The sharp downward turn of Aliso Viejo Real Estate asking Prices has dramatically reversed itself! Folks asking over $475,000 has risen 6 percentage points in just 4 weeks!
Aliso Viejo Listings by Price - February 29, 2012
After climbing relentlessly, the percentage of short sale listings in Aliso Viejo has finally dropped a little!
Aliso Viejo Listings by Type - February 28, 2012
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The Aliso Viejo Market January 19, 2012.
During December (not the hottest month for Real Estate) 96 residences Closed Sale in Aliso Viejo! That is higher than any other month during 2011! And the Average Aliso Viejo Median Sales Price rose from $369,000 to $372,500 (July thru December)! I don’t have a good explanation as to why the average Median Price rose. Maybe all the cheapest properties are gone.
January 19, 2012 -
According to Steven Thomas, Aliso Viejo’s Market Time has dropped 11% since October, to 2.37 months! That is unusual! Mid-January is not normally a Hot time to Sell Real Estate. A Market Time of 2.37 months is a Sellers’ Market! Yes, I know; it doesn’t feel like a Sellers’s Market because You can’t get the Price You want. But at least You can Sell your Home quickly, as long as it’s not a short sale.
Demand in Aliso Viejo is up 1% since October to 84 new escrows opened over the last 30 days! This too is Very Unusual! In Orange County as a whole, Demand in mid-January is usually Sharply lower than October. Eighty four new escrows in Aliso Viejo, at this time of year, is Huge!
Market Time is down is because Inventory dropped 10% in Aliso Viejo since October. There are only 199 residences for Sale without an accepted offer.
Aliso Viejo Listing Breakdown by Type - Jan 31. Only 39% of the Homes on the Market in Aliso Viejo are Regular Standard Sales! This should increase as Standard Sellers come back into the Market after the Holiday break.
Equity Sellers = 71 - 39%, down another 5 percentage points!
Short sales = 94 - 52%, up 3 points!
Bank-owned foreclosures = 16 - 8.8%, up 1.2 points!
If You want a list of every bank-owned foreclosure in Any city in Central or South Orange County, just ask me for it! MRGodleski@GMail.com
Aliso Viejo Listings by Price - Jan 31. Aliso Viejo List Prices continue to drop. Almost half of Aliso Viejo’s listings are under $350,000!
Less than $350,000 = 89 residences - 49%, up 4 percentage points!
$350,000 - $475,000 = 49 - 27%, down 1 point.
And > $475,000 = 44 - 24%, down 3 points!
It is interesting to note that as List Prices come down, Closed Sales Prices do not. Note again that the Average Median Sales Price rose, and December had the highest number of Sales of the Year! Maybe the List Prices came down to “Market Value” and that increased Sales?
I believe Buyers aren’t stupid. They have access to a lot of information on the Internet and they have their spreadsheets ready. When the Price is right, they Buy. If the Price is not right, they wait for it to come down.
Read Lots More Orange County RE News on Facebook at
www.Facebook.com/MarkRaymondGodleskiREALTOR
As of December 8, 2011, Demand in Aliso Viejo is 73 new escrows opened over the last 30 days! Luckily for Sellers, there are only 208 residences for Sale, without an accepted offer, in Aliso Viejo! According to Steven Thomas, that equals a Market Time of 2.85 months! Market Time is the number of residences for Sale divided by the number of new escrows opened over the last 30 days. I feel new escrows opening is the best indicator of current Sales Activity. It is a much better number than Closed Sales because “escrows opening” happens 45 days before "Closed Sales".
A Market Time of 2.85 months is Very Good for early December! Market Time tends to “spike” at this time of year because many Buyers choose not to shop for Homes until after January.
Aliso Viejo Listing Breakdown by Type - Dec. 22. More than half of all listings are now short sales in Aliso Viejo!
Standard Equity Sellers = 83 - 40%.
Short sales = 106 - 51%!
Bank-owned foreclosures = 19 - 9.1%.
The percentage of Regular Equity Sellers will increase, and the percentage of short sales and bank-owned foreclosures will fall beginning January 1. This happens every year as Regular Sellers come back into the Market right after the Holidays. Short sales and bank-owned foreclosures have no season.
Aliso Viejo Listings by Price. The percentage of listings over $475,000 has fallen sharply over the last month. The main reason is again seasonal. Sixty nine percent of the listings over $475,000 are Standard Regular Sellers, compared to only 40% of the whole Aliso Viejo Market! And a great many of the short sales and bank-owned foreclosures are less than $350,000. As the Standard Sellers take a break for the Holidays, the average listing price falls.
Less than $350,000 = 95 residences - 46%.
$350,000 - $475,000 = 61 - 29%.
And > $475,000 = 52 - 25%.
The Average Aliso Viejo Median Sales Price from June through November was $368,500. Sixty one properties Closed in Aliso Viejo in November.
To see what's For Sale Today in West Central Aliso Viejo, go to www.WestCentralAlisoViejo.com

November 20, 2011
The 6-Month Moving Average Median Sales Price dropped from $369,000 in September, 2011 to $368,000 for October. This is because October's Median Sales Price of $400,000 was slightly below April's Price of $406,000.
The Aliso Viejo 6-Month MA Median Sales Price is being held down by very low median prices in May and June 2011 - $342,000 and $329,000 respectively. A large percentage of condos under $300,000 closed in Aliso Viejo during those 2 months.
The 6-Month Moving Average Median Sales Price was $381,500 in April 2011.
Read more information about Aliso Viejo Real Estate at: http://www.markraymondsellssocal.com/aliso-viejo.html
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