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Mike Mueller

When it comes to HR 3221...

08-13-08
Mike Mueller


The Media can be misleading.

Yeah I know, no surprise there!

But let's talk about HR 3221, H.R. 3221 or if you want to call it by it's really long name, the Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008

It was signed into law Monday July 28th, 2008. It was reported all over the world. it's the talk of the town. I've been interviewed on radio shows, quoted in articles and blogs. Ok, now what?

Just about nothing. We're waiting.
There's quite a few facets included in the bill that still need to be hashed out. Here's a quick peek at just some of the facts.

 


The $7,500 Tax Credit

It's a tax credit (not a rebate). It's for purchases made between April 9, 2008 and July 1, 2009. It's essentially an interest free loan for 5 years that has to be paid back.

Down Payment Assistance Programs

HR 3221 wipes out the ability for down payment assistance on an FHA loan starting October 1, 2008. Think you have till then? Think again. The Lenders are already not allowing DPA on the loans they are accepting.

Skin in the game

FHA used to finance up to 97%. That meant that the buyer had to pony up the other 3%. As of October 1st, under the new rules, the borrower will have to 3.5%.

Reserve Requirements for Second Homes

Thinking about buying a second home? Vacation home? How about Rental Property. It's a great time to find bargains. How much liquid reserves do you have in the bank? There wasn't a minimum reserve requirement before. Now there is.

Have less than 30 % equity in the second home? You'll need to prove you also have 6 months worth of PITI reserves for both properties in the bank (liquid). Yeah I said SIX months! Have more than 30%? You'll just need to prove you have two months reserves.

Capital Gains Exclusion

Are you good at percentages? Remember when you were entitled to $250,000/$500,000 of tax-free gains from the sale of a home if filing separately/jointly provided you lived in the residence for at least 2 of the preceding 5 calendar years? Not any more.

Now that exclusion is calculated by taking the capital gains on the sale of the home and multiplying it by a ratio (percentage) of how long you lived in the home and how long you owned the home.

Loan Limits Increased!

Nope. Matter of fact, depending on where you live, FHA, Fannie and Freddie Conforming Jumbo loans will decrease.

The Mandatory Refinance at 90% of Present Value

I saved the best for last. First of all it's not mandatory. It's actually voluntary on the lenders part. Should a lender decide this is in their best interest, they'll still hold the note. They'll reduce the size of that note to 90% of the present value and that's what FHA will be on the hook for. Then again, nothing here is in concrete. The details still have to be hammered out by HUD. Until that happens, nothing really has changed.

So there you go. You know know more about HR 3221 than the next guy at the water cooler.

What should you do if you think any of these changes will involve you in the future? Contact your trusted mortgage professional today.


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Altos Research Real Data in Real Time

08-04-08
Mike Mueller
One of my biggest issues with many of the facts and figures reported in the media is that they are based on Fuzzy Math. 

Example: New Home Sales, which is the number of contracts signed in a prior month for a house that often times hasn't even been built yet.  40% or more of those contracts fall out (don't go to fruition).

Another issue I have is with old data.  Reports that rely on information from months ago.  Or broad based statements based on states and regions when we all know real estate is local, really local.  Zip code local.  That bothers people like Mike Simonsen as well.  Altos Research compiles data in real time, as it happens, and serves it up locally.

Watch This Video

When Business Week wanted to do a story on the best and worst performing zip codes, they naturally turned to Altos Research.

Here's a sampling of the various Real Time Charts they produce for Walnut Creek, CA.  I think you can see why the best in the industry turn to Altos Research for their data.

Median Price of homes in WALNUT CREEK, CA. Measured on August 03 2008.
Real Estate Price Trends
The median single family home price as of August 03 2008 for WALNUT CREEK is $917,989
Explain this
WALNUT CREEK condo reports and zip-code level detail available for all subscribers. Subscribe today!

