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Judith Clausen, REALTOR®, Denver Colorado Homes, Condos, Townhomes

Financial Market Meltdown: Is Now a Good Time to Buy a Home in Denver?

House and Mortgage

Yesterday a first-time home buyer asked if it was a good or bad time to buy a home. He and his wife had lived in an apartment for some years, and now their personal situation will finally allow them to buy a home of their own. But they were worried about buying now when the economy is in such a mess.

I couldn't help them decide on long-term prospects for the American economy, but I do know that Warren Buffett's advice in an op-ed piece in the New York Times is sound. He says, "Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful."

In terms of buying a house, if you have good credit and money for a good-sized down payment, now is an excellent time to buy. I learned very early in life to buy on the downside and sell on the upswing. That's just good sense. So if now is your time to look for a house, go ahead. The supply of available homes in Denver is plentiful. Interest rates are still low. Denver's economy is solid.

And if you need someone to help you sort out the possibilities, give me a call. I only represent buyers. I can help make sense of the complexities of buying either your first home or your move-up home. You can reach me at 303-587-3509, or you can email me.

Denver Home Prices down in October…or are they?

Denver Home Prices 0908With the nation's financial markets in turmoil people want to know if it's a good idea, or even a doable idea, to buy a house. Paraphrasing Richard Nixon in 1970, "Frankly, if I had any money, I'd be buying a house right now." If you have good credit and a good source of financing, buying a house in Denver right now is a solid choice. The market is either at bottom, or just slightly on the rise.

Denver's real estate prices continued to drop in September. Single family home median prices were down 11.78% and average prices were down 14.84% from September 2007, while condos and townhome median prices dropped 4.73% and average prices dropped 10.75% from this time last year. More homes sold in September 2008 by 14.13%, but sales were down 6.10% from August 2007.

The only good news for sellers is that 21% fewer homes were on the market than were available for sale in September 2007. 1.48% fewer homes went under contract than did a year ago. Average days on market for both single family homes and condos/townhomes remain virtually the same as last year, indicating that homes are not languishing longer as might be expected in a soft market. The lower inventory of available homes is likely due to sellers deferring plans to sell till the market shows a substantial increase in prices.

Denver is in a much better position than many U. S. cities. The S & P/Case-Shiller report for July 2008 showed an overall 1.1% increase in home prices over June, the fourth consecutive increase. Denver was one of only two cities out of 20 measured nationally that showed any increase. Only Minneapolis showed a greater increase (1.8%).

But the continuing loss in value from last year is striking. Has Denver reached bottom? It's still too soon to say. Bottom can only be defined retrospectively, after prices start rising more consistently month over month. When will that be? It's anybody's guess.

On the whole Denver's economy is showing a slow-down, but is still in better shape than many other U. S. cities. Job growth is stable, and unemployment through September was 5.4%, less than the U. S. rate of 6.1%. Governor Bill Ritter predicts that unemployment will slowly drop through 2009, and believes the Denver economy is relatively strong. A report issued by the Governor's office on September 19th shows that "Colorado's economy...is more resilient and perhaps better poised to rebound from the current national financial turmoil than the national economy," noting that "Colorado has lower unemployment, greater job growth and lower inflation than the nation overall."

Another interesting fact indicating the strength of Denver's economy is that its credit rating was recently upgraded to AAA from Standard & Poor's Rating Service, citing its "role as the economic center for the Colorado Front Range - with a diverse economy and reliant per-capita property values" (Denver Post, 9/9/08). And Wells Fargo, one of Colorado's largest lenders has just upgraded their ratings for Denver housing from "distressed" to "stable." In an article in Denver's Rocky Mountain News (9/16/08) Thomas Thibodeau, academic director for the CU Real Estate Center in Boulder was quoted as saying that "The housing market here is vastly different than the rest of the U.S. I think the Denver housing market has turned the corner and is on the way to recovery."

