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Adam Brett - Fullerton, California Realtor

Home-data Firm Predicts O.C. Home Prices To Rise 9.5% by August 2010

First American CoreLogic ( a Santa Ana based home-data firm) has come out with a report predicting

corelogic that O.C. home prices will be up 9.5% by August 2010. If this is becomes true, the median price of a home in O.C. would increase by $48,000 from the August 2009 median of $500,000.

First American expects the overall home prices in California to rise 7.9% in August and home prices nationwide to increase 4.6%. They projected March to be the month in which home prices hit bottom.

Many organizations are putting out their forecasts at the moment including UCLA, Cal State Fullerton and the California Association of Realtors – it will be interesting to see which one is the most accurate.

Beach Cities See Rise In Homes Sales

Last month 466 homes were sold in beach city ZIPs – which was a 21% increase from a year ago.

beachThe median selling price was down 7.1% from a year ago coming in at $680,000 for the 17 beach city ZIPs.

Countywide sales were up 2% compared to a year ago and the median selling price was up 2% as well.

Throughout south inland ZIPs the median selling price was $486,250 out of 753 sales which was a 20% increase from a year ago. In the 24 ZIPs that make up Mid-county there were 841 homes sold at a median selling price of $354,750 which had a 10% drop in sales from last year.

Number of Homes For Sale Decrease By 57%

The number of homes listed for sale in Orange County continues to drop, decreasing by 174 listings

chart in the past 2 weeks. That is a 2% drop in 2 weeks! The number of listings available in Orange County as of Thursday was 7,749. The number of listings has dropped 39% from 2008 and 57% from its peak reached in 2007.

The housing market has not been this small since January 2006 when the slump was just getting started.

The current market conditions are great for sellers; properties are priced right and in great condition making the competition high and the number of homes on the market low.

Foreclosures Account For Only 4% Of Homes For Sale In O.C.

Based on the current sales pace it would take 21 days to sell all the bank-owned homes in Orange County

foreclosure and competition is getting so rough that many homes are being sold for 3% over their asking price.

Less than 1 in 20 county’s 7,749 homes for sale were reposed homes taken by the banks through foreclosure. On the other hand, short sales – homes selling for less than their debts – made up 1 in 4 O.C. listings.

In all of Orange County there are currently only 314 foreclosed homes for sale – a decrease of 8 homes in the past 2 weeks. The number of short sales homes on the market has only decreased by one home over the past 2 weeks with 2,075 currently for sale.

Overall the number of distressed listings made up 30.8% of the total number of homes for sale in Orange County.

Borrowers Refi Lowers Many Mortgage Rates By 17% Or More

The first three quarters of this year marked the smallest total equity cashed out since 2000. The numbers

refi were adjusted based on inflation by the total equity cashed out so far in 2009 has been $60 billion.

Nationwide the share of refinance loans resulting in new mortgages that were 5% or more higher than the paid-off first mortgage balance fell to a six-year low of 36%.

The amount of interest-rate reduction in the U.S. since the beginning of the year adds up to about $3 billion in payment savings over the first 12 months of the new loan. Half of borrowers who refinanced a conventional loan lowered their annual mortgage interest rate by at least 17% as new interest rate was about 1.1 percentage points below the old rate.

In the first three quarters of 2009 interest rates on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages have averaged 5.1 – the lowest in the 38-year history of Freddie Mac’s mortgage survey.