthly increases across many of the markets" said David Blitzer, chairman of the Index Committee at Standard & Poor's. Craig Thomas, a senior economist with PNC Financial Services Group, called the report very encouraging. "The rule of thumb is that three observations is a trend," he said. "There have been three straight good reports, so, this is a trend." The home-price gains also confirmed other positive recent housing reports such as lower inventories and more traffic being reported by home builders, according to Thomas. Trends in other economic indicators, such as job losses and retail sales have also improved lately. A pattern is developing, according to Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors (NAR), one in which stabilizing prices could contribute to a self-sustaining recovery. "When prices are falling, consumers ask themselves, 'Why buy now when I can buy later for less,'" he said, adding that rising prices are a strong incentive to act more quickly. Minneapolis' gain: Among the 20 cities, Minneapolis recorded the biggest gain during July; with prices up 4.6%. San Francisco, up 3.3%, and Chicago, 2.7% higher, also recorded sizable gains. The only price declines occurred in Las Vegas, where they fell 1.1%, and Seattle, down 0.1%. Las Vegas has become the city hardest hit by foreclosures, which remain one of the big issues facing housing markets. Yun points out that there will be another foreclosure spike over the next six to 12 months as the terms of option ARMs and interest-only mortgages reset, raising monthly payments for many borrowers and pushing some into delinquency. Foreclosed homes will continue to come back onto the market, padding supplies and dampening prices. The other major uncertainty is over the first time homebuyers' tax credit that currently gives back up to $8,000 to taxpayers who buy before Dec. 1 and who have not owned a home within the past three years. Yun credits the tax credit with being a major market stimulus. NAR estimated that an extra 350,000 homes will be sold because of it. There are bills in Congress that would extend the program and even expand it to every home buyer. If none of these are enacted, the market could suffer a reversal. There will be a clear-cut market recovery because of buyer interest tied to that stimulus, according to Yun, and if the tax credit is allowed to lapse, we could be looking at another bottom coming our way. The Case-Shiller index compares the sale price of a home to its price the last time it was sold, then factors in changes in prices over time. That, ideally, yields a more accurate picture of home price fluctuations than simply calculating the median or average prices of all homes sold during the month. Those averages can be skewed by changes in the mix of homes sold during any one period.