Market Action Index of homes in WALNUT CREEK, CA. Measured on August 03 2008.
Housing Market Conditions
With a Market Action Index as of August 03 2008 at 19.40, WALNUT CREEK is currently a buyer's market.
Explain this

Days On Market of homes in WALNUT CREEK, CA. Measured on August 03 2008.
Home Sales and Demand Trends
The average property in WALNUT CREEK as of August 03 2008 has been on the market for about 84 days.
Explain this

Price Per Square Foot of homes in WALNUT CREEK, CA. Measured on August 03 2008.
Price Per Square Foot
The median price per square foot for homes in WALNUT CREEK as of August 03 2008 is about $429
Explain this

Inventory of homes in WALNUT CREEK, CA. Measured on August 03 2008.
Homes for Sale
There are about 194 properties on the market in WALNUT CREEK as of August 03 2008.
Explain this


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Trulia House Party

07-27-08
Mike Mueller

palacetotulia We were invited after the daily festivities at Inman Real Estate Connect to hop on the "Trulia Trolley" and party at the House of Trulia.

The food was great. The music rocked. We all hooted and cheered at the Wii Contest.

The drinks and conversations flowed. Hugs, kisses, and fist bumps.

I was able to talk to some wonderful Trulia employees, including one of the founders!

Hey, I even bumped into Jonathan Miller!

While we were all having a great time we also learned what a great company Trulia is, and the truly (is it a pun?) forward thinking thought process they have.

(just wait till you see the iPhone Application they have!)

Everyone had a really great time. Thank you Rudy, and thank you Trulia!

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Real Estate Connect (Inman Connect)

07-21-08
Mike Mueller

You might notice something a little different this week.

I'll be in San Francisco interviewing some of the biggest icons in real estate.

Not just in the Bay Area, not just in California, or even the United States.

RealEstateConnect

Real Estate Connect (Inman Connect) attracts attendees worldwide!

Tuesday I'll be interviewing attendees at RE Barcamp

Wednesday I'll focus on those at Blogger Connect.

Thursday and Friday, it'll be the main conference rooms and the exhibitors!

If you are going and you see me - Don't forget to stop and say HI.

Labels: Real Estate Connect

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Movies Under the Stars

07-20-08
Mike Mueller

It was a beautiful Saturday night.

What could be better than a picnic dinner in the park followed by a great movie.

The City of Walnut Creek was holding a "Movies Under the Stars" event and of all things they were showing one of my favorites.

The Princess Bride

The Princess Bride

Picture 2,500 of your closest friends family and neighbors all in their blankets and sleeping bags.

It's like a giant slumber party. Everyone has a great time!

I was talking to one of the technicians and the next movie will be Shrek 3!

Think that might excite the kids?

  • DETAILS:
    Popcorn (great Kettle Corn done right there!) and Drinks will be available for sale.
  • Parking is available at various locations in the park, including the Field #1 parking lot, as space allows.
  • You may arrive at any time, but most people arrive 1-2 hours prior to show time.
  • Lawn chairs are allowed in the designated areas.
  • Sponsored by Walnut Creek Honda


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Quick Chat: Bill Clemente

07-14-08
Mike Mueller

Quick Chat: Bill Clemente

I had a chance to sit down with Bill at one of his open houses.

Bill is a real estate agent working out of Security Pacific Real Estate Services in Walnut Creek.

Here's our interview:

Contact Bill:

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The Fall of Indymac (Part II)

07-08-08
Mike Mueller

The fall of Indymac Part II

Yesterday Indymac Bank (IMB) ceased accepting new loan files in both Retail and Wholesale.
They cited the usual rhetoric of the difficult financial marketplace and turbulent times. This is on the heels of the Schumer story.

They also cited, (and this is the really important part)

Lack of Liquidity

"Yet in this environment, where either there are no bids for most of IMB's mortgage loans and securities or the bid/ask spreads are abnormally wide, fire-selling assets would actually deplete capital further. "

Every large bank needs to be able "securitize" and "monetize" their mortgage assets. Indymac ran out of that ability.

Vault2 Think of it this way, Indymac has a vault. That vault has piles of money in it. When Indymac gives Mr. Johnson a loan to buy a house, they take the money out of their vault and pay the previous homeowner.

As you can imaging, mortgages are big ticket items, and it doesn't take long to empty that vault. If the vault is empty, the bank can't possibly make new loans. That's why they sell the loans they have already done. While Mr. Johnson may continue to pay for his new loan, Indymac needs to sell the ownership of that loan. The proceeds of selling that note put money back into the vault.

