“World's Most Complete Neighborpedia”
Explore:   What's happening in your neck of the woods?

Gabrielle Nemes, GRI, SRS, Auburn, WA

King County -- Friday 1/2 is the First 2009 Furlough Day

According to the press release of King County Council, in an effort to reduce costs and help balance their budget, King County has approved 10 unpaid furlough days for county employees. Essential emergency services such as police, fire, etc. will not be affected. Below is a list of the dates King County offices will be closed in 2009.

Friday Jan 2
Friday Feb 13
Friday Apr 10
Friday May 22
Friday June 19
Monday July 6
Friday Sept 4
Monday Oct 12
Wed Nov 25
Thurs Dec 24

Since the King County Recorder's office is part of the Executive Branch, it will also be closed on these dates, so transactions can't be recorded on these days.

The separately-elected officials of the County, including the Sheriff, Prosecutor, Sheriff and the Superior and District Court, will determine their own furlough schedules.

For further information about schedules and agencies that are affected, visit the King County site.

GN Sig Box

Market Statistics -- November 2008 -- Auburn, WA

Hard to believe a month has passed since I began accumulating and analyzing the Auburn area market, which is where I live. Like many agents in the greater Seattle/Tacoma area, I've always managed to work throughout the Puget Sound area. Last month I became an active member of the Auburn Chamber of Commerce and decided I really needed to be sure I knew what was going on in my own home town!

It's been an interesting month. Instinctively, I've felt that homes were selling a wee bit faster, and the numbers prove that for most areas of Auburn, that's appears to be true. Similar to much of the southeast King County and Pierce County areas, homes at the upper end of the residential price points are selling far slower than homes in the $200,000 to $300,000 range, which appears to the real "sweet spot," in residential home sales and purchases. First time home buyers are snapping up distress and bank owned homes, which are seen heavily in those price ranges. There are some real bargains out there right now!

Buyers are obviously in short supply in the Auburn West hill area for homes priced above $400,000, which currently sports over 49 months of inventory (whew!). Interestingly, compare that same price range to the Auburn East hill and the inventory drops to about 14 months.

Statistically, every neighborhood is different; it's critically important that you know what's going on in your own neighborhood and for homes similar to yours as you analyze your home's sale ability. Similarly, as you shop for a new home, you'll want to know how the home you are considering shapes up to the homes within a half-mile or so.

Looking at this carefully, it's obvious that homes ARE selling, but it's ever so much more important that a Seller's home be aggressively priced, impeccably prepared, and effectively marketed.

State of the Market in Auburn, WA

Residential Single Family Homes with Auburn Addresses

November, 2008

All prices

$400,001 -

$300,001- $400,000

$200,001 - $300,000

$0 - $200,000

All Prices 10/08

Auburn Mailing Address

Current Active Listings

533

154

180

171

28

578

Sold in last six months

405

55

159

167

24

409

Sold in last three months

181

24

61

82

14

213

Months of Current Inventory*

8.83

19.25

8.85

6.26

6.00

8.14

Auburn East Hill

(approx N and E of Green River, inc. Lea Hill, Lake Holm, Moneysmith,Washington Nat'l)

Current Active Listings

139

63

49

20

7

160

Sold in last six months

84

25

36

19

4

83

Sold in last three months

35

13

12

8

2

40

Months of Current Inventory*

11.91

14.54

12.25

7.50

10.50

12.00

Auburn Academy/Wabash

(approx NE of White River up hill towards Muckleshoot & Wabash)

Current Active Listings

7

4

1

1

1

7

Sold in last six months

10

4

1

5

0

10

Sold in last three months

6

2

0

4

0

5

Months of Current Inventory*

3.50

6.00

6.00

0.75

>6.00

4.20

Auburn West Hill

(West of Highway 167)

Current Active Listings

124

33

42

44

5

136

Sold in last six months

89

7

31

45

6

86

Sold in last three months

46

2

13

28

3

47

Months of Current Inventory*

8.09

49.50

9.69

4.71

5.00

8.68

Auburn Valley

(approx W of White River to Highway 167)

Current Active Listings

108

8

23

62

15

114

Sold in last six months

93

3

17

59

14

93

Sold in last three months

45

1

10

25

9

54

Months of Current Inventory*

7.20

24.00

6.90

7.44

5.00

6.33

Lakeland Area

(Lakeland Hills -- all)

Current Active Listings

99

21

49

29

0

102

Sold in last six months

71

10

38

23

0

79

Sold in last three months

25

3

12

10

0

35

Months of Current Inventory*

11.88

21.00

12.25

8.70

0.00

8.74

*based on last 3 months sold activity

Prepared

11/30/08

Signature Block

Understanding Market Statistics

Like all agents,, I keep track of what's going on market-wise in the area I regularly practice. Defining that area can be a bit tricky, however. My working "area" is pretty large -- I actually work throughout southeast King County and well into Pierce County. That's a LOT of statistics.

