Ron Anderson

In doing client research of the Lone Tree/Highlands Ranch area (DHL), I am seeing some interesting trends in comparison to last year. Based on the MLS stats compiled by Land Title, it is interesting to see just how much the sales in this area have dropped compared to last year. In May and June, sales are off more than 25% when compared to the same month last year. At the same time, active listings are up 10%.

When compared to last year, the most significant change can be seen in the Absorption Rate (Active Listings/monthly closed sales). In June of '08 the Absorption rate was just 2.9 months. That value has jumped to 4.2 months - an increase of nearly 45%. With increasing supply and decreasing demand it seems that prices should be falling, when in actuality, the average price has increased 2% from $360,673 to $368,011. It seems like something will have to give...

As a point of comparison to illustrate the difference between lower and higher priced neighborhoods, the Absorption Rate in North East Denver (DNE) has decreased from 4.4 months to 2.9 months when compared to last June. The average sold price has stabilized, raising 1.1% from $203,423 to $205,731.

This difference really illustrates the fact that the ‘Denver Real Estate Market' is anything but uniform. I believe that an understanding of the overall market dynamics should be a consideration when writing offers.

I look forward to your comments!

About two months ago, 10 "sold" signs popped up. Last week the site prep started, now this - two homes are nearly framed, four more foundations are poured, and the site prep is being done on another two... Here in Green Valley Ranch, there are still a handful of listings. There seems to be an even split between retail owner listings and REO. There are also some empty but not yet listed homes. All-in-all, the supply seems to be down significantly from the previous two years. With all of the doom and gloom in the press, I think that this is a bit of a good sign...

Colorado Mortgage Broker Licensing

In response to the troubled national real estate market and Colorado’s high volume of home foreclosures, efforts have increased to make higher caliber professionals involved in real estate. Licensing, rules and regulations have become more stringent for agents, appraisers, title companies and mortgage brokers. In regards to mortgage brokers, the below items are mandatory. No longer can someone open up the Yellow Pages, claim to be a mortgage broker and then be compensated for placing a loan --- what a novel concept. Before committing to a mortgage broker, please make sure that they are licensed in Colorado by searching for them on the following link: http://eservices.psiexams.com/crec/search.jsp

· Licensing
All mortgage brokers conducting business in CO must be licensed with the Division of Real Estate and pass the criminal background check. Only those mortgage brokers who are licensed or exempt from licensure by law may broker a mortgage, offer to broker a mortgage, act as a mortgage broker, or offer to act as a mortgage broker. Licensing registration and renewal is $200 every three years.

· Surety Bond
Prior to licensing, an applicant for license shall post with the Director of the Division of Real Estate a surety bond of $25,000. Yearly premium approximately $190.00.

· Errors & Omissions Coverage

All CO mortgage brokers must carry Errors & Omissions coverage. For mortgage brokers with less than five years of experience, the annual premium is $600. With five years or greater lending experience, the premium is $500 per year.

· New Pre-Licensing Education & Continuing Education

1. Complete 40 hours of licensing education and pass the two-part licensing exam (Mortgage Lending Basics & State and Federal Law) by January 1, 2009. Approximate cost for course is $250 and $74 for the exam.
2. Complete a minimum of nine hours of continuing education every three years.

Loan Considerations for Buy and Hold Investors

As far as investment loans, little or no money down loans are impossible. However, lenders do permit the use of Home Equity Lines of Credit or second mortgages from other properties owned by the borrower as a source of down payment. Or, self-employed borrowers are using funds from business lines of credit to fund down payments or renovations (please note: there are asset seasoning guidelines for doing so and the debt incurred by accessing other credit lines must be accounted for against the borrower’s debt-to-income ratio). Thus, we have clients leveraging themselves with other homes they own in order to get in with little or nothing down.

There are exceptions, but practically every lender requires Full Income Documentation on any investment purchase. Full Documentation requires the proof of income through W2s, pay stubs and/or tax returns, as well as proving liquid assets with bank statements. The max LTV is 85% on a non-owner single family property (75% for a 3 - 4 unit); however, most homes are being affected with the ‘declining market’ tag. As such, the maximum loan permitted would be 80% of the purchase price. This is due to mortgage insurance companies refusing to provide MI on investment properties in declining markets. Also, if an investor does not have landlord experience in the past two years, new rules will now not allow any rental income to be included as monthly income. Hence, the buyer would need to qualify with the entire payment going against his/her debt-to-income ratio.

Another point to keep in mind is that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are only permitting a maximum of 4 financed properties on a borrower’s credit report. Hence, if a borrower is looking to purchase or refinance a fifth home and already have four loans on their credit, they will face a tremendous challenge in securing financing. This latter rule only affects someone purchasing or refinancing an investment property/second home and NOT an owner occupied purchase.

All this being said, if an investor can put down 20% (or borrow a good chunk of that 20% from other homes they own or lines of credit), is Full Doc, with a 680+ credit score and DTI below 50%, rates are in the upper 6% range on 30yr fixed mortgages with no prepay penalties. With home prices bottoming up in most neighborhoods, coupled with a bullish rental market with increasing rents and low vacancy, investors can easily generate hundreds of dollars of cash flow per month. In fact, many investors choose 15 year fixed mortgages to pay off the loan quickly, yet still cash flow tremendously.

Loan Considerations for Fix & Flip / Short-Term Investors

Securing conventional financing on a fix & flip or short-term loan is not recommended. Most conventional lenders sell off their mortgages to investors on the secondary market. If the loan is paid off early (before six payments are made), the investor has not recovered their initial investment. The investor will attempt to recover their loss from the lender, who will ultimately come after the loan originator. The loan originator would then be obligated to pay back any premium paid out by the lender. If such activity becomes habitual with the loan officer, the lender can cease doing business with them and their firm.

Furthermore, conventional loans require conventional appraisals. The lender will require that the home is a) habitable in its present state b) in at least ‘average’ condition and c) not in need of any repairs greater than 2% of the purchase price. All three points can be challenging to overcome for investments properties, especially bank owned homes. Consequently, many investors use private money, hard money, home equity lines of credit, cash or specialty investment lenders to avoid failing a conventional appraisal. All of the aforementioned sources of funds can be worthwhile to pursue, but they are meant for short-term loans. Hence, the borrower needs to have a clear exit strategy(ies) to avoid costly extension fees and holding costs. Such loans carry higher interest rates and up-front fees due to their considerable risk. They can be a great route to pursue; however, the investor better be prepared in case the home is not able to sell.

Fix & flip investors should also be cognizant of title seasoning issues. FHA guidelines require that a seller be on title for 90 days before a buyer can purchase the home with an FHA loan. Most flips take longer than 90 days to renovate, market and actually close. But, some deals need limited work and can be turned around quickly. Ultimately, you will want to verify that the new buyer’s lender understands the title guidelines of the lender being used. Furthermore, a flip investor is going to list the remodeled home for significantly higher than what they had paid for it. The lender providing financing to the buyer purchasing the renovated home will scrutinize the new appraisal to ensure the value is justified. Lenders got burned in the past on property flipping schemes and are wary of substantial value increases in short periods of time.