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Dean Tucker

FHA boss: FHA is not the new subprime

11-16-09
Dean Tucker

SAN DIEGO (AP) - Federal Housing Administration Commissioner David Stevens said Saturday that concerns the agency is headed for the same financial trouble that snared Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the subprime sector are unwarranted.

Stevens made the remarks during a speech at the National Association of Realtors' annual conference and expo in San Diego.

His comments come days after the agency revealed its financial reserves have fallen to a dangerously low level due to more homeowners defaulting on their loans. The FHA does not make loans, but rather offers insurance against default.

That's led to mounting concerns that it will eventually need an infusion of cash like government-controlled mortgage finance companies Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae.

But Stevens sought to dampen those concerns, noting that despite the most severe housing recession in decades, the agency has $31 billion in capital - $3.5 billion more than it had a year ago.

FHA is "the only participant in home financing services in the U.S. economy that hasn't needed a bailout, hasn't needed (funds from the government's Troubled Asset Relief Program), hasn't needed special assistance and is still completely self-sustaining," Stevens said.

"Without FHA there would be no (housing) market, and this economy's recovery would be significantly slower," he said.

The FHA has insured nearly a quarter of all new loans made this year, and about 80 percent of that business is from first-time homebuyers.

The agency's dominant role in first-time home purchases has raised questions about whether it taking on too much risk. Some have drawn comparisons between FHA and the subprime market, which collapsed due to homebuyer defaults on risky loans.

Stevens rejected such comparisons, stressing that the agency has far more stringent guidelines for the loans it insures.

"Nothing could be further from the truth," he said.

FHA's losses have increased with the unemployment rate as more homeowners default on their loans. About 17 percent of FHA borrowers are at least one payment behind or in foreclosure, compared with 13 percent for all loans, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association.

An independent audit shows FHA's reserves have fallen to $3.6 billion, compared with $685 billion in outstanding insured loans for the fiscal year ended Sept. 30. That's a ratio of 0.53 percent and far below the 2 percent threshold required by Congress.

Stevens credited the requirement with keeping FHA on good financial footing.

"That is why we're still standing while many of others did not survive this tumultuous time," he said.

No surprise here. Survey shows spike in 1st-time homebuyers

11-16-09
Dean Tucker

SAN DIEGO (AP) - The housing market welcomed a bigger share of first-time buyers and single women this past year, while a majority of sellers resorted to dialing down prices to get their homes sold, a new homebuyer survey shows.

First-time buyers accounted for a record 47 percent of home sales between July 2008 and June this year, up from 41 percent in the prior-year period, according to the survey conducted by the National Association of Realtors.

The annual survey gleans details on everything from how buyers came up with down payments to how long it took sellers to unload their homes. The latest results were derived from more than 9,000 responses, the trade association said.

Home sales and prices have shown some signs of stabilizing this year, and the survey results affirm the market continued to favor buyers, particularly first-timers.

"Tax incentives, record high affordability conditions and a pent-up demand brought a record share of first-time home buyers into the market," said Paul Bishop, the trade association's vice president of research.

First-time homebuyers this year have been able to take advantage of a tax credit of up to $8,000 meant to entice new homebuyers to enter the market.

Congress extended the tax incentive through next June, as long as the buyer signs a binding contract by the end of April. The program also was expanded to include a $6,500 credit for existing homeowners who buy a new place after living in their current residence for at least five years.

First-time buyers had a median age of 30 and reported a median income of $61,600, the survey shows. The typical first-time buyer paid $156,000 for their home, about $9,000 less than in the Realtors' 2008 survey.

Repeat buyers were typically a few years older, 48, and earned a bit more than first-timers: $88,100. They also said they planned to stay in the home for 12 years.

Buyers generally took 12 weeks to search for a home, two weeks longer than last year. They also generally looked at 12 homes, up from 10.

Single women made up a slightly bigger share of homebuyers, accounting for 21 percent of buyers. That's a 1 percent increase from the prior-year survey. Single men accounted for 10 percent of buyers. But married couples continued to make up the majority of buyers at 60 percent, the survey showed.

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The Home Buyer Tax Credit Will Likely be Expanded and Extended

11-05-09
Dean Tucker

Some really good news. This bill also includes a provision for move up buyers.

