With a majority of sellers in my local markets of Avondale, Goodyear, Glendale, Litchfield Park, and Surprise, Arizona "upside down", this is a question I am often asked. There really is only one answer for families in this situation...a "short sale."
A short sale is an agreement where the lender on the property agrees to accept less than the full balance owed on the mortgage. Short sales are complex transactions that typically take 4-8 weeks to complete and require an experienced (and persistent) Realtor to manage. I have previously written several blogs about how to complete short sales which can be read here: Short Sale Blog
Why should homeowners consider a short sale?
There are a number of reasons to consider a short sale. For example, if you need to sell as the result of a job relocation and cannot afford negative rents on your property, a short sale would be the preferred option. Many homeowners in my local area are stationed at Luke Air Force base in Glendale, AZ and have been forced into doing short sales when they are transferred to another base. Another reason to do a short sale is to save your personal credit. In the past 12-18 months many homeowners have found themselves in the unenviable position of not being able to afford their home due to a job loss, rate adjustment or family emergency. In a normal market, many of these families would be able to refinance or sell their property. But today, the only sensible option is to sell through a short sale.
Is a short sale right for you?
Every homeowner's situation is unique and there is no one right answer to this question. When counseling homeowners I generally focus on 3 key questions:
What are the impacts of a short sale?
There are 3 consequences every home seller should evaluate before making the decision to apply for a short sale.
Short sales are complicated transactions but can be the best option for struggling homeowners. I hope these comments have assisted those who are considering a short sale.
My local service area which includes the Phoenix West Valley cities of Avondale, Goodyear, Litchfield Park, Surprise and Glendale has been one of the hardest hit real estate markets in the country. As a result, most new clients in these cities always want to start with foreclosures. Thanks to dozens of late night infomercials and a host of real estate companies touting foreclosure auctions, the average consumer assumes that bank owned properties always sell below the market. They have been trained into thinking that they can find houses for 50 cents on the dollar and that banks are desperate sellers looking to rid themselves of any house on their books.
Unfortunately this misguided information often leads consumers to overpay for property or to miss the best deals in their search area.
I just spent the past 2 weekends at the REDC auctions in Phoenix and Mesa. I personally inspected every home in my local market and watched as hundreds of these homes were sold. While it is true that a small percentage did sell well below market prices (about 15-20%), the overwhelming majority of properties at these auctions sold at or near the current market price. This is particularly true when you factor in the "Buyer's Premium" of 5% that the auctioneer adds to the winning bid. Many of these homebuyers were obviously unaware of the condition of the home they were buying, underestimated the cost to cure the property, or simply did not know about current active listings that were comparable to their subject. In one case a buyer purchased a home for $85,000 (+ a 5% buyer's premium) when there was an IDENTICAL (model match) home in BETTER condition NEXT DOOR that is currently listed for $75K! Ugh.
And of course there is the "Previously Valued To" figures thrown out by the auctioneer. I love those. The auctioneer puts that figure in big bold print above the property address every time. As though somehow knowing that the home was once worth $350K is going to change the fact that it's worth $95K today. But I imagine there are some consumers who get fooled by these numbers.
The point I am obviously making is that not all banked owned properties are "deals." Yes, it is true you can find REO property offered well below the current market. And yes, now really is a great time to buy. But every transaction is unique and must be evaluated on its own merits in light of current market conditions.
So where should home buyers turn if they really want the best deals? I would argue that short sales, on average, are better deals than foreclosures. In fact, as my local markets have started to pick up over the last 45-60 days, I would say that short sales have become an even better deal relative to foreclosures.
How is this possible? Consider the following:
The key difference with short sales is that you need to be a patient buyer. Short Sales generally take 4-8 weeks to get an approval from the bank. This is substantially longer than bank owned properties where you usually receive an answer within a few days.
As I mentioned earlier, every transaction is unique and should be evaluated in light of current market conditions. Naturally I would recommend that consumers employ a qualified Realtor to assist with the analysis. But if you are a buyer who does not need to close right away, then I would implore you to ask your Realtor to make short sales a part of your search.
In recent weeks I have been dealing with the false perception amongst some of my clients that a home buyer in today's market needs to have a sizable down payment. It seems that between the government assertions that we "need to get credit flowing again" to the media's constant negativity about banks and the housing markets, prospective home buyers have been scared into thinking that affordable low down payment loans are no longer available. Not only is this NOT true, but the current economic crisis has actually created NEW and BETTER buying opportunities for home buyers with little or no money down.
How is this possible? The answer is simple.
First, home prices have fallen so low that properties once out of reach of government loan programs like FHA, VA & USDA, are now well within these government loan limits. For example, in 2005 it was almost impossible for an airman stationed at Luke Air Force Base in Glendale, AZ to qualify to buy the medium home price in the surrounding communities of Litchfield Park, Goodyear, Glendale, or Surprise. Today these real estate markets have fallen by more than 50% with homes priced at $300,000 in 2005 now selling for under $150,000. With rates under 5% that same airmen can buy a beautiful home for less than it would cost to rent! With zero money down!!!
Second, the glut of foreclosed homes owned by the government and big banks has forced these institutions to offer special financing and incentives to lure buyers. These wonderful NEW programs, combined with historically low interest rates, are better than anything offered during the "boom" years.
