Since the beginning of the year foreclosures have been occurring in greater numbers than sales, for both San Bernardino and Riverside counties we have amassed over 7,000 foreclosures that have remained unsold since the beginning of the year. These numbers will continue to grow as long as the foreclosures are greater than the sales.
Now we move into economics 101, as long as inventory continues to increase sales prices will continue to relax.
|
RIVERSIDE 2008 |
|||||||||
|
Jan |
Feb |
Mar |
Apr |
May |
Jun |
Jul |
Aug |
Unsold |
|
|
Foreclosures |
2,534 |
1,486 |
3,340 |
3,760 |
4,068 |
4,131 |
4,241 |
4,130 |
Foreclosure |
|
Closed Sales |
1,256 |
1,590 |
2,009 |
2,569 |
2,756 |
3,116 |
3,526 |
3,524 |
Inventory |
|
Unsold Foreclosures |
1,278 |
(104) |
1,331 |
1,191 |
1,312 |
1,015 |
715 |
606 |
7,344 |
|
SAN BERNARDINO 2008 |
|||||||||
|
Jan |
Feb |
Mar |
Apr |
May |
Jun |
Jul |
Aug |
Unsold |
|
|
Foreclosures |
1,666 |
1,127 |
2,369 |
2,664 |
3,023 |
3,060 |
3,208 |
3,076 |
Foreclosure |
|
Closed Sales |
844 |
938 |
1,219 |
1,392 |
1,706 |
1,880 |
2,232 |
2,176 |
Inventory |
|
Unsold Foreclosures |
822 |
189 |
1,150 |
1,272 |
1,317 |
1,180 |
976 |
900 |
7,806 |
Data Quick and ForeclosureRadar.com provided the raw data and Empire Realty provided the detailed analysis.
It's important to stay in tune with the changes in the market. Call Empire Realty for your next personal real estate consultation at (909) 579-6611, or visit us on the web at Empire Realty.
For information on purchasing your next home in Upland, Claremont, La Verne, Alta Loma, Rancho Cucamonga, Ontario, Fontana, Mira Loma, Corona, Chino, Chino Hills and Riverside or anywhere in the Inland Empire call Empire Realty at 909-579-6611 or visit us on the web at Empire Realty.
Empire Realty is your one stop shop for information and Full Service at a Discount.
FORECLOSURERADAR.COM - San Bernardino County - August 2008
In reviewing the foreclosure statistics for San Bernardino County we found that even though the foreclosure activity appeared to be near it's peak it looks like a second wave of foreclosures are about to come over us. The summer sales numbers which increased greatly from earlier months of the year are now dropping at a high rate thus we will start building inventory which will increase the speed at which prices fall and drive more foreclosures.
The ratio of the NOS's to NOD's, with a 90 day lag, continues at an alarmingly high ratio, as it continues at a high rate as it has all year, currently it is at 87% down 1% from last month. (Why a 90 day lag on the data? NOD's expire and move into NOS's at 90 days)
The number of NOD's had peaked in June at 4,281, this month bounced back from last month to 4,211 a 2.9% increase. We are on track to book 48,000 NOD's and 33,000 NOS's in 2008, let's hope for a better year in 2009.
Get the full report with the raw data at Empire Team.
Here is where we break out the crystal ball, we predict the following:
NOS's for August will be 3,663 - Actual 3,570 2.5% lower than forecasted.
NOS's for September will be 3,767
NOS's for October will be 3,602
NOS's for November will be 3,705
We used 88% of the NOD's to come up with these numbers with a 90 day lag. Keep in mind that the NOS cure rate is still around 12% so the actual number of foreclosures will be less.
How was last month's prediction?
We predicted the NOS's would hit approx. 3,663 in AUGUST 2008, they came in at 3,570. Our prediction was off by 93 units.
Jumping out on a limb?
After reviewing the data I am going to jump out on a limb here. I predict that the second wave of foreclosures is going to come through this winter, I am already seeing sales dry up and fast. Inventory will build, prices will drop and foreclosures will pile up. Someone remember to have me review this post in February 2009 as I believe that the story will be written by then.
Empire Realty is your real estate source for useful and money saving information.
It's important to stay in tune with the changes in the market. Call Empire Realty for your next personal real estate consultation at (909) 579-6611, or visit us on the web at Empire Realty.
For information on purchasing or listing your next home in Upland, Rancho Cucamonga, Alta Loma, La Verne, Mira Loma, San Bernardino, Corona, Chino, Chino hills, Ontario, Claremont or anywhere in the Inland Empire call Empire Realty at 909-579-6611 or visit us on the web at Empire Realty.
Empire Realty is your one stop shop for information and Full Service at a Discount.
Jumping out on a limb?
After reviewing the foreclosure and sales data for the Inland Empire I am going to jump out on a limb here.
I predict that the second wave of foreclosures is going to come through this winter, I am already seeing sales dry up and fast. Inventory will build, prices will drop and foreclosures will pile up.
Someone remember to have me review this post in February 2009 as I believe that the story will be written by then.
Empire Realty is your real estate source for useful and money saving information.
It's important to stay in tune with the changes in the market. Call Empire Realty for your next personal real estate consultation at (909) 579-6611, or visit us on the web at Empire Realty.
