Matt Brooks

How can you improve your FICO score?

To improve one’s credit score, it’s critical to understand the factors influencing a credit score. The factors that contribute to a FICO score and the weighted percentages for each are as follows:

• 35% — timeliness of payments
• 30% — the ratio of used debt to allowable debt for consumer credit
• 15% — length of credit history (the more credit history and showing proof of consistent timely payment, the better the score)
• 10% — types of credit used
• 10% — recent credit inquiries and recent new credit

The greatest driver behind a score is making timely payments on all accounts. Scores will be adversely affected for any payment that is 30 days late or more. Being late on a mortgage payment will not only crush one’s score, but will also make qualifying for a new home loan extremely challenging. Collections and past due accounts are obviously bad; however, paying off old collections can actually hurt FICOs in the short term. Many collections report from years past. If that collection is paid off, the account activity date is brought current, which could initially drive down the score.

A common misconception is that having one’s credit pulled is the worst thing you can do to your scores. While it’s wise to keep credit pulls to a minimum, keeping the proportion of monthly debt to allowable debt at low ratios is far more critical in improving one’s score. For example, if a borrower has a credit card with a maximum limit of $15,000 and they owe $14,000, the proportion is almost 100% and the borrower is close to being maxed out. Getting the ratio below 50% would help and below 35% would be optimal. For revolving debt, I recommend borrowers contacting their credit card companies every six months to request increased maximum limits. It is vital not to use this new allowable debt, rather, use it as a means to always keep the proportions in check. Additionally, many borrowers will spread out their credit debt over a few cards to keep the ratios below 35% on all of the cards. Or, if liquid funds are available, it could make sense to pay down the debt.

Another method of improving FICOs is to establish credit history over prolonged periods of time. By doing so, the scoring formula treats longer credit history as a means of proving that a borrower can be extended credit, but do not put themselves into a compromising situation. Many borrowers will keep inactive credit cards open, instead of closing them, in order to increase credit history. Most lenders like to see at least four lines of credit on a report (called tradelines) that are open with at least two years of history. Of these tradelines, it’s ideal to have balance between the types of accounts: mortgages, installment loans, revolving debt. Too much revolving debt, such as credit cards, can adversely impact scores as it can make the borrower to appear to be over-extending themselves.

<!--EndFragment-->

How does your FICO score impact your interest rate on your loan?

Low credit scores are deemed greater risk for lenders since the likelihood for defaulting on the loan increases. As such, lower FICO scores translate into higher interest rates. Mortgage lenders will group credit scores in a range, usually in 20 or 40 point increments, with interest rates progressively getting better for each higher interval. For example, a borrower with a middle credit score between 660 – 680 will have a higher interest rate (presuming all other variables being equal) compared to one with a 680 – 700 score. Typically, when a borrower has a 750+ credit, they will be able to secure the best possible rate, assuming their income, assets, collateral and down payment are acceptable.

For qualifying, underwriters use the middle credit score pulled from the three bureaus versus an average of the three. For instance, a borrower with scores of 702, 717 and 749 would have a 717 FICO compared to an average score of 722. If there is more than one borrower on the loan, the lender will use the lowest middle score of all borrowers versus the middle score of the primary wage earner, like many lenders used to do. Often times, a husband and wife will have drastically different scores. When that occurs, it is best to qualify off of only the person with the good credit. However, if a spouse or partner is left off of the loan (they can still go on title though), none of their income or assets can be used to help qualify. Therefore, the sole qualifying person must have ample liquid assets, as well as gross monthly income to stay below the lender’s allowable debt-to-income ratio.

What is a FICO score?