Now, when Mrs. Jones comes in for a loan, Indymac has money to loan. vault1It's a little more complicated than that - but that's gist of the story.

The Financial Sector and the Housing Sector are both in a heap of trouble and that's going to have a direct impact on you.

Liquidity

The house across the street from me is for sale.

As more and more banks run out of liquidity the ability for them to fund loans also diminishes.

Can you guess what loans they'll choose to fund if any? Yup, the highly qualified and the ultra highly qualified (forget about the plain old qualified buyers)

Watch the Video

The house across the street might be worth $500,000 in a regular open market. But that assumes that the buyer can get a loan for that home (or has cash). As the lack of liquidity rises, the number of approved buyers drops, and the price that the home sells for also drops. (simple supply and demand).

You see, finally in desperation the seller accepted a low ball offer for $250,000 cash. When they did that can you guess what just happened to the value of my home?

So while we tend to think these big banks are evil money machines that don't deserve our pity, we also forget the very real impact their demise has on us. That lack of their liquidity will hurt you!

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Indymac Bank Ceases Wholesale!

07-07-08
Mike Mueller

It's official!

Indymac Bank is closed for wholesale operations! Retail too.

http://theimbreport.com/

"As a result of the above, we have made the difficult decision, effective July 7, 2008, that we will no longer accept any new loan submissions or rate locks in our retail and wholesale forward mortgage lending channels, except for our servicing retention channel. We plan to honor all of our existing rate-locked loans and will continue to fund these loans in the coming weeks. While the managers and employees in these units have worked incredibly hard, these units are not currently profitable due to the continuing erosion of the housing and mortgage markets. At the same time, these operations take up significant balance sheet capacity and "feed" growth in the servicing asset, an asset we need to shrink given its size relative to our existing capital."

Watch the Video

This is not a good situation.

To get past this financial situation, we need Lenders, we need those lenders to be able to sell their mortgage pools.

Without qualified buyers, nothing can be bought, nothing can be sold. No liquidity - No progress.

Neighborhoods, and the prices for the homes in those neighborhoods will continue to decline until the cash buyer chooses to buy.

We need liquidity.

Google Finance: IMB

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Pleasant Hill - 4th of July Parade

07-06-08
Mike Mueller

Being a huge Muppets fan I can't help but start by sharing the following:

Watch the Video

We spent the morning of the 4th watching and participating in the Pleasant Hill Parade.

Being a Marching Band Dad, I've seen quite a few parades this year. We've traveled to Victoria, BC and saw a parade with 450 entrants. We've marched through the streets of San Francisco with the Blue Angels roaring overhead.

But nothing says "Hometown" like a good old fashioned small town parade!

Here's a few snippets from this years parade.



Watch the Video

Labels: pleasant hill

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Cancel My Mortgage!

07-02-08
Mike Mueller

"You didn't properly tell me the terms of my loan!"

That's apparently the basis of the lawsuit that I read about in Reuters today.

Here's a link to the ARTICLE

I don't know much about the difference between a class action suit and the court of appeals. But there are certain facts I do know.

  • These people had a Payment Option ARM starting at 1.95% (Teaser Rate)
  • These loans were notoriously sold to all the wrong people for all the wrong reasons.
  • The Truth in Lending Act requires what is called the Truth In Lending Statement to be provided by the Lender to the Borrower.
  • The final version of that statement should match the terms of the loan.

This comes right on the heels of Wachovia's decision to eliminate all forms of these loans.

I've never been a big fan of these loans. They were the favorite tool of many unethical lenders in making copious amounts of money off of unsuspecting borrowers who focused only on the 1.95% rate. Did they even look at the TIL? Many of these were sold to people who thought (or were told) the Teaser Rate was the same thing as the Note Rate.

I'm not letting the general public off for shirking their due diligence either. Can I blame the blue collar welder for not knowing better? How about someone who should have, could have, known better? Personally I have seen mid level administrators for both the Federal Reserve and the US Treasury facing a recast with these loans.

I believe the responsibility falls on everyone. From the borrower, the loan officer, the underwriter, the lender and even the real estate agent.


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