For information on purchasing or listing your next home in Upland, Rancho Cucamonga, Alta Loma, La Verne, Mira Loma, San Bernardino, Corona, Chino, Chino hills, Ontario, Claremont or anywhere in the Inland Empire call Empire Realty at 909-579-6611 or visit us on the web at Empire Realty.
Empire Realty is your one stop shop for information and Full Service at a Discount.
No matter what the market, people will continue to desire to live in Victorville, as it remains one of the most active cities within San Bernardino County. Comparatively speaking, the Victorville housing market continues to post brisk sales.
In of July 2008, 39 single family homes and a total of 0 condos/townhomes sold, down 34 from last month. My overall view of the market is still slipping in cost per square foot while the sales numbers are stabilizing a little.
For a full county market report Click Here.
Closed Sales For July 2008, Up 12 from last month
75 Single Family Homes
0 Condos/Townhomes
Pending Sales For July 2008, Up 24 from last month
117 Single Family Homes
0 Condos/Townhomes
Current Actives As of Today's Post, Up 6 from last month
770 Single Family Homes
0 Condos/Townhomes
Foreclosure Activity for July 2008
92392 - 212 Notice of Defaults (NOD) Up 2 from last month
92392 - 202 Notice of Foreclosure Sale (NOS) Up 38 from last month
92394 - 104 Notice of Defaults (NOD) Down 12 from last month
92394 - 143 Notice of Foreclosure Sale (NOS) Up 27 from last month
92395 - 92 Notice of Defaults (NOD) Up 16 from last month
92395 - 76 Notice of Foreclosure Sale (NOS) Down 2 from last month
Price Per Square Foot
Looking at the price per square foot helps us understand the value placed on homes in a real estate market. Median Price per Sqft. as of September 14, 2008 for Victorville is $198, down $9 from last month.
By Zip Code:
92392 - Lost $10 a square foot from last month, a $20,000 loss on a 2,000 square foot home, giving it an $96 average per square foot value.
92394 - Lost $4 a square foot from last month, a $8,000 loss on a 2,000 square foot home, giving it an $91 average per square foot value.
92395 - Lost $3 a square foot from last month, a $6,000 loss on a 2,000 square foot home, giving it an $100 average per square foot value.
Any way you slice it, the averages are getting real close to replacement value.
This sales data lags a month.

Data Sources: MRMLS, Altosresearch, Foreclosure Radar and Data Quick.
It's important to stay in tune with the changes in the market. Call Empire Realty for your next personal real estate consultation at (909) 579-6611, or visit us on the web at Empire Realty.
For information on purchasing your next home in Victorville or anywhere in the Inland Empire call Empire Realty at 909-579-6611 or visit us on the web at Empire Realty.
Empire Realty is your one stop shop for information and Full Service at a Discount
No matter what the market, people will continue to desire to live in Riverside, as it remains one of the most active cities within Riverside County. Comparatively speaking, the Riverside housing market continues to post brisk sales.
In of July 2008, 263 single family homes and a total of 11 condos/townhomes sold, down 279 from last month. Click Here to view the Riverside County market report.
Closed Sales for July 2008: Up 55 from last month
382 Single Family Homes
20 Condos/Townhomes
Pending Sales for July 2008: Up 59 from last month
899 Single Family Homes
31 Condos/Townhomes
Current Actives as of Today's Post: Down 193 from last month
2,219 Single Family Homes
117 Condos/Townhomes
Foreclosure Activity for July 2008
92501 - 40 Notice of Defaults (NOD) Down 7 from last month
92501 - 49 Notice of Foreclosure Sale (NOS) Up 12 from last month
92503 - 169 Notice of Defaults (NOD) Up 13 from last month
92503 - 173 Notice of Foreclosure Sale (NOS) Down 8 from last month
92504 - 100 Notice of Defaults (NOD) Up 1 from last month
92504 - 96 Notice of Foreclosure Sale (NOS) Up 10 from last month
92505 - 87 Notice of Defaults (NOD) Down 3 from last month
92505 - 91 Notice of Foreclosure Sale (NOS) Up 15 from last month
92506 - 48 Notice of Defaults (NOD) Down 15 from last month
92506 - 67 Notice of Foreclosure Sale (NOS) Up 20 from last month
92507 - 54 Notice of Defaults (NOD) Down 9 from last month
92507 - 58 Notice of Foreclosure Sale (NOS) Up 16 from last month
92508 - 68 Notice of Defaults (NOD) Down 6 from last month
92508 - 80 Notice of Foreclosure Sale (NOS) Up 20 from last month
92509 - 142 Notice of Defaults (NOD) Up 1 from last month
92509 - 115 Notice of Foreclosure Sale (NOS) Down 12 from last month
Price Per Square Foot
Looking at the price per square foot helps us understand the value placed on homes in a real estate market. Median Price per Sqft. as of September 14, 2008 for Riverside is $168, down $11 from last month.

It's important to stay in tune with the changes in the market. Call Empire Realty for your next personal real estate consultation at (909) 579-6611, or visit us on the web at Empire Realty.
For information on purchasing your next home in Riverside or anywhere in the Inland Empire call Empire Realty at 909-579-6611 or visit us on the web at Empire Realty.
Empire Realty is your one stop shop for information and Full Service at a Discount.
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