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Jason E Gordon, CMPS, CDPE, CMC

Mortgage Rate Update 3-13-12: Trends, Projections & Today's Lowest Rates

Tough day yesterday for rates, and a tough start today as well. What can we expect from mortgage rates for the rest of the quarter? All Real Estate Professionals & Consumers are advised to stay informed about interest rates and learn THE TRUTH BEHIND MORTGAGE QUOTES to insure the best financial decisions are being made without the distraction of marketing gimmicks. Whether you're a newbee, market analyst (or somewhere in between), keep yourself informed of where mortgage interest rates are going (and why) by subscribing to this complimentary daily update.

Mortgage Street Smarts - Daily interest rate updates, daily mortgage rate projections, mortgage quotes, featuring todays best mortgage rates. Provided by San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist Jason E Gordon, CMPS, Direct Lender, Mortgage Broker, San Diego, CA. Visit www.MortgageStreetSmarts.com for free online mortgage calculator, no hassle mortgage quote, and secure online mortgage loan application.

The Mortgage Street Smarts of where mortgage interest rates are going (and why):

The following information is current as of Tuesday 3-13-2012 and will help you understand todays best mortgage rates. If you are a Buyer/Borrower who is still on the fence (or if you are a Real Estate Agent attempting to educate your "on the fence" Buyer), please review these trends and secure an historically low interest rate before it is too late.

The market closed Monday with a WORSENING to pricing (and will typically warrant a pricing adjustment by most Lenders). Monday's WORSENING resulted in a change of 18 basis points (bps).

(hint: upward activity is good, downward activity is bad)

Today's Lowest Interest Rates - San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist - Jason E Gordon - www.ApprovingSD.com

The following chart shows the market activity for today:

Today's Lowest Interest Rates - San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist - Jason E Gordon - www.ApprovingSD.com

The following chart shows market activity over the past 10 days (hint: green is good, red is bad):

Today's Lowest Interest Rates - San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist - Jason E Gordon - www.ApprovingSD.com

The following chart shows market activity over the past 1 month:


Today's Lowest Interest Rates - San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist - Jason E Gordon - www.ApprovingSD.com

Daily Interest Rate Snapshot (sample of rates from one of the country's largest Lenders...individual pricing will vary based on specific Borrower qualifications): NOTE: This Lender has quoted a 1.00% Origination Fee (1 Point) to accompany this pricing. It bears noting that this chart does not necessarily represent todays best mortgage rates.

Today's Lowest Interest Rates - San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist - Jason E Gordon - www.ApprovingSD.com

Market Commentary

Analyst: Bill Fisher

Avid readers of this column, if any exist, will recall that I looked forward last week to watching the effect of the February employment data on the markets. I imagined sitting in a lawn chair, sipping lemonade, reveling in the triumph of jobs in America, the slight northward movements of interest rates, the signs of investors awareness that the American economy is moving toward the light at last.

I offered one caveat. And that caveat is, perhaps sadly, the subject of this weeks
column. I mentioned that an indicator like the monthly employment report will only have a truly strong effect on the markets if it contains the element of surprise. And I acknowledged that investors all over the world were aware enough that the jobs numbers would be good to have eliminated most of the surprise factor. The jobs numbers, if solid, just werent surprising.

So, if Id been watching from my lawn chair, I doubtless would have fallen asleep long before the day was over.

The 8.3% unemployment rate for the second month in a row chilled most of those who were looking for an even better improvement. But wait. Falling to 8.3% the month before this was a rather powerful move. Staying there for a second month is a welcome confirmation of that powerful move. Theres plenty of room for rejoicing here, but the markets werent in the mood for rejoicing. Investors are worried. They are muttering, Greece is going to default, you know! They need Big Proof of a brighter future than theyre expectingbigger numbersif theyre to be coaxed off their frightened positions.

And the new non-farm payroll figures did reach 227,000a sturdy and workable level, though wed love, at this point in the apparent recovery, numbers with a bit more fire. But wait. The first number reported for January was 243,000, but included in this set of numbers was a revision, taking the January new job toll all the way to 284,000. (Does that not qualify as surprising?) And, since Januarys jobs figure rose by 223,000that means we have three months in a row with total new jobs coming in handily above 200,000. And those who do this sort of thing for a living tallied up the consensus estimates of economists before the February numbers were released: The consensus was 204,000 new payroll jobs. Surprise!