FICO stands for Fair Isaac Corporation, a company that created the most used credit scoring model in the United States. An individual’s credit score is calculated through a statistical algorithm and is used as a factor in determining the likelihood of a borrower defaulting on a loan. FICO scores are generally used for obtaining mortgages, car loans or consumer credit. The scores are provided from the three major credit reporting agencies: Equifax, Experian and Transunion. Typically, there is a variance amongst the scores since each agency has a slightly different scoring formula. FICO scores range from 300 – 850, with higher scores being considered less risky. For mortgage lending purposes, any score over a 680 is considered good and above a 750 is considered excellent. Any score below 580 is considered great risk and will be challenging for such a borrower to secure financing.

The factors that contribute to a FICO score and the weighted percentages for each are as follows:

• 35% — timeliness of payments (adverse dings to scores for any payment greater than 30 days later, collections, past due accounts)
• 30% — the ratio of used debt to allowable debt for consumer credit (an individual that maxes out their credit cards will see a decrease in their score)
• 15% — length of credit history (the more credit history and showing proof of consistent timely payment, the better the score)
• 10% — types of credit used (installment, revolving, mortgage)
• 10% — recent credit inquiries and recent new credit (taking out a fair amount of new credit with multiple credit inquires can adversely impact a score)
  

There are some signs of strengthening in our Denver market. The metro area's inventory of available resale housing decreased 20% to 23,120 units in October from October 2007. Some of this reduced inventory is attributed to homeowners taking their properties off the market in frustration because their property is not selling, but lower inventory implies a strengthening market. Remember, the Denver area had housing inventory of 31,989 units in July 2006. Home sales rose 14% to 4,265 in September compared to the same month last year. This is due almost entirely to the lower-end of the market (under $180K) selling like hotcakes. October's median selling price for single-family homes decreased 12% to $206,000 from the same month of '07, and was down 4.7% from September's median of $216,150. Median selling price for single-family homes dropped 10.5% to $222,000 through October, from $248,000 through October '07.Prices are still falling, but at a slowing pace. This trend should continue into 2009 when it is expected to bottom out and slowly climb back. Hang on, it's gonna continue to be a wild ride!

If you have not heard already, the inventory of home on the market in Denver has been declining. This is not true in many regions of the county. Your clients, who often only see national headlines, might not be aware of this favorable news. Our market has some unusual factors at work. Let's explore them, so you can better help your clients.

If you look at the first chart (MOI 1), you'll see the MOI (months of inventory) for Denver's suburbs on the bottom axis and the average sales price in that suburb on the axis on the left side. Denver metro currently has about six months of inventory (a balanced market, on average), but you can see there is a lot of variety from one city to the next. Lower cost areas, such as Thornton, are seeing inventory move fast. Sellers (mainly banks) don't have to wait long for offers. Thornton's average price in the last year was around $250,000 and the average MOI was about 3 months. Greenwood Village, on the other end of the scale, had about 13 MOI and an average price of about $1.4 million. Sellers are suffering there. The city of Denver is about in the middle.

If you look at the second chart (MOI 2), you'll see the MOI information sorted by the price of the home. In some cases, this might be more useful when you meet with clients. The city of Denver, for example, has many neighborhoods with homes under $100,000, and they are selling fast. On the other hand, upscale neighborhoods like Cherry Creek and Hilltop have significant levels of inventory and it's taking a long time to get homes sold, especially over the $1 million price barrier.

The left part of the chart show what percent of the active listings are REO (in red) and which are regular sellers (in green). For homes priced between $0 and $100K, regular (e.g.,, non-bank) sellers are 17% of the active inventory, but only 12% of the sales in the last twelve months. You can see on the left that since they are not getting their "fair share" of the sales, the MOI for the regular sellers under $100K is 2.7 months. For REO under $100K, it's a blazing 1.9 months. This probably isn't a surprise to any Realtor that has written an offer for a low priced REO and the listing agent has told them their buyer is competing with ten other offers. It's a strong seller's market at this price point!

Compare the homes from $480K to $1MM. Here, MOI is around 14 months - a very slow market. Your seller's experience with marketing time depends greatly on their price. I hope this information will help you demystify our market for your clients.