Two large renewable energy projects are slated for the metro area. Rentech recently opened a demonstration plant in Commerce City to produce synthetic jet and diesel fuel. And Vesta Wind Systems announced plans to build a wind turbine blade manufacturing plant in Brighton. The two projects combined could bring as many as 1,800 new jobs to the Brighton/Commerce City area. Colorado is becoming internationally known as a center for renewable energy and aerospace development activity. "Metro Denver's dynamic and innovative industry base continues to support the region's economy through challenging times," stated Tom Clark, executive vice president of the Metro Denver Economic Development Corporation.

A question asked by many of my buyers is "If I buy now, what about declining values? Will my home be worth less when it comes time to sell it?" The answer varies depending on how long you stay in your new home.

On average buyers stay in their homes about 5 years before selling according to independent real estate broker, Gary Bauer. (Bauer issues a monthly market report used by the Denver dailies and is widely regarded in Denver real estate circles as a market expert.) In an April 2008 report in the Rocky Mountain News by Rob Reuteman, Bauer is quoted on the issue. He says, "If I bought my home a year ago for $200,000, and I had to sell for $180,000, I'd be upset. If I'm staying in the Denver market I take $180,000 and buy a house that would have cost me $200,000 a year ago. But I'd still have a little feeling that I really didn't do so well. If I were that individual five years ago, my average appreciation would be 39 percent. Would I be concerned about a 10 percent drop in price today? I don't think so. I would have bought it for $130,000 and sold it for $180,000."

The Denver Post has a very useful interactive map of home values across the metro area. You can look at values by neighborhood, discover whether values are rising or declining and much more.

Interest rates are still low (conventional loans were at 5.750% for well-qualified buyers as of October 8, 2008 from our preferred lender, Rate One, The Mortgage People). Homes are more affordable. Denver's economy is steady and jobs are expected to increase this year.

Denver's cost of living makes it an easy choice over higher cost areas like both coasts. According to CNN/Money.com it costs 51.1%% less to live in Denver than in San Jose; 43.8% less than in San Diego; 66.6% less than in San Francisco; and 12.9% less than Seattle. If you live in the east, it will cost 37.6% less than in Washington, D.C.; 32.8% less than in Boston; 101.9% less than in New York; 22% less than in Philadelphia.

For buyers coming from the south and the midwest, Denver could cost more. It costs 4.9% more in Denver than in Atlanta; 12.8% more than in Houston; 8% more than in Dallas; 8.3% more than in Dayton, Ohio; 5.2% more than in Rochester, MN, and 10% more than in Boise. But living in Denver still costs 10.7% less than in Chicago, 15.1% percent less than in Portland, and a whopping 49.3% less than in Los Angeles.

You'll need to do your due diligence to compare cost of living between your city and Denver at websites like Sperling's Best Places, BankRate or CNN/Money.

Having an Exclusive Buyers Agent to find the best buys will shore up your buying ability by representing your best interests - finding the best home at the lowest possible price, and saving you time and hassles. See client references. Phone numbers available upon request. Call Judith Clausen now at 303-587-3509 to help you find your next house.

Denver Real Estate Market Heading Into Fall

September 2008 Market Conditions

Denver Real Estate Statistics August 2008Denver's real estate prices continued to drop in August. Single family home median and average prices were 12.6% lower than August 2007, while condos and townhome median prices dropped 8.2%. The number of homes sold in August was down 9.34% from last year, and 11.34% from July. The only good news for sellers is that 20% fewer homes were on the market than were available for sale in August 2007, and that 4.98% more homes went under contract than a year ago. Average days on market for both single family homes and condos/townhomes remain virtually the same as last year, indicating that homes are not languishing longer as might be expected in a soft market.

Average sold price for single family dwellings decreased by only .43% from July, but showed a significant decrease of 13.72% from August 2007. Condos and townhomes fared better, showing an increase of 2.57% from July 2008 and an increase of 1.96% from August 2007.

Denver is in a much better position than many U. S. cities. The S & P/Case-Shiller report for June 2008 showed an overall 1.5% increase in home prices over May, the third consecutive increase. Denver was one of only two cities out of 20 measured nationally that showed any increase.