RISMEDIA, November 6, 2009-After the Senate gave final approval last night without a dissenting vote, the House of Representatives voted overwhelmingly this afternoon to pass legislation containing an extension and expansion of the homebuyer tax credit, completing Congressional action and sending the tax credit to President Obama for his signature, possibly as early as tomorrow.

The $8,000 homebuyer tax credit for first-time buyers, due to expire in 25 days, will be extended through April 30 of next year and buyers will have an additional two months, until the end of June, to close. First-time buyers who are in the process of making a purchase will no longer need to worry about qualifying for the $8,000 credit if they close after the November 30 deadline. The new legislation increases the income limit for couples with income up to $225,000, a nearly $55,000 increase above the level in existing law.

For the first time, the new legislation makes buyers who already own a home eligible for a credit. A $6,500 maximum credit will be available to existing homeowners who have lived in their current residence for five of the prior eight years. The legislation limits eligibility for the existing homeowner credit to homes worth $800,000 or less.

The legislation takes effect December 1 and is not retroactive. Both credits are available only for primary residences, not second homes or investment properties.

In the House debate, Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) took the floor to say the homebuyer tax credit was helping a new generation of Americans live out their dream of homeownership and financial independence. Debate on the homebuyer credit was overwhelmingly positive and the legislation passed 403 to 12.

However, several leading economists have voiced concern about the $16.7 billion cost of the credit and the wisdom of spending up to $400,000 per homebuyer to stimulate real estate sales and White House support for extending the credit has been lukewarm at best. However, it is virtually certain that the President will sign the legislative package, which contains an expansion of unemployment benefits as well as the tax changes.

In the Senate, the homebuyer tax credit was amended to a bill expanding unemployment benefits by 20 weeks for those who have exhausted their benefit. The latest unemployment numbers are due out tomorrow and Congressional leaders are rushing the unemployment bill to the White House so that the President can show compassion by signing on the same day more job losses are announced.

The legislation included provisions added to address complaints of fraud. The Internal Revenue Service is given greater authority to oversee the process to root out fraud, and provisions are added in response to past abuses of false sales or underage buyers. An investigation by the Treasury Department's Inspector General for Tax Administration found that more than 580 children, some as young as four years old, had received $627,000 in first-time homebuyer credits. The IRS has identified 167 suspected criminal schemes and opened nearly 107,000 examinations of potential civil violations of the first-time homebuyer tax credit.

The legislation also contains a provision supported by the National Association of Home Builders which will help larger companies strapped for cash with net operating losses (NOL). Ordinarily these companies can carry back these losses for only two years to qualify for a tax refund. The provision would make this process extend the carry-back to five years for either 2008 or 2009. The tax break will now apply to losses in either 2008 or 2009, and the income cap will come off.

Federal Reserve Press Release

11-04-09
Dean Tucker

Federal Reserve Press Release

Release Date: November 4, 2009

For immediate release

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in September suggests that economic activity has continued to pick up. Conditions in financial markets were roughly unchanged, on balance, over the intermeeting period. Activity in the housing sector has increased over recent months. Household spending appears to be expanding but remains constrained by ongoing job losses, sluggish income growth, lower housing wealth, and tight credit. Businesses are still cutting back on fixed investment and staffing, though at a slower pace; they continue to make progress in bringing inventory stocks into better alignment with sales. Although economic activity is likely to remain weak for a time, the Committee anticipates that policy actions to stabilize financial markets and institutions, fiscal and monetary stimulus, and market forces will support a strengthening of economic growth and a gradual return to higher levels of resource utilization in a context of price stability.

With substantial resource slack likely to continue to dampen cost pressures and with longer-term inflation expectations stable, the Committee expects that inflation will remain subdued for some time.