In spite of these pleasant rays of sunshine, the mood was pretty lackadaisical. Bloomberg.com wrote: Overall, the latest report shows the labor market gradually improving and providing modest momentum to the consumer sector. Still, growth is not strong enough to make much of a dent in unemployment.

Okay, whatever. I cant help but notice that we have to cross the street before we get to the other side; we dont just wake up one day and were where we want to be. The constant talk about how our jobs situation is terrible next to where it was six years ago has gotten old, frankly.

Yes, were not there yet. But 227,000 is a lot better than 204,000. And 284,000 beats out 243,000 any day of the week.

But as I said, the lesson this time is, once again, that the markets rarely react strongly to good data unless those data come wrapped in a surprise somehow. Its as if investors were sitting in the grandstands yelling, Go ahead, make us move. We dare you.

Well keep watching. Its difficult not to react to good news if it keeps coming.

Trusted Industry Advisor

Jason E Gordon, San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist, www.ApprovingSD.com

The above information was compiled and distributed by San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist, Jason E Gordon. As a Certified Mortgage Planning Specialist (CMPS) Certified Distressed Property Expert (CDPE) and Certified Mortgage Coach (CMC), Jason E Gordon utilizes his advanced training to examine a prospective Client's complete financial picture, while carefully listening to their overall goals. If it is mutually agreed that a new loan makes sense to pursue, Jason strives to make the entire loan process as seamless as possible. He truly believes that providing open communication and patient educational guidance to his Clients and Business Alliances has been a pivotal component to building his business, while enhancing his reputation in the Mortgage Industry as a Trusted Advisor. Visit www.jasonegordon.com or www.ApprovingSD.com or more information.

Click here for daily mortgage interest rate updates and projections for San Diego's lowest mortgage rates

Mortgage Rate Update 3-12-12: Trends, Projections & Today's Lowest Rates

Friday's market improvement allowed a strong finish to yet another volatile week. What can we expect from mortgage rates for the rest of the quarter? All Real Estate Professionals & Consumers are advised to stay informed about interest rates and learn THE TRUTH BEHIND MORTGAGE QUOTES to insure the best financial decisions are being made without the distraction of marketing gimmicks. Whether you're a newbee, market analyst (or somewhere in between), keep yourself informed of where mortgage interest rates are going (and why) by subscribing to this complimentary daily update.

Mortgage Street Smarts - Daily interest rate updates, daily mortgage rate projections, mortgage quotes, featuring todays best mortgage rates. Provided by San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist Jason E Gordon, CMPS, Direct Lender, Mortgage Broker, San Diego, CA. Visit www.MortgageStreetSmarts.com for free online mortgage calculator, no hassle mortgage quote, and secure online mortgage loan application.

The Mortgage Street Smarts of where mortgage interest rates are going (and why):

The following information is current as of Monday 3-12-2012 and will help you understand todays best mortgage rates. If you are a Buyer/Borrower who is still on the fence (or if you are a Real Estate Agent attempting to educate your "on the fence" Buyer), please review these trends and secure an historically low interest rate before it is too late.

The market closed Friday with an IMPROVEMENT to pricing (and will typically warrant a pricing adjustment by most Lenders). Friday's IMPROVEMENT resulted in a change of 18 basis points (bps).

(hint: upward activity is good, downward activity is bad)

Today's Lowest Interest Rates - San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist - Jason E Gordon - www.ApprovingSD.com

The following chart shows the market activity for today:

Today's Lowest Interest Rates - San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist - Jason E Gordon - www.ApprovingSD.com

The following chart shows market activity over the past 10 days (hint: green is good, red is bad):

Today's Lowest Interest Rates - San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist - Jason E Gordon - www.ApprovingSD.com

The following chart shows market activity over the past 1 month:

Today's Lowest Interest Rates - San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist - Jason E Gordon - www.ApprovingSD.com

Daily Interest Rate Snapshot (sample of rates from one of the country's largest Lenders...individual pricing will vary based on specific Borrower qualifications): NOTE: This Lender has quoted a 1.00% Origination Fee (1 Point) to accompany this pricing. It bears noting that this chart does not necessarily represent todays best mortgage rates.

