Perhaps the most important thing to talk about in the housing market is the potential effect of all this talk about threats to our economy. There is no question the credit markets need help--or their troubles could negatively impact the overall economy. That's why Congress, despite all the political posturing, ultimately did what needed to be done. But the truth is, the credit market problems were not caused by a bad economy. In fact, during the year of this "credit market crisis" real GDP GREW by 2.1%--3.1% if you take out housing. So we all need to get the word out: this rescue plan is needed, but the underlying economy is OK. 95% of the mortgages in this country are current in their monthly payments and will be paid off just fine.
We all know home prices need to rebound before things get back to normal. Uncertainty in the financial system was clearly hindering the housing recovery, so a rescue plan should help. Meanwhile, last week a closely watched home-price index showed a slowing in the pace of price declines for July. Even better, seven of the 20 regions surveyed posted NO DECLINES, led by Minneapolis with a 1.3% price RISE! Another survey of 25 metropolitan areas showed 24 had price drops for the year ending July 31. But Milwaukee had a 2.9% INCREASE. And some price declines were negligible--a 1.2% drop in Chicago and 1.5% for Columbus, Ohio--for the year!
Lee Forbes,
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