In these circumstances, the Federal Reserve will continue to employ a wide range of tools to promote economic recovery and to preserve price stability. The Committee will maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and continues to anticipate that economic conditions, including low rates of resource utilization, subdued inflation trends, and stable inflation expectations, are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate for an extended period. To provide support to mortgage lending and housing markets and to improve overall conditions in private credit markets, the Federal Reserve will purchase a total of $1.25 trillion of agency mortgage-backed securities and about $175 billion of agency debt. The amount of agency debt purchases, while somewhat less than the previously announced maximum of $200 billion, is consistent with the recent path of purchases and reflects the limited availability of agency debt. In order to promote a smooth transition in markets, the Committee will gradually slow the pace of its purchases of both agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities and anticipates that these transactions will be executed by the end of the first quarter of 2010. The Committee will continue to evaluate the timing and overall amounts of its purchases of securities in light of the evolving economic outlook and conditions in financial markets. The Federal Reserve is monitoring the size and composition of its balance sheet and will make adjustments to its credit and liquidity programs as warranted.

Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; Elizabeth A. Duke; Charles L. Evans; Donald L. Kohn; Jeffrey M. Lacker; Dennis P. Lockhart; Daniel K. Tarullo; Kevin M. Warsh; and Janet L. Yellen.

Homebuyer Tax Credit May Be Approved Early Next Week, Reid Says

10-30-09
Dean Tucker

Congress could approve extensions of an $8,000 first-time homebuyers' tax credit and unemployment benefits as soon as Nov. 3, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid said.

Reid, a Nevada Democrat, said today he has scheduled a vote late on Nov. 2 to bring debate on the issues to a close and clear the way for approval by the Senate, followed by the House.

"The House said that they would accept that and that could be done as early as" Nov. 3, Reid said on the Senate floor. That "would be a great relief," he said.

The legislation has been delayed by Republican demands for votes on several amendments, including one to ensure the end the Treasury Department's Troubled Asset Relief Program by the end of the year. The Nov. 2 procedural move, if approved, would enable Democrats to ignore those demands and put the measure to a vote.

Democrats announced plans earlier this week to extend the homebuyers' tax credit, scheduled to expire at the end of November, until April 30. The plan also would let more people qualify for the break, including some who already own homes and those with higher incomes.

Homebuyers who have lived in their prior residences for at least five years could receive a credit of $6,500 under the plan. Couples earning as much as much as $225,000 and individuals earning up to $125,000 would also qualify. That's up from the current $75,000 limit for individuals and $150,000 for couples.

‘Shore Up the Economy'

"The success of the American economy is closely tied to the success of the housing market; by helping to stabilize the housing market, the homebuyer tax credit has helped to shore up the economy as it begins to recover," Senate Finance Committee Chairman Max Baucus, a Montana Democrat, said yesterday. "This would enable an even greater number of potential homebuyers to take the credit."

Lawmakers said they want to prevent home sales from slipping as the economy struggles to recover from the worst drop in home prices since the Great Depression.

More than 1.2 million borrowers have claimed $8.5 billion of the $13.6 billion set aside for the homebuyer tax credits this year, according to the Treasury Department. The Obama administration has endorsed the extension.

"I think the first-time home-buyer credit is a great example of funding that's helped to stabilize the housing market and should be extended," Jared Bernstein, chief economist to Vice President Joe Biden, said on Bloomberg television today. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner gave his support yesterday.

Three Years

The measure would require those receiving the tax break to remain in their new home for three years. They would have to repay the credit if they didn't. Those buying homes worth more than $800,000 wouldn't be eligible for the credit. Lawmakers also said they won't extend the break beyond April 30.

"The American people should understand this - and the affected industries - this is the last extension," Senator Johnny Isakson, a Georgia Republican who cosponsored the plan, said at a news conference yesterday. "Tax credits like this only work by creating the sense of urgency to take advantage of them."

The Joint Committee on Taxation estimated the revised homebuyer tax credit would cost $10.8 billion over 10 years. Those costs would be offset by provisions delaying a tax break for multinational companies scheduled to take effect next year so the bill wouldn't add to the government's budget deficit.

Unemployment Benefits

The plan also calls for spending $2.4 billion to extend unemployment benefits by 14 weeks in all states, and by six additional weeks in states with the highest jobless rates. Those costs would be offset by extending an employer payroll surtax that is slated to expire this year.

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell yesterday dropped his demand for votes on amendments related to immigration and the community activist group ACORN.

McConnell, a Kentucky Republican, continued to insist on a vote on the TARP-related amendment. The proposal would remove Geithner's ability to unilaterally extend the financial bailout program beyond its Dec. 31 expiration date to October 2010.