Julia Huntsman, Broker Associate, e-PRO

Stoneybrook is a large development, built in 1970 but converted to condos about 20 years ago from its original life as a large multi-building apartment complex.

This 693 sq. ft. 1/bd 1/ba condominium with monthly HOA dues of $323 sold for full price at $210,000, one of the lowest sales in Stoneybrook in the current market. These are great one-bedroom floors plans because the bathroom is off the hall, and the balconies are full length across the entire width of the unit. Seen here is the lovely view from the balconey of the neighboring area of the complex. The common area features swimming pools, a beautiful recreation/clubhouse facility, and beautifully landscaped grounds with lawn, trees and creeks. Each building has its own secure parking area, and the common area has been upgraded with a new security entry and new entry gate. This unit was upgraded with newer tile flooring, recessed lighting, and newer kitchen cabinets, and also features air conditioning (even though its less than a mile from the shoreline). It currently rents for $1300/month.

As a short sale, this went fairly fast as short sales go, with the seller's package submitted to the bank before July 1 and escrow closing on November 4th. The buyer came in with 20% down, conventional loan.

For more information on units in this area (zip code 90814, 90803), please go to www.juliahuntsman.com to see all area listings.

For an evaluation of your condo, please contact me via e-mail, phone or through my website with your information. I have sold many condos, and can help you buy or sell yours.

The September graph, shows for a one-year period, the number of for sale residential properties throughout the City of Long Beach (single family houses, condos and lofts). In September 2008, there were 2,265 properties on the market; in September 2009, there were 1,247.

The overall Long Beach months supply of inventory in the same period decreased from 7 months in September 2008, to 2 months in September 2009. In other words, at the present rate of sale, all existing inventory would be sold in two months.

For finding (all of Southern California plus) Long Beach, Cerritos, Lakewood, Bellflower, Seal Beach, Huntington Beach and Los Alamitos properties on the MLS, go to www.juliahuntsman.com to "MLS Property Search"

In a visit with one of my past clients today (who painted his roof white after his house closed escrow over 10 years ago), it came as a revelation that California has passed a law effective July 1, 2009, that residential roofs on new construction, both flat and sloping, must be re-roofed with a white or light material. Actually, the law for a white flat roof has been in effect since 2005. See this article provided through the California Energy Commission.

The argument is of course for energy savings, and reflects a practice long used in ancient societies that populate hot climates where light or white clothing is standard practice, and whitewash is used on all structures. The cooling effect has long term energy savings implications, especially for the Western states, and especially for California where energy conservation is fast becoming an outright demand. A California Energy Commission board member states that it has long been known that white-roofed buildings stay cooler in hotter weather:

"painting urban surfaces in warm parts of the world white or a light color could offset the carbon emissions of all 600 million of the world's cars for 18 to 20 years - at a savings equivalent to at least $1 trillion worth of CO2 reductions."

"It turns out that they cool the air outside of their walls, too. On a typical summer day, Los Angeles is 5 degrees warmer than surrounding areas, and studies have consistently shown that by far the largest factor in this discrepancy is the absorption of solar heat by dark roofs and pavement - a phenomenon known as the "urban heat island" effect."

So far, this law affects new construction, but doesn't it make sense to apply these principles to existing structures wherever possible? Rethinking guidelines for some of the historic homes which favor darker colors might be in order.

There is a great deal of talk lately about the upward climb in sales, that maybe we're seeing the bottom of the market, and that prices are down from this time last year, but it's the 5th straight month of sales increases, and the best sales record in several years . . . so maybe prices are stabilizing, or even headed up a little? That's happening in some places, and yesterday's great REO panel of experienced brokers even said it's impossible to underprice a property today because it will get multiple offers and sell for more.

But take a look at the Credit Suisse chart at the right and the pink part of the graph--the reset of the "option adjustable rate" loans. Those are the loans where the "start rate" of 1% were thought by many borrowers to be their permanent loan rate, and not the introductory rate which if always paid at that payment level (and most people did that), meant the remainder of the interest of the real interest rate was added on to their principal loan amount and thus increasing it. It was one more way to end up "under water" on the home value, and end up as a loan modification customer, a short sale candidate, a bankruptcy claimant, and/or as a foreclosure recipient. And then, most importantly, notice that the reset periods do not decline until well into 2012.

