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Liz Toles, REALTOR® - Lethbridge Real Estate

Who Said Freeze?? Get Ready for the Next Real Estate Boom

I often hear comments about why home sellers and buyers are frozen in their tracks right now. Here are some of the things I am hearing and my responses on why it might not all be true:

Comment:

It's not the time to buy.. prime rate is dropping and I will wait until it hits bottom.Have Housing Prices Hit Bottom?

Response:

If you have a crystal ball, I would love to borrow it! Having a husband who is a mortgage specialist in Lethbridge, I have learned that even those in the know don't know when, how much and what direction rates will go. This excerpt from yesterday's Toronto Star says it all:

"Canada's big banks passed on the full value of the Bank of Canada's quarter percentage point interest rate cut yesterday, making it cheaper for consumers and businesses to borrow.

"The outlook for growth and inflation in Canada is now more uncertain than usual," the bank said in a statement after reducing its overnight rate to 2.25 per cent.

Canada's big banks followed suit late in the day, cutting their prime lending rates, the basis for many loans, to 4 per cent.

What kind of insanely cheap rate are buyer's looking for... it really doesn't get much better than this does it? Good rates, hundreds of homes to choose from... take your pick!

Comment:

It's not the time to sell. My home's value is not at it's peak and I will wait it out.Waiting it Out

Response:

If you are moving laterally within a market, you aren't going to feel the effect of a lower market value of your current home as you will be replacing it with a home valued within the same type of market. We all know that real estate is cyclical. If you are looking to upgrade, you will make your money in your next home when the market swings upwards again. And what a fantastic time to buy... have you ever seen a better selection!

Comment:

The economy is tanking and I will squirrel my money into GIC's and bonds rather than invest in real estate.Canadian Bond

Response:

Are you aware that Lethbridge currently has a 0.8% vacancy rate? Are you aware that rents have been steadily increasing and that all you need to do to get your property rented out is whisper to your neighbor that you have a home for rent? Oh, and did I already mention that it's ridiculously cheap to borrow money right now?

So, If you really must wait, then do so. I'm not sure who said freeze or why...but I would suggest looking through the cloud of bad press and eternal pessimists and see the golden opportunities lurking.

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Lethbridge Real Estate - Market Report for September 2008

My apologies for getting this out so late... I keep hearing talk about this slowing real estate market but I've been swamped! With that said, on with the report!

When comparing the September 2008 stats to those of August 2008, we again see a decline in the the number of new listings in Lethbridge (down from 534 to 460) followed by a parallel decline in the number of listings that are expiring unsold (174 in August to 116 in September). Perhaps an indication that only those who are serious about selling are putting out a "For Sale" sign and the days of fishing for top dollar are dead and gone. Surprisingly though, the total number of homes that sold across the board in the month of September (228) is only down slightly from August (236).

One stat that sticks out to me is the comparison between the homes sold with respect to new listings. August stats came in at 44% (homes that sold compared to new listings) while September is telling us 50%.What these stats say to me in a nutshell is that on average there are roughly 50 qualified buyers for every 100 homes for sale. They are taking their time, taking their pick and taking advantage of this buyer's market. So what does this mean for buyers and sellers alike?

Buyers: This is an overstocked inventory and you have the opportunity to look for the house that is "On Sale". With that said, recent years of quick sales and inflated prices led home sellers to falsely believe that their "seller's market" would last forever. Real estate is cyclical and ever changing. Don't wait until your opportunity has passed.

Sellers: If you want a sale, make sure you are priced right and that your home's "value" is prominently displayed when all your and your REALTOR's hard work manages to get one of those few buyers through your front door.

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Lethbridge Real Estate Board

MLS ® Statistic Report

[SEPTEMBER 2008 ]

200820072006%INC/DEC
[ 2007 - 2008 ]
Total # of Listings [Month] 460 495 393 -7%
Total # of Listings YTD 5100 4083 3523 25%
Total # of Expired Listings [Month] 236 82 59 188%
Total # of Expired Listings YTD 1205 394 519 206%
Total # of Sales [Month] 228 197 274 16%
Total # of Sales YTD 2201 2608 2870 -16%
Total Sales Dollar Volume [Month] $55,895,858 $47,672,493 $47,709,152 17%
Total Sales Dollar Volume YTD $544,337,729 $606,246,278 $481,570,578 -10%

Lethbridge Real Estate - Market Report for August 2008

August stats are in and it is noteworthy to point out that the total listings for the month (535) were down significantly when compared to the 670 homes in Lethbridge listed for sale last month. That's a 20% decrease in the amount of homes listed for sale. We can interpret from this that an increasing amount of home owners are realizing that if there is not significant motivation to sell, now may not be the ideal time to do so.