Today's Lowest Interest Rates - San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist - Jason E Gordon - www.ApprovingSD.com

Market Commentary

Analyst: Neil Trenerry

FNMA 30-Yr

Prev Close

Open

Change

3.0 Cpn

100.4531

100.6875

0.23438

3.5 Cpn

103.2188

103.4375

0.21875

4.0 Cpn

105.1250

105.2656

0.14063


Key Economic Data:

Prev Close

Open

Change

EUR/USD

1.3111

1.3117

0.0006

GBP/USD

1.5674

1.5629

-0.0045

USD/JPY

82.430

82.160

-0.2700

Gold

1710.90

1696.00

-14.90

Oil

107.40

106.10

-1.30


Key Economic News:

7:00est Employment Trends for Feb: Last 105.8.

11:00est Federal Budget for Feb: Consensus -229.0b, Last -27.4b.

Advice:

With little help on the news front, and mixed results for the Dollar. We will probably see as small improvement in the market as traders open positions close over the weekend. Keep a close eye on the Federal Budget numbers coming out at 10:00est, this my change everything.

My position on MBS changes to neutral.

Analyst: Lou Barnes

Last week brought a lot of new economic information. Raw data is always spun by analysis, sometimes for reasons of advantage in driving clients to buy or sell things,
sometimes to further theories, and often for politics, Lord knows.

But this time is exceptional, cubed. Global economies have never been in situations like these, and thus neither have central bankers, economist/analysts; and reporters cannot tell when sources are spinning, straight, or bent. I vacillate between the anger of a citizen done wrong by political leadership, exasperation with dumbed-down media, and homicidal rage at the amorality of colleagues in markets, utterly dependent on market health but undermining them for the slightest advantage.

Today… compassion, even for those unfortunate branches of humanity.

The biggest news: 227,000 net-jobs created in February, and a 61,000 positive revision to the Dec-Jan sum. That's good news, and crowing by the party in power is justfied. However, all is relative. The good jobs numbers in the last three months are likely to have been boosted by good weather. The February numbers include a negilgible gain in wages, 0.1% equal to three cents per hour, and no acceleration in hours worked. Unemployment remained 8.3%, and inclusive of "involuntary part-time" improved slightly to 14.9% -- both understated by discouraged workers leaving the workforce. You ain't unemployed if you ain't lookin'.

Nothing matters more than jobs, because we must have tax revenue before we embark on austerity, and austerity is coming, ready or not.

The ISM reported sustained growth in the service sector, to 57.3 in February from 56.0 (a 50 level is breakeven, 60 is pink-of-health). Econo-political discourse is now polluted by advocacy for manufacturing jobs. Do I hope my 17-year-old son will stand in a production line, competing head-to-head with Asian sweatshops and superbly conceived German mini-lines? Or a career in what Peter Drucker described 50 years ago as "knowledge work," perhaps at Google, or programming manufacturing robots, or any number of ventures in which his brain might be paid better than his hands?

My friend, who writes Calculatedriskblog says, "…Housing has made its bottom turn." No it has not -- not with prices still falling and distressed inventory unchanged.

Loud hozannahs greeted the Fed's report of an 8.6% surge in consumer credit: banks are easing, consumers in action! No. Just… not. Credit card debt actually contracted at a 4.4% pace, knocking balances back to November levels. Non-revolving credit roared ahead at a 14.7% pace. Partly good: auto loans -- credit is easier (cars are easier to repossess than houses), and the damned things do wear out, and high-mileage new beats the old gas-blazer.

Partly awful: the fastest growth in credit is student loans, now nearly equal to the nation's total outstanding 2nd mortgages and Helocs, loaded onto the backs of kids to pay the higer-ed racketeers. In this whole Great Recession, the only sectors of the economy to raise prices at a multiple of inflation: the health-care Corleones, and higher ed. A shameful and destructive reversal of GI Bill wisdom.