But the loss in value from last year is striking. Has Denver reached bottom? It's too soon to say. Bottom can only be defined retrospectively, after prices start rising more consistently month over month. When will that be? It's anybody's guess.

On the whole Denver's economy, like its real estate market, is better than many other U. S. cities. Job growth remains steady and unemployment through July was 4.8%, only slightly more than through the comparable period in 2007.Vesta Wind Systems Blade

Two large renewable energy projects are slated for the metro area. Rentech recently opened a demonstration plant in Commerce City to produce synthetic jet and diesel fuel. And Vesta Wind Systems announced plans to build a wind turbine blade manufacturing plant in Brighton. The two projects combined could bring as many as 1,800 new jobs to the Brighton/Commerce City area. Colorado is becoming internationally known as a center for renewable energy and aerospace development activity. "Metro Denver's dynamic and innovative industry base continues to support the region's economy through challenging times," stated Tom Clark, executive vice president of the Metro Denver Economic Development Corporation.

A question asked by many of my buyers is "If I buy now, what about declining values? Will my home be worth less when it comes time to sell it?" The answer varies depending on how long you stay in your new home.

Average buyers stay in their homes about 5 years before selling according to independent real estate broker, Gary Bauer. (Bauer issues a monthly market report used by the Denver dailies and is widely regarded in Denver real estate circles as a market expert.) In an April 2008 report in the Rocky Mountain News by Rob Reuteman, Bauer is quoted on the issue. He says, "If I bought my home a year ago for $200,000, and I had to sell for $180,000, I'd be upset. If I'm staying in the Denver market I take $180,000 and buy a house that would have cost me $200,000 a year ago. But I'd still have a little feeling that I really didn't do so well. If I were that individual five years ago, my average appreciation would be 39 percent. Would I be concerned about a 10 percent drop in price today? I don't think so. I would have bought it for $130,000 and sold it for $180,000."

The Denver Post has updated their very useful interactive map of home values across the metro area. You can look at values by neighborhood, discover whether values are rising or declining and much more.

Interest rates are still low (conventional loans were at 5.875% for well-qualified buyers as of September 9, 2008 from our preferred lender, Rate One, The Mortgage People). Homes are more affordable. Denver's economy is steady and jobs are expected to increase this year.

Denver's cost of living makes it an easy choice over higher cost areas like both coasts. According to CNN/Money.com it costs 51.1%% less to live in Denver than in San Jose; 43.8% less than in San Diego; 66.6% less than in San Francisco; and 12.9% less than Seattle. If you live in the east, it will cost 37.6% less than in Washington, D.C.; 32.8% less than in Boston; 101.9% less than in New York; 22% less than in Philadelphia.

For buyers coming from the south and the midwest, Denver could cost more. It costs 4.9% more in Denver than in Atlanta; 12.8% more than in Houston; 8% more than in Dallas; 8.3% more than in Dayton, Ohio; 5.2% more than in Rochester, MN, and 10% more than in Boise. But living in Denver still costs 10.7% less than in Chicago, 15.1% percent less than in Portland, and a whopping 49.3% less than in Los Angeles.

You'll need to do your due diligence to compare cost of living between your city and Denver at websites like Sperling's Best Places, Bank Rate or CNN/Money.

Having an Exclusive Buyers Agent to find the best buys will shore up your buying ability by representing your best interests -- finding the best home at the lowest possible price, and saving you time and hassles. See client references. Phone numbers available upon request. Call Judith Clausen now at 303-587-3509 to help you find your next home.

May 2008 Real Estate Prices in Denver

Denver Real Estate Prices May 2008Good news for buyers! It's not too late to buy near the bottom of Denver's real estate prices. Although May median prices for single family homes showed a slight increase (1.8%) over April of this year, the decline (9.8%) over May 2007 was significant.

For condos the median increase in price from April to May 2008 was 10.03%, but dropped 4.5% from May 2007.

The steady increase in median price since the first of the year is largely seasonal. 2007's high point came in June when the median single family home was $263,000 and for condos was $157,950.