This decrease also had an impact on the amount of expired listings bringing the year to date number of expired listings down from 220% to 211%. Although this percentage of homes left unsold is still much higher than previous years, we can see that the shift is still happening daily.

With all this said, people still buy and sell homes in Lethbridge every day. The need to downsize or upgrade, a new job or relocation, a new start... the reasons to make a move are plenty. The services of a REALTOR® are now more valuable than ever in making sure the process is effective and goes smoothly.


Visit us for more information on Lethbridge Real Estate.

Lethbridge Real Estate Board

MLS ® Statistic Report

[AUGUST 2008 ]

200820072006%INC/DEC
[ 2007 - 2008 ]
Total # of Listings [Month] 535 535 358 0%
Total # of Listings YTD 4641 3588 3130 29%
Total # of Expired Listings [Month] 175 63 46 178%
Total # of Expired Listings YTD 971 312 460 211%
Total # of Sales [Month] 236 296 324 -20%
Total # of Sales YTD 1974 2411 2596 -18%
Total Sales Dollar Volume [Month] $56,267,737 $73,289,357 $56,357,043 -23%
Total Sales Dollar Volume YTD $488,365,033 $558,573,785 $433,861,426 -13%

Lethbridge Real Estate - Market Report for June 2008

Here's how the month of June stats looked:

Total # of Listings (Month) - 653 (Up 30% from June 2007)

Total # of Listings (YTD) - 3437 (Up 36% from 2007)

Total # of Expired Listings (Month) - 170 (Up 240% from June 2007)

Total # of Expired Listings (YTD) - 642 (Up 228% from 2007)

Total # of Sales (Month) - 279 (Down 13% from June 2007)

Total # of Sales (YTD) - 1436 (Down 20% from 2007)

Although it appears that the number of expired listings (month) is still astronomical compared to last years data, it is actually showing signs of improvement when compared with the May 2008 stats. And although sales for the month are down 13% for June compared to 2007 stats, they are again showing signs of improvement when compared to May sales that were down 32% from previous years numbers.

What does all this mean?? It appears that the market is slowly, but surely correcting itself. It also teaches us that we may not be wise to compare to last year! Really... is it a fair comparison to make?? Last year was off the charts and comparing to those skewed stats will only keep us from moving forward today!

Seller's still need to be diligent in pricing a home in Lethbridge and be realistic when faced with a large number of competing homes for sale. If a buyer is shopping for a pair of pants and they all look pretty much the same, it's simple logic that says they will buy the least inexpensive pair. The same could be said about houses right now... so make sure your house in the one "On Sale"!

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Lethbridge Real Estate - Market Report for May 2008

Current market conditons should always be considered when trying to decide if it's the right time to buy or sell real esate. Here's how the month of May looked in Lethbridge:

Total # of Listings (Month) - 696 (Up 33% from 2007)

Total # of Listings (YTD) - 2784 (Up 38% from 2007)

Total # of Expired Listings (Month) - 101 (Up 274% from 2007)

Total # of Expired Lisings (YTD) - 473 (Up 224% from 2007)

Total # of Sales (Month) - 273 (Down 32% from 2007)

Total # of Sales (YTD) - 1156 (Down 22% from 2007)

So, what can we interpret from this data?

Well, the number of expired listings continues to climb as sellers and REALTORS® alike are perhaps failing to realize how important it is to set a realistic list price when faced with stiff competition and a limited number of qualified buyers. Gone are the days of pulling a price out of a hat and hoping for the best. And based on the fact that total sales for the month are down substantially (last month, they were only down 14% from the previous year as opposed to 32% this month) we can assume that buyers are taking their time. They are realizing a shift in their favour and adjusting accordingly.

So what can a home seller do to be positioned correctly when it comes time to sell? Well, it simply doesn't matter how well you home shows and how fantastic your location is if your price is still not in line with current market conditions. There are a limited number of qualified buyers at this time, so when one of them walks through your home with the intent to purchase, make sure that your home appears to have the highest perceived value.

The moral of my story is, "When selling your home in a buyers market , you may only get one chance to make a first impression!" Make your home one of the most appealing amongst it's competition and find a qualified REALTOR® who knows how to help you do this!

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