However, I live in Auburn, and that's my "watch point." But Auburn's a big area too. Lots of neighborhoods. Lots of diversity as far as housing goes. Some areas tend to have less expensive homes, while others currently focus on big, perhaps newer houses.

I always look at the statistics printed in the newspaper and reported by our MLS with a bit of caution. Not that's it's not good stuff. It's just that I know I'll get a call from a client, citing the statistic they read and wondering why their house hasn't sold, or appreciated, or depreciated at the rate posted. But comparing the entire "area" statistic for Auburn, for example, doesn't really help you in your own neighborhood.

Well, let's examine these stats just a bit. Here you'll find information about all houses identified with "Auburn, WA" as their mailing address. That doesn't necessarily mean that these are exactly within the City of Auburn limits. Some areas are unincorporated, but still sport the Auburn address.

Within "Auburn, WA," there are several areas that are somewhat definable. Homes in the Auburn valley sell differently than, say, homes in the Auburn Academy area

Why is that important? Well, suppose you want to buy a home in Lakeland, but your budget is only $200,000. As you can see from these stats, that's just not going to happen. Nothing is currently "Active," in Lakeland under $200,000 that's a detached single family home. Hmmm. But take a look at the Auburn Valley. Not only are there eight active listings under the $200,000 mark, 11 homes in that price range sold in the last six months, eight of which that sold in the last three months. That means that if you find the house you like, you really should move right along and make the offer. Houses in that price range in the Auburn valley area are selling at the rate of 1 per month.

Now, as you take a look at these statistics as a whole, notice that it would take approximately 8 months to sell all of the homes currently on the market. But when focusing on the Auburn East Hill, it would take a full year to clear the inventory. Just for clarification, I typically look at Absorption Rate (how many months of inventory on the market) by comparing the last three months of sales to active listings. This market has changed so rapidly that, in my opinion, the more current and "close to now" the information, the more realistic it is.

Another really great piece of information for you to know, as you both sell or buy in the current market, is how many days homes are actually staying in the market before marked as Pending (DOM). I'll include that data next month.

These statistics will vary again for your personal neighborhood, for homes that look like yours, and depending on the time range used to prepare the information. As you evaluate working with a particular agent to assist you in marketing your home or in purchasing your next home, be sure that your agent is up to date on information such as this. And be sure that your agent is fully prepared to gather this basic information for your unique area. It'll help you understand exactly what's going on!

State of the Market in Auburn, WA

Residential Single Family Homes with Auburn Addresses

All prices

$400,001 -

$300,001- $400,000

$200,001- $300,000

$0 - $200,000

Auburn Mailing Address

Current Active Listings

578

178

208

172

20

Sold in last six months

409

62

162

162

22

Sold in last three months

213

32

73

94

14

Months of Current Inventory

8.14

16.69

8.55

5.49

4.29

Auburn East Hill

(approx N and E of Green River, inc. Lea Hill, Lake Holm, Moneysmith,Washington Nat'l)

Current Active Listings

160

73

57

22

8

Sold in last six months

83

25

34

21

3

Sold in last three months

40

14

11

12

3

Months of Current Inventory

12.00

15.64

15.55

5.50

8.00

Auburn Academy/Wabash

(approx NE of White River up hill towards Muckleshoot & Wabash)

Current Active Listings

7

5

1

0

1

Sold in last six months

10

3

1

4

2

Sold in last three months

5

1

0

4

0

Months of Current Inventory

4.20

15.00

6.00

0.00

3.00

Auburn West Hill

(West of Highway 167)

Current Active Listings

136

33

53

48

2

Sold in last six months

86

10

30

40

6

Sold in last three months

47

6

14

24

3

Months of Current Inventory

8.68

16.50

11.36

6.00

2.00

Auburn Valley

(approx W of White River to Highway 167)

Current Active Listings

114

11

29

66

8

Sold in last six months

93

3

14

65

11

Sold in last three months

54

1

8

37

8

Months of Current Inventory

6.33

33.00

10.88

5.35

3.00

Lakeland Area

(Lakeland Hills -- all)

Current Active Listings

102

24

56

22

0

Sold in last six months

79

12

46

21

0

Sold in last three months

35

6

17

12

0

Months of Current Inventory

8.74

12.00

9.88

5.50

0.00

Prepared

10/31/08