The number of homes sold declined by 8.2% from May of 2007. The credit crunch earlier this year took a toll on sales. But with credit requirements loosening the number of home buyers may increase in June. In May FHA increased loan limits to $406,250 ($460,000 in higher priced Boulder), though "jumbo" loan limits are still $417,000, making it more difficult to buy an expensive home.

Inventory is down from this time last year. In May 2007 the number of single family homes on the market was 21,505, while 20,287 homes were on the market in May 2008, a drop of 5.7%. 7,605 condos were on the market in May 2007 compared to 6,046 this year in May, a drop of 20.1%. The average days a home or condo is on the market also dropped 11.9% from last year for condos to 104, but remained virtually the same for single family homes at 99.

Better credit conditions and higher loan limits plus plenty of homes on the market make it a very good time to buy.

A question asked by many of my buyers is "If I buy now, what about declining values? Will my home be worth less when it comes time to sell it?" The answer varies depending on how long you stay in your new home.

On average buyers stay in their homes about 5 years before selling according to independent real estate broker, Gary Bauer (Bauer issues a monthly market report used by the Denver dailies) is widely regarded in Denver real estate circles as a market expert. In a report in the Rocky Mountain News by Rob Reuteman (4/19/08), Bauer is quoted on the issue. He says, "If I bought my home a year ago for $200,000, and I had to sell for $180,000, I'd be upset. If I'm staying in the Denver market I take $180,000 and buy a house that would have cost me $200,000 a year ago. But I'd still have a little feeling that I really didn't do so well. If I were that individual five years ago, my average appreciation would be 39 percent. Would I be concerned about a 10 percent drop in price today? I don't think so. I would have bought it for $130,000 and sold it for $180,000."

The Denver Post has a very useful interactive map of home values across the metro area. You'll be able to look at values by neighborhood, discover whether values are rising or declining and much more.

Interest rates are still low (conventional loans were at 6.250% for well-qualified buyers as of June 4, 2008 from our preferred lender, Rate One, The Mortgage People). Homes are more affordable. Denver's economy is steady and jobs are expected to increase this year. The metro Denver and Colorado state unemployment rate in April were 4.4%. 2,000 new jobs are expected in Colorado in 2008, and foreclosures are expected to drop by about 9% according to Patty Silverstein, Chief Economist for the Metro Denver Development Corporation.

The Denver market is not in the same situation as many cities. We're still riding out the effects of the mortgage crisis which led to so many foreclosures, but values haven't dropped nearly as much as the rest of the country. Values dropped about 2% in 2007 and are expected to drop another 3% overall in 2008. Contrast that with Orange County, California (suburban Los Angeles) which dropped 10.2% or Boston a 13.3% drop.

Many parts of the country have suffered a double whammy with the real estate bubble bursting together with the number of foreclosures rising which put a downward push on prices. Denver's bubble burst in 2001, but values remained steady until 2007 when they began to drop. 2006 values increased an average of 2.7%, while values at the end of 2007 had dropped by 2%, a difference of 4.7%.

Denver's cost of living makes it an easy choice over higher cost areas like both coasts. According to CNNMoney.com it costs 57% less to live in Denver than in San Jose; 53% less than in San Diego; 61% less than in San Francisco; and 20% less than Seattle. If you live in the east, it will cost 51% less than in Washington, D.C.; 36% less than in Boston; 72% less than in New York; 26% less than in Philadelphia.

For buyers coming from the south and the midwest, Denver could cost more. It costs 14% more in Denver than in Atlanta; 49% more than in Houston; 41% more than in Dallas; 29% more than in Dayton, Ohio; 22% more than in Rochester, MN, and 23% more than in Boise. But living in Denver still costs 17% less than in Chicago, 16% percent less than in Portland, and a whopping 56% less than in Los Angeles..

You'll need to do your due diligence to compare cost of living between your city and Denver at websites like BestPlaces, BankRate, or CNN/Money.

