Zillow has recently reported that is shows the precentage of U.S. homes with mortgage debt higher than the value of the home has actually decreased from the second quarter to the third quarter. What does this mean for you and I and all the other real estate investors out there who are jumping into the Memphis investment property pool?
Don't break out your party hats yet! That's what it means.
I don't trust the numbers put out by companies or institutions which have a vested interest in the housing market turning around. For those of us investing in Memphis real estate, we know from being on the ground that the situation is imporving, but until retail sales actually beging to pick up steam in more parts of the city, homeowners with mortgages put in place in the last 9 years are more than likely still under water.
It's also hard to read an article like this and get a deduction about our particular market when they are obviously looking at details across many markets. Here are some of the numbers that Zillow produced:
21% of the records collected showed homes with mortgages greater than the value of the property. That is down from 23% in the second quarter. Anyone have a bottle of champaign!
7% of the markets analyzed showed declines in year to year value.
18% of the markets showed values increasing in year to year value.
But if you dig a little deeper you see what the real reason for the turn around is. "The decline in the percentage of homeowners with negative equity is a positive sign, and is directly attributable to the stabilization of home values from the second quarter to the third," Zillow Chief Economist Stan Humphries said in a statement. "It is also attributable to many homeowners who were previously underwater on their mortgage losing their homes to foreclosure."
And there it is. As more homes go into foreclosure there are fewer homes underwater. Eventually all of the Memphis properties that are underwater wil be cleared up as more go into foreclosure and those properties are then fixed and re-sold at a true value. When that occurs, there will be mroe retail sales for comparable analysis which in turn will raise the value on the last of the homes sitting under water.
In my opinion, it will take years (3-5) best guess for the Memphis real estate market to turn around. This is actually a very positive step for investors looking to buy Memphis investment property. There will be several mroe years of depressed pricing and an ever increasing demand for quality housing to be provided. When the housing crisis begins to abate, we should Memphis property values return to normal levels very quickly and investors who purchased today at 80% of current value, will suddenly find themselves with 40%-50% equity. As the economy turns around, not only will values go up, but so will rent rates as supply declines and demand reamains. All of this leads to a bright future for any investor who is purchasing properties for invesmtent in Memphis today.
Chris
I was recently asked about a post I did some time ago with my then 3-year old son. I decided to update it a bit and re-release it. It is amazing how much we can learn when we don't know fear. One night, when my family was out to dinner, 3 year old gave me an idea about how to explain the need to get over your fear if you are going to be a successful real estate investor in Memphis. The perfect storm for real estate investors to purchase great investment properties in Memphis will not last forever. With a company like Memphis Invest, regardless of past experience, we can assist investors with building high quality portfolios of Memphis cash flow properties. Here's the story..... On Monday night we took our 3 year old out for Chinese on his birthday. He loves everything that is edible and will try almost anything unlike his 7 year old brother. So here he is with his chopsticks wrapped around a just delivered egg roll that's as big as his fist and determined to get it in his mouth. You see, he set a goal - he was going to get a bite of that egg roll one way or another. Being that it was just made and delivered fresh, it was still a little hot and his first bite gave him quite a shock. He quickly shot that first bite back on the plate with a look of disgust on his face and grabbed his water to cool off his tongue. After I explained to him that he needed to blow on it to let it cool off before taking a bite he proceeded to try that bite again and loved it! It was so funny watching him eat the rest of his egg roll, blowing on every bite from every direction, but enjoying every bit of it! He ate the whole egg roll along with everything else we put in front of him that night. While watching him it occurred to me that he learned from his own experience, listened to someone else tell him how to achieve his goal and went after it again - savoring his victory! I can guarantee he will eat more egg rolls in the future. So how in the heck does that relate to Real Estate?? Most investors I have talked to in the past have always known they wanted to invest. And almost everyone of them has had a set back - a shock - taken a "hot bite" that scared them a little. The successful ones have all taken their time to regroup and figure out how to not get burned again. They've learned from their mistakes, sought out advice and help and some have even gone to work building a better team to surround themselves with. All have ended up enjoying their experience and growth as real estate investors. The important lesson is that not all deals are going to go super smooth. Some are going to leave you with bumps, bruises and burns, but in the long run those all heal and your real estate portfolio should leave you smiling! MemphisInvest.com is a full service real estate investment company that offers turn key investment opportunities by specializing in assisting investors from around the county who seek to develop wealth building portfolios of cash flow properties in Memphis, TN. Memphis Invest is family owned and all of the principles are full time real estate investors, each with large portfolios of Memphis properties. Stop by our website at www.MemphisInvest.com or contact us at 1-877-773-9998 today! Best of luck with all your real estate investing.
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Two Tennessee companies announce that they could be adding as many as 250 jobs to the Memphis area with an average salary of $42,500 plus benefits if all goes as planned.
For real estate investors who buy properties in Memphis for investment, this is fantastic news that only adds to Memphis' already attractive investment picture.
Memphis continues to have a strond work force and is positioned for solid growth in jobs and pay as the economy continues to turn around. The great thing about the jobs being created is that they are in sustainable industries where workers are being taught skills that make our workforce attractive to other companies thinking about relocating to Memphis.
These are all positive factors for Memphis and should mean our rental numbers continue to stay strong. With over 50% of the population renting their housing, more jobs and better pay should translate into stronger rental rates and lower late pay rates and vacancies. It's a little early to say exactly how this will effect Memphis real estate investors or their Memphis investment properties, but all good news on the job market is good news for investors looking to invest in Memphis real estate.
We'll keep you posted on more news from the job front in Memphis!
Chris
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We've made it official and accepted an invite to speak at the "Real Estate Success Summit" in Orland, FL. from July 24-26.
Ok, Ok, so it wasn't that big of a stretch to expect us to speak there. It is, after all, being promoted by someone I am familiar with. Kent Clothier, Jr., founder of REI Marketing, LLC which owns and operates 1-800-SELL-NOW.
The cool thing though is that we are speaking because of the demand from investors around the country to hear from REAL investors who are actually closing transactions and not just talking about the newest way to make money.
Memphis Invest has assisted clients the past few years to develop positive monthly cash flow through the acquisition of Memphis real estate. Investing in Memphis real estate has always come naturally to the Clothier family (the owners of MemphisInvest.com) as they currently own over 150 single family homes and multiple commercial spaces around the greater Memphis area. Sharing our story has been a joy for us and I am the lucky one who gets to travel the country and do the sharing!
Now Kent told me about the line up he had for his Orlando event and I about fell out of my chair! Some of these names are people that I have read about in national publications and even WATCHED on TV!
See The Line-Up of Speakers Here.....
So if you are interested....
It's free to attend for you and a guest and located in a world class city, Orlando, FL. I will be there talking about our history, our experiences and how you can take advantage of a fantastic investment real estate market like Memphis, TN.
Best of luck with all of your real estate investing and I hope to see you in Orlando!
Chris D. Clothier
ActiveRain Corp. is not responsible for the accuracy of the site's content (which is written by members of the ActiveRain Real Estate Network) and does not endorse the views of the real estate agents, mortgage brokers, and others listed here.
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