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Kevin Sandridge - Winter Haven Mortgage Broker

Florida Housing Insights - Just Past Mid-Year 2008

Well, we've reached it... September is nearly here, and we find ourselves finally drenched with the rain we have been begging to receive for more than a year now. Of course - now that the Chain of Lakes canals are back to a near navigable state - the rain-rain-go-away singers are warming up their pipes. Guess there's really not pleasing some folks. From a just-past-midyear standpoint, there are some interesting tidbits to look at as one peruses through the University of Central Florida's latest Florida & Metro Forecast 2008-2038. The study represents a comprehensive, quarterly forecast of the Florida economy and 12 metropolitan areas, including: Pensacola, Tallahassee, Jacksonville, Gainesville, Ocala, Deltona-Daytona Beach, Tampa-St. Petersburg, Lakeland, Orlando-Kissimmee, Palm Bay-Melbourne, Naples-Marco Island, and Miami-Fort Lauderdale. On the housing and related economy front - a few things of note include:

  • Florida's housing sector looks to bottom out sometime during Q4 2008, with housing starts beginning a slow climb - recovering sometime around 2010. Note - this recovery is guarded, as the report notes that levels reached in 2010 will still be 100,000 lower than the peak reached in 2005. (Ouch!)
  • The continuing glut of homes on the market here in Florida will continue to drive down prices in nearly all parts of the state through 2008 and on into 2009.
  • The once mighty and now anemic construction sector continues to feel massive levels of pain - with jobs shedding at a double-digit pace. Luckily, these losses are anticipated to slow as we head into 2009 - with the sector looking to bolster its numbers as 2010 rolls around. A first for increases in this marketplace since 2006.

    Information specific to my immediate neck of the woods (Lakeland/Polk County Area) presents as follows:

    Lakeland (Polk County)

    • Population growth numbers fell to only 1 percent - based on school enrollment numbers in Polk County, well under the expected 3.1 percent growth anticipated
    • Builders in Polk County pulled 23.4 fewer permits in April than they had the year prior
    • Home sales were down 19.5 percent from the prior year, with the median home value down an average of 18 percent

Do these numbers look great? No. But we need to remember that markets run in cycles. Some are longer than others, but cycles they are nonetheless. Keep blogging. Keep connecting. Keep building those networks. If you do, you're sure to be poised for great things both now, and into the future!

Downpayment Assistance Conference Call Podcast - Listen Here

Ok folks, here it is... the inaugural podcast for the Florida Mortgage Blogger website. I had the pleasure of speaking with Mr. John Lamberg, Florida Area Manager for the Nehemiah Corporation. John provided a wealth of information on how DPAs work, how Realtors and Loan Originators can use them to increase profits now, and added in some thoughts about how we can all make sure these programs stick around for the long haul! If you're at all interested in Downpayment Assistance Programs and their proven ability to positively impact your bottom line, you MUST listen to the SplashCast show provided below.

Be sure to stay with the recording through the very end to find out exactly how YOU can post your own suggestions as to what you'd like to hear on future podcasts! Remember, I'm here to service your needs. The "Golden Rule" is great - but I practice the "PLATINUM RULE!," which is:

"Do Unto Others that as they want ... nay.... NEED! ... you to do unto them!"

And remember to comment here so that I might know how this first effort came across! Enjoy...