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Joe Manausa - Tallahassee Real Estate

Seven Oaks Home Sales Continue Decline

home for sale in 7 Oaks in Tallahassee FloridaHome sales in 7 Oaks (Killearn Lakes Unit 3) continue their steady decline from the height of the boom market several years ago. Consisting of 3 and 4 bedroom, single-family detached homes, Seven Oaks has been a very popular family neighborhood in Killearn Lakes for the past 20 years.

This seems to be a fairly consistent theme as we perform more of our Tallahassee Neighborhood Reports, both average home prices dropping as well as signs of roughly 20% depreciation in home values since the top of the market.

Killearn Lakes Unit 3 Home Sales Decline 71%

More and more, we see the number of homes sold in a Tallahassee Subdivision down well over 60%, and in the case of Seven Oaks, home sales are down 71% since the peak of the market. With less than 2 homes sold each month (current trend), it sure is a far cry from when more than 5 homes per month were selling at the beginning of 2007.

What is the average price of a home in 7 Oaks in Tallahassee Florida

Home Values Decline 21% In Seven Oaks

The level of real estate depreciation in 7 Oaks is consistent with the rest of Killearn Lakes in Tallahassee, but it sure is a problem for those of us who live out there. If somebody purchased a home (or refinanced one) at the height of the market in March of 2007, we might have a long way to go before we can sell it and have any equity in the home.

Right now, home values in Killearn Lakes Unit 3 are similar to how they were valued in the beginning of 2004 (meaning most likely you need to have purchased prior to 2004 to have any equity).

What is the average price per square foot of a home in 7 Oaks in Tallahassee Florida

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Recent Home Sales In Killearn Lakes Unit 3

[click to see previous 100 home sales in 7 Oaks]

What Home Owners Should Know About The Cap And Trade Act

Cap and trade and its effect on home sales and housing valuesA good friend and client of mine asked me to give him a quick opinion on the American Clean Energy and Security Act of 2009 (Cap and Trade Act) and to gauge its impact on the real estate market in the coming years. No big deal I figured, I’ll just grab a beer and see what this thing is all about …

What I found was disturbing. First of all, that beer needed to be a 12-pack, because the American Clean Energy and Security Act of 2009 is a 1,428 page document written in typical political gobilly gook, with far too many words and noticeably void of any pictures. If you’re really bored, you can download a copy from the sidebar on the Tallahassee Real Estate Blog.

Specifically, here are the words found all over the internet that concerned my friend.

You won’t be able to sell your home unless you retrofit it to comply with the energy and water efficiency standards of this Act. H.R. 2454, the “Cap & Trade” bill passed by the House of Representatives, if also passed by the Senate, will be the largest tax increase any of us has ever experienced.

Needless to say, this grabbed my attention and I began looking for more information.

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[see why the Cap and Trade Bill will make housing more expensive]

Existing Home Sales In Killearn Lakes (Unit 2) Not Pretty

Hunters Ridge House In TallahasseeExisting home sales in Killearn Lakes (Unit 2) have dropped 72% from the peak of the market. With home prices historically running about 15% below the average home price in Tallahassee, Unit 2 of Killearn Lakes has been a very popular destination for Tallahassee homebuyers.

So why have existing home sales declined in Unit 2 of Killearn Lakes faster than the rest of the market (existing single family detached home sales are down 62% from the peak of the market)?

I suspect that the declining market has created value buyers (for those who were/are buyers) due to the glut of supply in the Tallahassee real estate market. This suggests that some areas have priced their homes more aggressively than homeowners in Killearn Lakes Unit 2, and that most likely is why home sales have slowed here faster than other areas.

Killearn Lakes (Unit 2) Home Values

Home prices continue to fall in Unit 2 of Killearn Lakes. In the real estate graph below, the red field shows that the average home price in Unit 2 of Killearn Lakes has dropped to $164K, while monthly have sales have fallen to a paltry level of just 2 homes per month.

Average Home Price In Unit 2 Killearn Lakes Tallahassee Florida

Average Home Values In Killearn Lakes (Unit 2)

The average home price in Killearn Lakes Unit 2 has dropped 17%, but home values have actually depreciated 19%. The real estate graph below shows the average price per square foot trend of a home in Unit 2 of Killearn Lakes has dropped to $116 per square foot, and continues to trend downwards.

Average Home Value In Unit 2 Killearn Lakes Tallahassee Florida

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[click for past 100 home sales in Killearn Lakes Unit 2]

Existing Home Sales In Killearn Lakes (Unit 2) Not Pretty

Hunters Ridge House In TallahasseeExisting home sales in Killearn Lakes (Unit 2) have dropped 72% from the peak of the market. With home prices historically running about 15% below the average home price in Tallahassee, Unit 2 of Killearn Lakes has been a very popular destination for Tallahassee homebuyers.

So why have existing home sales declined in Unit 2 of Killearn Lakes faster than the rest of the market (existing single family detached home sales are down 62% from the peak of the market)?

I suspect that the declining market has created value buyers (for those who were/are buyers) due to the glut of supply in the Tallahassee real estate market. This suggests that some areas have priced their homes more aggressively than homeowners in Killearn Lakes Unit 2, and that most likely is why home sales have slowed here faster than other areas.

Killearn Lakes (Unit 2) Home Values

Home prices continue to fall in Unit 2 of Killearn Lakes. In the real estate graph below, the red field shows that the average home price in Unit 2 of Killearn Lakes has dropped to $164K, while monthly have sales have fallen to a paltry level of just 2 homes per month.

Average Home Price In Unit 2 Killearn Lakes Tallahassee Florida

Average Home Values In Killearn Lakes (Unit 2)

The average home price in Killearn Lakes Unit 2 has dropped 17%, but home values have actually depreciated 19%. The real estate graph below shows the average price per square foot trend of a home in Unit 2 of Killearn Lakes has dropped to $116 per square foot, and continues to trend downwards.

Average Home Value In Unit 2 Killearn Lakes Tallahassee Florida

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[click for past 100 home sales in Killearn Lakes Unit 2]

After 40 Months, Growth Returns To Housing Market

Tallahassee Celebrates Good News In The Housing MarketSomething positive occurred in the Tallahassee real estate market during the month of October. It was long awaited, yet one month prior to my prediction made earlier this year, so I am very excited to report REAL PROOF of a housing market improvement in Tallahassee.

We finally put a halt to a run of year over year declines in home sales! Previously, the Tallahassee housing market experienced a 39 month run, from July 2006 through September 2009, of year over year home sales declines! October records show more home sales this year than October of last year (242 total home sales this year versus 241 home sales last year).

That’s right, we improved by 1 sale during this October versus last October. As paltry as that sounds, it is something the Tallahassee housing market has not experienced since June of 2006! As small as it is, we have just seen an improvement.

Year Over Year Home Sales Gain In Tallahassee

The real estate graph below shows a year-over-year comparison of Tallahassee home sales. Each month is compared with the same month from the year prior, and the percentage gain (or percentage loss) is recorded for each month. All single family detached homes, condominiums, and town houses sold and recorded in Leon County (arms length sales only) were used for this report.

[click here to see color graph of home sales]

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