Overseas: officials say the new Greek deal marks the end of European crisis. Uh-huh. New Greek bond yields already predict certain default. Banks propped, the Euro-story is now the actual economies. Spain: unemployment 22% and rising, 45% among youth; budget out of balance 8.3% of GDP. German-forced austerity the plan. For now.

Back here, bizarre bad-good-bad-good news. In a panic, the Administration and silent, bi-partisan co-dependents in Congress have jacked FHA fees to fill a loss hole which will require bailout after the election. The jack is so high, driving new applicants away, that FHA net revenue may fall instead. The good news: nouveau private mortgage insurers can fill most of the credit gap. The bad news: the highest-quality applicants will bolt FHA, leaving it with net-increased risk and losses.

Election year. Nothing to do but watch the data stream by. The best view: unfiltered original sources. Take gin straight in a Martini. Don’t monkey with it.

Trusted Industry Advisor

Jason E Gordon, San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist, www.ApprovingSD.com

The above information was compiled and distributed by San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist, Jason E Gordon. As a Certified Mortgage Planning Specialist (CMPS) Certified Distressed Property Expert (CDPE) and Certified Mortgage Coach (CMC), Jason E Gordon utilizes his advanced training to examine a prospective Client's complete financial picture, while carefully listening to their overall goals. If it is mutually agreed that a new loan makes sense to pursue, Jason strives to make the entire loan process as seamless as possible. He truly believes that providing open communication and patient educational guidance to his Clients and Business Alliances has been a pivotal component to building his business, while enhancing his reputation in the Mortgage Industry as a Trusted Advisor. Visit www.jasonegordon.com or www.ApprovingSD.com or more information.

Click here for daily mortgage interest rate updates and projections for San Diego's lowest mortgage rates

Mortgage Rate Update 3-9-12: Trends, Projections & Today's Lowest Rates

What can we expect from mortgage rates for the rest of the quarter? All Real Estate Professionals & Consumers are advised to stay informed about interest rates and learn THE TRUTH BEHIND MORTGAGE QUOTES to insure the best financial decisions are being made without the distraction of marketing gimmicks. Whether you're a newbee, market analyst (or somewhere in between), keep yourself informed of where mortgage interest rates are going (and why) by subscribing to this daily update.

Mortgage Street Smarts - Daily interest rate updates, daily mortgage rate projections, mortgage quotes, featuring todays best mortgage rates. Provided by San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist Jason E Gordon, CMPS, Direct Lender, Mortgage Broker, San Diego, CA. Visit www.MortgageStreetSmarts.com for free online mortgage calculator, no hassle mortgage quote, and secure online mortgage loan application.

The Mortgage Street Smarts of where mortgage interest rates are going (and why):

The following information is current as of Friday 3-9-2012 and will help you understand todays best mortgage rates. If you are a Buyer/Borrower who is still on the fence (or if you are a Real Estate Agent attempting to educate your "on the fence" Buyer), please review these trends and secure an historically low interest rate before it is too late.

The market closed Thursday with a WORSENING to pricing (and will typically warrant a pricing adjustment by most Lenders). Thursday's WORSENING resulted in a change of 12 basis points (bps).

(hint: upward activity is good, downward activity is bad)

Today's Lowest Interest Rates - San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist - Jason E Gordon - www.ApprovingSD.com

The following chart shows the market activity for today:

Today's Lowest Interest Rates - San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist - Jason E Gordon - www.ApprovingSD.com

The following chart shows market activity over the past 10 days (hint: green is good, red is bad):

Today's Lowest Interest Rates - San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist - Jason E Gordon - www.ApprovingSD.com

The following chart shows market activity over the past 1 month:

Today's Lowest Interest Rates - San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist - Jason E Gordon - www.ApprovingSD.com

Daily Interest Rate Snapshot (sample of rates from one of the country's largest Lenders...individual pricing will vary based on specific Borrower qualifications): NOTE: This Lender has quoted a 1.00% Origination Fee (1 Point) to accompany this pricing. It bears noting that this chart does not necessarily represent todays best mortgage rates.

