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Tom Johnson

Why does real estate in Bergen County/Waldwick NJ seem sluggish?

02-05-08
Tom Johnson

Why does real estate in this market area seem sluggish? I am not referring to the Florida or Las Vegas market, I am referring to suburban New York City. Specifically, Bergen County, New Jersey, less than one hour commute to Manhattan. Let's review one town's statistics according to the New Jersey Multiple Listing Service. The town is Waldwick, NJ

Located less than one hour commute to New York City, Waldwick is nestled in among the towns of Saddle River, Allendale, HoHoKus, Ridgewood, Wyckoff and Midland Park all located in the Northwest Bergen County. (see http://www.liberty100.com for more info)

According to the New Jersey Multiple Listing, the average sale price in Waldwick for 2007 was $452,828. Compared to the surrounding towns, Waldwick is quite affordable. However, the current asking price in Waldwick, NJ is $519,771. That is 14.8% higher than the average sale price. Further statistics indicate that in 2007 the average sale to list price was 97.15% indicating the average negotiation from asking price was about 3%. That does not mean a buyer offered 3% less than asking. They probably offered between 5% and 7% less than asking and settled in the middle. What does this mean?

If the average asking price 14.8% higher than the average sale price, it means that the average asking price is probably 11% or 12% higher than it should be. If sellers would "razor sharp" their pricing to just 3% over the actual expected sale price, they would see serious action. Especially if that pricing is in the less than $500,000 range.

With interest rates hovering at or under 6% for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage, this would be a HOT MARKET if the sellers would get realistic on pricing.

"If my kids were older enough to purchase, we'd be running around looking for the best values out there and locking in that 30-year fixed rate"...

Tom Johnson
Broker
Liberty 100 Realty
www.liberty100.com

Bergen County (Waldwick) Real Estate in 2008

02-04-08
Tom Johnson
CNBC reported that new housing starts are "free-falling". And that we are back to 1991 numbers as far as housing starts. Is that a problem? I think not.

Take a look at the towns around you... how many new condo's have been built in the last 10 years. Builders and contractors have been extremely busy over the past 10 years. They had to hire a lot of workers, invest in a lot of new equipment and spread themselves a bit thin. Hopefully, the experienced builders who have seen cyclical markets squirreled their excess capital for today's rainy day. We are just returning to a more normal market.

An average "middle-manager-salary" town would be Waldwick NJ. Population of about 10,000 with approximately 3200 housing unit, its own high school and comprised mostly of single family detached homes with an average sale price in 2007 of $452,828. If you look at the change from 2006's average sale of $478,387, the market has adjusted just 5.6%. Since Waldwick's average home price doubled from 1998 to 2004, the market is just stabilizing. Waldwick is located in the northwest portion of Bergen County a bedroom community located just under 1 hour outside Manhattan. (see articles at http://www.liberty100.com/news/index.cfm )

Nationally, Real Estate values historically rise at approximately 6.4% annually. Waldwick increased 11% in 2003 and another 17% in 2004. If the market gave back 5.6% of value from 2006 to 2007, the market is just stabilizing.

What does a buyer do? Consider this:
1) There is a wonderful choice of single and two-family homes to choose from
2) Make offers that fit your budget. If the seller does not wish to negotiate... try the next property
3) Interest Rates? Look around... as of this writing, you can find a 30 year fixed rate under 6% interest with zero points.
4) Worried about a small down payment or mediocre FICO score? Take a look into the tried and true FHA programs

In the Northwest Bergen County area (Waldwick) and in 10 years from now, we will look back at this time as the bottom of the market.

"Oh boy, I wish I bought 2 houses back then!"

Thomas G. Johnson
Broker
Liberty 100 Realty
www.liberty100.com