Julie Emery

As you're making plans for your weekend, don't forget to stop by one of the local farmers markets. Here's a list of some that I've been frequenting:

Nokesville Farmer's Market - I just discovered this one but already love it. Hours are 8 to noon on Saturdays. They take "local" seriously at this one. All vendors are from Prince William or Fauquier Counties.

Warrenton Farmer's Market - Great excuse to get into old town Warrenton. This is their 33rd year. See them downtown Saturday's from 7 a.m. to noon or on Wednesdays out on Lee Hwy from 7 a.m. until 1.

Culpeper Farmer's Market - At the corner of Main and Commerce every Saturday from 7:30 to noon. I've been very impressed by the great selection of heirloom vegetables here!

Clevenger's Corner Farmers Market - This is the newest addition having just opened last Friday. This is at the intersection of 211 and 229 in Amissville. They're open Fridays and Sundays from 4-7 p.m. for all you non-morning people!

And...I hear there will be a new one in Sperryville any day now! More to come on that.

If you've got others you'd like to see mentioned here, jump into the comments and let everyone know!

Earlier this week I attended the monthly meeting of Green Drinks Warrenton.

Green Drinks is an international organization designed to connect people involved in environmental causes. These monthly get togethers happen all over the world. And, now they're right here in Warrenton.

Deborah Williamson started the group after a friend from Maryland invited her to one there. She got excited about the concept and went online to find one nearer Warrenton. Unfortunately, the closest one she could find was in DC.

She attended a gathering there, but knew she didn't want to travel into DC all the time. So, she did the only sensible thing and decided to start one here.

The initial event took place in May and was very well attended. Warrenton's mayor, George Fitch, attended to tell us all about the plans for turning our trash into energy.

At this week's Green Drinks we had representatives from Brumfield Elementary School's PTO. They're working on an initiative to not only make Brumfield more green, but eventually, they hope, the entire school system. They're plans involve a lot of wonderful learning opportunities for the students. And, a splinter group from Green Drinks will be joining them to help.

Green Drinks is a great place to meet other like-minded people. It's a great place to kick around ideas. I throw out my wildest ideas for making Warrenton a greener place and find enthusiastic support for them! And, it's also a lot of fun!

As the group grows and matures I look for them to make a lot of very positive changes in our community.

If you'd like to come to the next meeting and check it out, you can contact Deborah directly to get on the mailing list. Her e-mail is gallentina@aol.com

There's a constant refrain here. And, I know I sound like a record stuck in a groove. But May numbers continue to reinforce that we've still got too much inventory.

Culpeper County shows we're only eight units off where we were last year at this time. The good news is that sales jumped substantially this month. And, I'm not using month over month comparisons, but year over year. Both new contracts and closed sales took a big jump. But that pace is going to need to continue for months in order to start to see the reduction in inventory we need in order to stabilize prices.

In Fauquier County last year at this point in time we hit our highest number ever for inventory. Unlike Culpeper, we've come down substantially. A year ago there were 867 homes for sale and now it's only 764. The contracts written and the sales closed are both also up, if not quite as much as in Culpeper.

Prince William County actually has a large increase in inventory. While contracts and sales are up, the increase in inventory means no firming up of prices there any time soon. Since Prince William County is one of the hardest hit counties in Virginia for foreclosures, this will likely take some time to resolve itself. But bargain hunters are out there.

Rappahannock County remains a place apart. The market is almost exactly where it was a year ago. Days on market are longer there as well, inventory is higher than it was several years ago. But it's a very different market than what we're seeing in the other three counties.

Our numbers reflect the national numbers pretty well. New contracts are up across the nation. The numbers you hear from NAR and from most of the national media are primarily comparing May, 2008 to April, 2008 and of course the numbers are going to go up. The more meaningful number is always year over year.

We've got some good signs out there. There are buyers out there. They're looking for bargains. They've got the right market for it.

It's time to tell another story about a specific local house!

This house is located in Amissville in Culpeper county on a quiet country road. As with many local properties, it was once part of a larger farm. And, in fact, one of the things I love about this house is the old farmhouse that is at its core.

It's been nicely renovated in ways that allow you to still see the original and it's special character. The second floor is all hardwood floors, a very rare thing these days, but fairly common in 1940 when this house was originally built. It sits on just under 2 acres with some nice fencing.

There are 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths. The kitchen is modern and large with lots of light. It's got that great front porch and some beautiful mature trees. In short, there's lots to love about this house.

For horse people, there's adjoining pasture that rents pretty cheaply. ($200/mo.)

The house sold in December, 2004 for $314,000 with a $9000 subsidy to the buyers to help with closing costs. It was on the market for 127 days before selling. In 2004, that was actually a long time. And, at that point in time the $9000 help for the buyers was also unusual.

It next sold in May of 2007. This time it was on the market for 292 days before being sold for $360,000.

It's back up for sale now. It's been for sale for 86 days. It was originally listed at $349,900 and is currently listed at $299,900. It's a short sale this time around, meaning that the owners owe more to the bank than the home will sell for. The possibility of foreclosure looms if the property does not sell.

If the home sells for full price (unlikely in this market) it will be 17% off the highest sales price. That's a little less than the price declines we've seen overall in Culpeper County.

I believe, overall, this home is a pretty good value in this market. Part of why it's lingering at this price is the fact that it's a short sale. Real estate agents are reluctant to show short sale properties. There are a number of reasons for this, including a lengthy/complex process that frustrates their clients and usually produces a smaller paycheck for them.

It may also be sitting because of the new home that's being built nearby. While there's enough distance between them that it's not intrusive if you're a city person; people moving out here often want no sign that neighbors even exist!

Still, for someone with horses and not a big house hunting budget, I think this has a lot of appeal.

Surrounding sellers will no doubt be unhappy with the low price on this. If this sells for under $300K, and it ultimately will, many surrounding properties are clearly overpriced. Or, at least, that's what potential buyers and appraisers are likely to think!

The Culpeper Star Exponent reports that two condominium projects slated for Culpeper have been pulled due to current economic conditions as well as the state of the local real estate market. It's not that Culpeper wouldn't be better off with more condominiums in the housing mix, but it's definitely the wrong time. For weary sellers, less competition is good news!

And, that's only a small piece of the good news in the real estate market.

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have dropped their "declining markets" indicator. Since just about every local jurisdiction had been labeled a declining market that's big! This indicator meant buyers had to come up with more cash to buy homes in this area. In a market already starved for buyers, this was not helping! Don't expect a flood of new buyers as a result of this, but it should help out a few buyers who were short that extra cash.

And, let me leave you with one more piece of good news. No housing market is completely depressed or completely robust. There are always pockets that are thriving even in the toughest markets. One of those areas here is the rental market. Rentals that are well-priced and in good condition are moving, sometimes pretty quickly. The summer season should be a good one for the rental business. And some sellers might be well-advised to consider renting out their properties that aren't selling.