Along with the recent sales increase is declining inventory: In Long Beach today there are 877 active residential listings in the MLS, and there are 753 in escrow. Also, as of 8/18/2009, there are 1910 Notices of Default filed, 1224 Trustee Sales filed, and 1426 REO properties, not on the market yet, making a total of 4,560 properties not yet on the market. (Some of the NODs may have successful loan modifications, but there is also a separate study of the percentage of loan mods that end up failing and do end up in foreclosure.) These figures are for Long Beach alone--similar profiles could be drawn for cities throughout the State of California.

Tied in with this is the talk of "shadow inventory" and the rumors that banks will flood the market with all of their pent-up inventory at once. But that is unlikely to happen in such an overt way, despite the hope of many prospective buyers who believe a $400,000 house might eventually sell for $25,000. Received yesterday in my e-mail from DSnews.com:

Perhaps it's "government pressure to clean up balance sheets," or the thawing out of home sales, the need for capital, or the growing pool of players in the mortgage-backed assets market. Whatever the motivation, more banks are beginning to unwind their positions in toxic residential loans.

See this story about a Milwaukee-based bank that sold 800 troubled Arizona mortgages to an undisclosed investor, thus clearing $297 million of bad loans from its balance sheets. Will this trend catch on with major banks who decide to sell off in bulk to cut their losses? There seems to be more interest now by investors willing to acquire properties associated with "toxic loans".

The current shrinking inventory may be a combination of things: the loan modifications, the foreclosure moratoriums which have been delaying filings, and the ultimate decisions by banks as to the handling of foreclosed properties, plus the "catching up" with loans in default for months and that are yet to go into foreclosure. Those involved with the REO market believe that over time, perhaps as soon as in a few short months, the inventory will once again increase greatly, continuing to affect housing market prices, and the real estate market will not fully recover from the effects of the subprime market until 2012-2014, as indicated by the chart above.

So what should equity sellers do? Take advantage of this period of time, and realize that now, when there is less competition and many cash buyers (accounting for one-third of the multiple offers on many REO properties), may be a better time to sell than a year from now, when you could end up being a short sale if your equity continues to decline with the market. In some areas short sales and bank-owned properties already dominate the inventory; in the last year certain zip codes that seemed immune to these issues are now common, such as:

• In 90803, 23% of the 177 active and pending listings are distressed sales
• In 90802, 68% of the 280 active and pending listings are distressed sales

and in the future, if the local and statewide foreclosure statistics are any indication, distressed sales will impact equity sales even more severely than they are now.

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Posted By Julia Huntsman to Long Beach/Southern California Real Estate at 8/19/2009 02:32:00 PM

We love lawns, we love lush green semi-tropical plants, and we love them in dry, desertous Southern California because they grow so well here in this temperate and sunny climate.

But did you know? Lawns and outdoor landscaping consume as much as 49% of our water use in the Long Beach area. If you've seen my past blogs on the subject, you know that Los Angeles and other Southern California cities, including the other desert areas, have been concerned about water use for a long time--for decades, as a matter of fact. Yet, we persist in our East Coast style of landscaping brought here by our forebears. This becomes more expensive with the passing of time--Long Beach is scheduled to raise its water rates this fall, although residents have done well so far in reducing water consumption by 10% through the current city-mandated watering schedule restricting outdoor use to 3 days per week at certain times.
Lawns in particular had a purpose in the past, and it wasn't related to beauty. Lawns derive from the green pastures once kept by owners of cows, because back when we were a more agricultural, less industrial society, financial status and its production could be measured by the amount of land people owned, their crops and their animals. Cows needed green grazing areas, so the more cows one owned, the more pasture was required, and this over time became the foundation for our attachment to lawns, long after the cows disappeared from the average homeowner's life.

Today, we need to fit in with our natural climate conditions, as well as the current water shortage upon us. Beautiful Long Beach Landscapes right into saving money while creating beautiful gardens using native plants. The photos above are "before" and "after" of one house selected by a Long Beach landscaping program. Another great source is at BeWaterWise for landscape and planting ideas.

For more information, go to http://www.juliahuntsman.com/gardening-landscaping-for-home.html