So, how do you take advantage of these changes? Here are some of the easiest ways to buy a home with little or no money out of your pocket:
Please keep in mind that this is not an exhaustive list of low down payment sources. There are numerous state and local programs that may also be available. For example, my local cities of Goodyear, Avondale, Glendale, Surprise and Phoenix all offer some form of government assistance for buying foreclosed properties. You should check with your local Realtor for information regarding these programs.
Finally, I should note that all of these loan programs do typically require good credit and full income qualifying. Generally speaking you will need a minimum credit score of 580-620 to qualify, and your total debts cannot exceed more than 38%-43% of your gross monthly income. And these programs are designed for owner occupied buyers, not investors.
There truly has never been a better time to buy property than right now. I only hope that prospective home buyers are able to see through the clutter and negativity to realize what a tremendous opportunity awaits them in today's real estate market...
The local markets I serve, Litchfield Park, Goodyear, Avondale, Surprise and Glendale, Arizona (West Valley Phoenix) have been some of the hardest hit areas in the nation. Many of our local communities have witnessed price drops in excess of 50% from 2004-2008. I field calls almost daily from homeowners who purchased a property in 2004-2005 and who are now more than 200% upside down! Dealing with sellers in this market has been depressing and difficult, and like many of you I have been longing to feel good about my market again.
However, recently things have started to "seem" different. Maybe it's just me, or maybe it's just my local market, but the last 30 days has begun to "feel" like productive real estate activity is picking up. I can't exactly put my finger on why I feel this way, but there are a bunch of silly little things I've noticed recently like regularly running into other agents with their clients at listings, or the number of business cards left on coffee tables.
Sure, I could point to a lot of recent positive statistics about home resales, low interest rates, and government stimulus programs. Or I could discuss the fact that most bank owned homes receive multiple offers in a week, and how it's becoming more common to see sold prices in excess of list prices on CMAs. Those are tangible proof of a bottom, right?
But I could also point to the wave of foreclosures on the horizon, the continuing international financial crisis, rising unemployment, blighted communities abandoned by developers...yada, yada, yada. Or I could just post a video about a former Wall Street executive delivering pizzas or driving a cab.
But whatever the numbers, my gut is telling me something has changed. I believe in the idea that demand for residential real estate ownership is relatively constant, and that affordability and population demographics are the biggest drivers of appreciation. So perhaps when I see school bus drivers and Wal Mart employees buying homes that senior executives could barely afford 3 years ago, it sparks my instincts? Or maybe I remember commuter cities in Southern California during the mid 1990's when similar signs pointed to a recovery in those markets that had been decimated?
Or could it be that I just want to believe so badly that things are getting better that I have exaggerated little positive signs into macro economic indicators?
So which is it? Has the real estate market finally reached a bottom? Is it beginning to level off? Or am I crazy and we are still skiing down a steep slope?
Then again, maybe I should stop worrying about it and just get back to work. I have a multiple offer situation to deal with on a bank owned home that just came on the market yesterday...
I started investing in foreclosed properties in 1996. I can still remember the very first investment property I ever purchased. It was at a live auction of HUD homes located in the Inland Empire of Southern California. I had spent weeks investigating about 300 properties for sale and had narrowed my list to about 25 homes that I would buy if the price was right. I was 25 years old and in debt up to my eyeballs so I could afford the 25% down payment required for investors. I was planning on using credit cards to pay for improvements and make the house payment until I could repair and sell the property. But that didn't worry me because I was young, smart and going to be the next Donald Trump...
As it turns the auction was an incredibly intimidating place and I was scared to death. There were amped up auctioneers running around, pointing at people and shouting at the top of their lungs. I thought twice about bidding because I didn't want one of those sharks to come running over and hover near me. When the first of my 25 homes came up for bid, I was thinking of holding back and that maybe I was getting in over my head.
5 minutes later I was being ushered into an escrow room to sign paperwork for the $57,000 house I had just bought. I was young, inexperienced, and leveraged to the gills. But I was lucky, and in spite of many mistakes, I still managed to earn a small profit on that first house.
Today after years of investing in real estate I have learned much. And although markets change, there are certain universal truths about investing in real estate that don't. I have struggled explaining this during the recent boom years, when it seemed that I was always "raining on the parade" of potential investors seeking to earn easy money in a hot market. But today is a new world, and opportunity abounds for those willing to invest intelligently.
For those that are thinking of taking the plunge, here is my advice for investing in residential real estate; particularly foreclosures:
So what exactly is my idea of a good investment opportunity in today's environment?
In the local markets I serve, Litchfield Park, Goodyear, Avondale, Surprise and Glendale, Arizona, we have an abundance of banked owned, government owned and short sale homes. A large number of them were built between 2000-2005, are located in newer communities, have relatively minor cosmetic repairs needed and can be rented for positive cash flow. An investor could purchase a home in these areas today for under $60K cash and rent the property for $800-$900/month. Or the investor could leverage, put 25% down, and still achieve a similar "cash on cash" return. Do the math. That's a 13+% annual return with below market rents! Hell, even if the tenant skipped every other month's rent payment (50% vacancy) the investor would still earn 6-7%. And that's without any appreciation in the value of the property.
I know there are a lot of "stung" investors out there who rode the recent real estate boom only to lose a large amount of money in the last 2 years. And I know that rising unemployment and general economic problems are scaring away many would be investors. But I can tell you from personal experience, now really is the time to acquire property in a sensible way that can offer exceptional returns. The market has finally shifted back in favor of the conservative investor...
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