Today's Lowest Interest Rates - San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist - Jason E Gordon - www.ApprovingSD.com

Market Commentary

Analyst: Neil Trenerry

FNMA 30-Yr

Prev Close

Open

Change

3.0 Cpn

100.3906

100.0781

-0.31250

3.5 Cpn

103.1406

103.1250

-0.01563

4.0 Cpn

105.1094

105.0938

-0.0156


Key Economic Data:

Prev Close

Open

Change

EUR/USD

1.3278

1.3133

-0.0144

GBP/USD

1.5830

1.5727

-0.0103

USD/JPY

81.570

82.26

0.6900

Gold

1683.10

1687.60

-10.50

Oil

106.58

106.48

-0.10


Key Economic News:

Non-Farm payrolls for Feb: Actual 227k, Consensus 210k, Last 243k.

Unemployment Rate for Feb: Actual 8.3%, Consensus 8.3%, Last 8.3%.

Average earnings for Feb: +0.1%, Consensus 0.2%, Last 0.2%.

Average workweek hours for Feb: Actual 34.5h, Consensus 34.5h, Last 34.5h.

International Trade for Jan: Actual -52.57b, Consensus -49.00b, Last -48.80b.

7:00est Wholesale Inventories for Jan: Consensus 0.6%, Last 1.0%.

7:00est Wholesale Sales for Jan: Consensus 0.8%, Last 1.3%.

Advice:

My position on MBS changes to neutral.

Analyst: Dan Rawitch

Here is the link to today's video http://ratewatch.com/ratewatchnow.html

Unemployment numbers were a bit better than expected and this was the 3rd month in a row with Non-Farm payrolls climbing by over 230k jobs. This is nice! Also, Greece looks done.

I expect further bond pressure as the small bits of good news trickle out.

Trusted Industry Advisor

The above information was compiled and distributed by San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist, Jason E Gordon. As a Certified Mortgage Planning Specialist (CMPS) Certified Distressed Property Expert (CDPE) and Certified Mortgage Coach (CMC), Jason E Gordon utilizes his advanced training to examine a prospective Client's complete financial picture, while carefully listening to their overall goals. If it is mutually agreed that a new loan makes sense to pursue, Jason strives to make the entire loan process as seamless as possible. He truly believes that providing open communication and patient educational guidance to his Clients and Business Alliances has been a pivotal component to building his business, while enhancing his reputation in the Mortgage Industry as a Trusted Advisor. Visit www.jasonegordon.com or www.ApprovingSD.com or more information.

Click here for daily mortgage interest rate updates and projections for San Diego's lowest mortgage rates

2012 FHA Mortgage Insurance Changes - Quick Reference Graphs

There is actually some GOOD NEWS worth sharing in regards to the upcoming 2012 FHA Mortgage Insurance Changes.

There is actually a DECREASE to the Annual Mortgage Insurance Premiums on CERTAIN Streamline Refinance transactions!

  • For all Streamline Refinances that are refinancing FHA loans endorsed on or before May 31, 2009, the annual MIP will be only 55 basis points, regardless of the base loan amount.
  • The Endorsement Date is on the Case Query screen in the FHA Connection website portal
  • This change is effective for case numbers assigned on or after June 11, 2012

All other proposed changes (which are not such good news) are provided below.

2012 FHA Mortgage Insurance Changes - Quick Reference Graphs

2012 FHA Mortgage Insurance Changes - Quick Reference Graphs

The Up-Front Mortgage Insurance Premiums (UFMIP) will increase from 1.00% to 1.75% for all case numbers assigned on or after April 9, 2012. Although the UFMIP can be financed into the loan amount (and thus does not represent an out-of-pocket expense), these changes are significant, and worth noting!

Cesar Chavez Day - Many County Recorders Closed on 3/30/12 - Plan Ahead!

Cesar Chavez Day - Many County Recorders Closed on 3/30/12 - Plan Ahead!

For those of you with month-end closings in March, this is just a friendly reminder that many County Recorder's will be closed (and thus no recordings on that day). See below for details, and plan accordingly!

Cesar Chavez Day - Many County Recorders Closed on 3/30/12 - Plan Ahead!

Cesar Chavez Day - Many County Recorders Closed on 3/30/12 - Plan Ahead!