Having an Exclusive Buyers Agent to find the best buys will shore up your buying ability by representing your best interests - finding the best home at the lowest possible price, and saving you time and hassles. See client references at the Buyers Advantage website. Phone numbers available upon request. Call Judith Clausen now at 303-587-3509 to help you find your next house.

Denver Homes Great Value for Buyers in March 2008

Denver real estate market March 2008

In spite of national real estate market "doom and gloom" reports, Denver buyers have a golden opportunity to buy at (or near) the bottom. In February the market showed more activity than it has in recent months. Properties under contract, both detached and attached single family homes, increased over January by 12.66%, and by 4% over February 2007. The number sold decreased slightly, but that number reflects properties under contract in January. Prices for all single family homes showed a slight decrease (-.47%) from January, and a greater decrease (-3.74%) from February 2007.

Median prices increased 2% from February for detached single family homes, but decreased by 1.9% for attached single family homes. The median price for detached homes was $221,486 in February, up from $216,950 in January, but down 5.75% from February 2007. For attached homes the price in decreased from February 2007 by 7.73%. The high number of foreclosures is keeping prices low, giving buyers the advantage.

Homes are still selling for much less than the original price, but by the time sellers finally sell, on average 114 days after first listed, the sale price was 96-97% of list price. Seller concessions, such as down payment and/or closing cost assistance, is still common.

Interest rates are still low (conventional loans were at 6.375% for well-qualified buyers as of March 7, 2008, from our preferred lender, RateOne, The Mortgage People). Housing supply is as high as it's been in awhile at 25,037. Homes are more affordable. Denver's economy is steady and jobs are expected to increase this year. The unemployment rate in December was 4.5%, a half-percent lower than the national rate of 5%. 22,000 new jobs are expected in Colorado in 2008, and foreclosures are expected to drop by about 9% according to Patty Silverstein, Chief Economist for the Metro Denver Development Corporation.

New home builders, faced with a sizeable inventory of unsold homes in early 2007, have pared the excess to virtually nothing. In the 4th quarter of 2007 starts of single family new homes and condos dropped to 1,611, the "lowest quarterly starts in the seven years that Metrostudy has gathered information for the metro area" according to the Rocky Mountain News ("Metro new-home sales, starts "worst in 20 years", February 7, 2008).

The Denver market is not in the same situation as many cities. We're still riding out the effects of the mortgage crisis which led to so many foreclosures, but values haven't dropped nearly as much as the rest of the country. Values dropped about 2% in 2007 and are expected to drop another 3% overall in 2008. Contrast that with Orange County, California (suburban Los Angeles) which dropped 10.2% or Boston a 13.3% drop.

Many parts of the country have suffered a double whammy with the real estate bubble bursting together with the number of foreclosures rising which put a downward push on prices. Denver's bubble burst in 2001, but values remained steady until 2007 when they began to drop. 2006 values increased an average of 2.7%, while values at the end of 2007 had dropped by 2%, a difference of 4.7%.

Denver's cost of living makes it an easy choice over higher cost areas like both coasts. According to CNNMoney.com it costs 57% less to live in Denver than in San Jose; 53% less than in San Diego; 61% less than in San Francisco; and 20% less than Seattle. If you live in the east, it will cost 51% less than in Washington, D.C.; 36% less than in Boston; 72% less than in New York; 26% less than in Philadelphia.

For buyers coming from the south and the midwest, Denver could cost more. It costs 14% more in Denver than in Atlanta; 49% more than in Houston; 41% more than in Dallas; 29% more than in Dayton, Ohio; 22% more than in Rochester, MN, and 23% more than in Boise. But living in Denver still costs 17% less than in Chicago, 16% percent less than in Portland, and a whopping 56% less than in Los Angeles..

You'll need to do your due diligence to compare cost of living between your city and Denver at websites like Best Places, Bankrate, or CNN/Money.

Having an Exclusive Buyers Agent to find the best buys will shore up your buying ability by representing your best interests - finding the best home at the lowest possible price, and saving you time and hassles. See client references; phone numbers available upon request. Call Judith Clausen now at 303-587-3509 to help you find your new home in Denver.